Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Neutral — no clear edge中性 — 无明显优势
Daily low forming, but the bigger trend is still bearish. Small size only; stop below 86.34.日线低点正在形成，但大趋势仍偏空。只适合小仓位；止损设于 86.34 下方。
Key Statistics关键统计
Price价格
$87.76
16.2% below 52-week high低于52周高点 16.2%
Market Cap市值
$18B
Normal volume正常成交量
P/E Ratio市盈率
54.3x
29.9x sector median
Beta贝塔
0.85
Moves about 0.9x the market波动幅度约为市场的 0.9 倍
RSI (14)RSI（14）
40
Depressed偏低
Next Earnings下次财报
2026-08-04 (16d)
Volatility Rank波动率分位
66th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Short Interest空头兴趣
2.4% of float
Performance价格表现
| Period周期 | ULS | S&P 500 | vs Index对比指数 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Week近1周 | +0.6% | -1.5% | Beat the index by 2.1 points跑赢指数 2.1 个百分点 |
| 1 Month近1月 | -6.7% | +0.6% | Lagged the index by 7.3 points落后指数 7.3 个百分点 |
| 3 Months近3月 | -4.2% | +4.7% | Lagged the index by 8.9 points落后指数 8.9 个百分点 |
| 6 Months近6月 | +17.4% | +7.8% | Beat the index by 9.6 points跑赢指数 9.6 个百分点 |
| Year to date年初至今 | +8.8% | +9.1% | In line with the index与指数基本持平 |
| 1 Year近1年 | +26.1% | +19.4% | Beat the index by 6.7 points跑赢指数 6.7 个百分点 |
Technicals技术面
RSI (14)RSI（14）
40
Depressed偏低
vs 50-day相对50日均线
-8.6% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线
+3.8% vs 200-day avg
Volatility rank波动率分位
66th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Buy zone买入区间
$85.42
Don't chase above不追高于
$87.76
Stop止损
$86.34
Bounce — turn not confirmed; wait反弹 — 转向未确认，先观望
Earnings财务业绩
16
days until next report天后公布财报
2026-08-04
Estimates being cut预期下调
Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线
Valuation估值
| Multiple指标 | ULS | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing)市盈率（历史） | 54.28x | 29.89 | 18% |
| P/B市净率 | 13.98x | 3.90 | 10% |
| P/S市销率 | 5.78x | 2.21 | 12% |
| Earnings yield盈利收益率 | 1.84% | 3.10 | 26% |
| FCF yield自由现金流收益率 | 2.28% | 3.81 | 26% |
| Shareholder yield股东收益率 | 0.59% | 2.29 | 14% |
| EV/EBITDA企业价值/EBITDA | 25.12x | 16.39 | 22% |
| P/FCF市值/自由现金流 | 43.78x | 25.50 | 20% |
Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线
Financials财务数据
Revenue营业收入
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 6.4%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: -1.2%
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
Margins利润率
25.8%Return on Equity股本回报率
11.1%Return on Assets资产回报率
Leverage杠杆
| Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA | 0.28 |
| Current ratio流动比率 | 1.32 |
Capital Allocation资本配置
| Stock-based comp股权薪酬 | $47.0M |
| Share count change (1y)股数变化（1年） | +0.4% |
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 7/9
Altman Z阿尔特曼Z: safe (8.5)
Clean稳健
Snapshot Gauges综合指标
Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业
Expensive vs sector相对行业偏贵
Cheaper than 18% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 18% 的公司
Beta市场敏感度
0.85×
0.21×3×
Moves about 0.9× the market波动幅度约为市场的 0.9 倍
Financial Health财务健康
7/9
Altman阿尔特曼: safe
Strong financial health财务健康状况良好
Dividend分红
—
Does not pay a dividend不派发股息
Why Is It Moving为何波动
Macro宏观
Rate risk runs through its market / growth beta, not a distinct duration leg.其利率风险通过市场／成长beta体现，并无独立的久期暴露。
Positioning持仓
Short interest changed +69.6%空头仓位变动 +69.6%
Technical技术面
ULS StochRSI turned up from oversoldULS StochRSI自超卖区上行
Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱
Insider activity内部人员活动: -$1121.2M net (0 buyers, 1 sellers)-$1121.2M 净值（0 买家，1 卖家）
Concentrated ownership集中持仓
| Fund基金 | Grade评级 | Activity动作 | % of portfolio组合占比 | As of截至 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Durable Capital Partners | B | Adding加仓 | 2.9% | 2026-03-31 |
| Soros Fund Management | B | trimtrim | 0.5% | 2026-03-31 |
| Polen Capital Management | B | exitexit | 0.0% | 2026-03-31 |
Signal History信号历史
COUNTERTREND BOUNCE
UNCONFIRMED TURN
Jul 17, 2026
ULS StochRSI turned up from oversoldULS StochRSI自超卖区上行
StochRSI popped back above 20 — the earliest oscillator heads-up that downside momentum is easing. $87.76.StochRSI重回20上方 — 下行动量趋缓的最早预警。$87.76。
Jul 6, 2026
UNCONFIRMED TURN → NEARING A LOW未确认转向 → 接近低点
GET READY准备
Jul 6, 2026
ULS broke down vs the marketULS 相对市场走弱
Relative strength vs SPY crossed below the 10th percentile of the last 90 days — weakness often leads price. $89.27.相对标普500的强弱下穿近90日的第10百分位 — 走弱常先于价格。$89.27。
Jul 6, 2026
ULS daily MACD crossed downULS 日线MACD下穿
The daily MACD histogram turned negative — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $89.27.日线MACD柱状图转负 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$89.27。
Jul 3, 2026
ULS weekly MACD crossed downULS 周线MACD下穿
The weekly MACD histogram turned negative — the slower, less-whippy momentum read.周线MACD柱状图转负 — 更慢、更少来回的动量信号。
Jul 2, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → UNCONFIRMED TURN接近高点 → 未确认转向
HIGH-RISK · NIMBLE ONLY高风险 · 仅限灵活操作
Jul 1, 2026
BOTTOMING → NEARING A HIGH筑底中 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Jun 29, 2026
ULS daily MACD crossed upULS 日线MACD上穿
The daily MACD histogram turned positive — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $100.07.日线MACD柱状图转正 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$100.07。
Jun 26, 2026
UNCONFIRMED TURN → BOTTOMING未确认转向 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jun 26, 2026
ULS took relative-strength leadershipULS 取得相对强弱领先
Relative strength vs SPY crossed above the 90th percentile of the last 90 days — leadership tends to persist. $99.05.相对标普500的强弱上穿近90日的第90百分位 — 领先往往延续。$99.05。
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Factor Profile因子特征
Composite factor score综合因子得分: -0.18
Value价值
-0.9
Quality质量
+0.9
Investment资本投入
+0.2
Shareholder payout股东回报
-0.9
Low volatility低波动
-0.2
Low market beta低市场敏感度
-0.0
Earnings quality盈利质量
+0.8
Short interest空头兴趣
+0.7
Company Profile公司档案
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Nightly signals, options flow, and factor analysis across all S&P 500 names.每日更新的信号、期权资金流向和因子分析，覆盖所有标普500成分股。