Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Hold off — timing against you暂缓 — 时机不利
Downtrend — stand aside until a new cycle low forms and confirms.下跌趋势——观望，直至新的周期低点形成并确认。
Key Statistics关键统计
Price价格
$40.12
18.8% below 52-week high低于52周高点 18.8%
Market Cap市值
$17B
Normal volume正常成交量
P/E Ratio市盈率
55.2x
29.9x sector median
Beta贝塔
1.27
Moves about 1.3x the market波动幅度约为市场的 1.3 倍
RSI (14)RSI（14）
39
Depressed偏低
Next Earnings下次财报
2026-07-30 (11d)
Volatility Rank波动率分位
40th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Short Interest空头兴趣
2.5% of float
Performance价格表现
| Period周期 | APG | S&P 500 | vs Index对比指数 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Week近1周 | -3.0% | -1.5% | Lagged the index by 1.5 points落后指数 1.5 个百分点 |
| 1 Month近1月 | -4.0% | +0.6% | Lagged the index by 4.6 points落后指数 4.6 个百分点 |
| 3 Months近3月 | -14.2% | +4.7% | Lagged the index by 18.9 points落后指数 18.9 个百分点 |
| 6 Months近6月 | -6.3% | +7.8% | Lagged the index by 14.1 points落后指数 14.1 个百分点 |
| Year to date年初至今 | +3.0% | +9.1% | Lagged the index by 6.1 points落后指数 6.1 个百分点 |
| 1 Year近1年 | +15.7% | +19.4% | Lagged the index by 3.7 points落后指数 3.7 个百分点 |
| 3 Years近3年 | +109.6% | +69.4% | Beat the index by 40.2 points跑赢指数 40.2 个百分点 |
Technicals技术面
RSI (14)RSI（14）
39
Depressed偏低
vs 50-day相对50日均线
-4.8% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线
-2.1% vs 200-day avg
Volatility rank波动率分位
40th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Stop止损
$40.12
Blocked — failed cycle受阻 — 失败周期
Earnings财务业绩
11
days until next report天后公布财报
2026-07-30
Estimates roughly stable预期基本稳定
Post-earnings drift: -15.5% (20d)财报后漂移：-15.5%（20日）
Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线
Valuation估值
| Multiple指标 | APG | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing)市盈率（历史） | 55.25x | 29.89 | 17% |
| P/B市净率 | 4.90x | 3.90 | 40% |
| P/S市销率 | 2.11x | 2.21 | 53% |
| Earnings yield盈利收益率 | 1.81% | 3.10 | 25% |
| FCF yield自由现金流收益率 | 3.97% | 3.81 | 55% |
| Shareholder yield股东收益率 | 0.45% | 2.29 | 11% |
| EV/EBITDA企业价值/EBITDA | 29.00x | 16.39 | 15% |
| P/FCF市值/自由现金流 | 25.17x | 25.50 | 51% |
Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线
Financials财务数据
Revenue营业收入
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 17.1%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
Margins利润率
8.9%Return on Equity股本回报率
3.4%Return on Assets资产回报率
Leverage杠杆
| Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA | 2.89 |
| Current ratio流动比率 | 1.50 |
Capital Allocation资本配置
| Buybacks (TTM)回购（TTM） | $75.0M |
| Stock-based comp股权薪酬 | $44.0M |
| Share count change (1y)股数变化（1年） | +51.4% |
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 8/8
Altman Z阿尔特曼Z: safe (3.1)
Clean稳健
Snapshot Gauges综合指标
Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业
Roughly fair vs sector相对行业估值合理
Cheaper than 36% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 36% 的公司
Beta市场敏感度
1.27×
0.21×3×
Moves about 1.3× the market波动幅度约为市场的 1.3 倍
Financial Health财务健康
8/8
Altman阿尔特曼: safe
Strong financial health财务健康状况良好
Dividend分红
—
Does not pay a dividend不派发股息
Why Is It Moving为何波动
Macro宏观
Rate risk runs through its market / growth beta, not a distinct duration leg.其利率风险通过市场／成长beta体现，并无独立的久期暴露。
Positioning持仓
Short interest changed +13.2%空头仓位变动 +13.2%
Technical技术面
APG lost its 200-day averageAPG 跌破200日均线
Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱
Insider activity内部人员活动: -$185.2M net (1 buyers, 5 sellers)-$185.2M 净值（1 买家，5 卖家）
Concentrated ownership集中持仓
| Fund基金 | Grade评级 | Activity动作 | % of portfolio组合占比 | As of截至 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Durable Capital Partners | B | Holding持有 | 6.2% | 2026-03-31 |
| Third Point (Loeb) | B | trimtrim | 4.0% | 2026-03-31 |
| Viking Global (Halvorsen) | B | trimtrim | 0.7% | 2026-03-31 |
| D1 Capital Partners | A | exitexit | 0.0% | 2026-03-31 |
Signal History信号历史
DECLINE
DOWNTREND
Jul 16, 2026
APG lost its 200-day averageAPG 跌破200日均线
Price closed below the 200-day moving average — the classic bear dividing line. $40.83.收盘跌破200日均线 — 经典的空头分界线。$40.83。
Jul 15, 2026
APG daily MACD crossed downAPG 日线MACD下穿
The daily MACD histogram turned negative — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $41.20.日线MACD柱状图转负 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$41.20。
Jul 14, 2026
UNCONFIRMED TURN → NEARING A LOW未确认转向 → 接近低点
GET READY准备
Jul 7, 2026
APG broke down vs the marketAPG 相对市场走弱
Relative strength vs SPY crossed below the 10th percentile of the last 90 days — weakness often leads price. $41.30.相对标普500的强弱下穿近90日的第10百分位 — 走弱常先于价格。$41.30。
Jul 1, 2026
UPTREND → NEARING A LOW上涨趋势 → 接近低点
GET READY准备
Jun 30, 2026
TOPPING → UPTREND做顶中 → 上涨趋势
HOLD持有
Jun 30, 2026
APG daily MACD crossed upAPG 日线MACD上穿
The daily MACD histogram turned positive — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $42.35.日线MACD柱状图转正 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$42.35。
Jun 30, 2026
APG StochRSI turned up from oversoldAPG StochRSI自超卖区上行
StochRSI popped back above 20 — the earliest oscillator heads-up that downside momentum is easing. $42.35.StochRSI重回20上方 — 下行动量趋缓的最早预警。$42.35。
Jun 29, 2026
NEARING A LOW → TOPPING接近低点 → 做顶中
SELL SETUP卖出预备
Jun 29, 2026
APG printed a daily-cycle lowAPG 打出日线周期低点
A confirmed local low — in this cycle framework the highest-odds long-entry window. $41.01.一个已确认的局部低点 — 在本周期框架中做多胜率最高的入场窗口。$41.01。
Jun 29, 2026
APG broke down vs the marketAPG 相对市场走弱
Relative strength vs SPY crossed below the 10th percentile of the last 90 days — weakness often leads price. $41.01.相对标普500的强弱下穿近90日的第10百分位 — 走弱常先于价格。$41.01。
Jun 29, 2026
APG daily MACD crossed downAPG 日线MACD下穿
The daily MACD histogram turned negative — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $41.01.日线MACD柱状图转负 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$41.01。
Showing last 15 of显示最近15条，共 274 signals条信号
Factor Profile因子特征
Composite factor score综合因子得分: -0.20
Value价值
-0.6
Profitability盈利能力
-0.2
Quality质量
-0.1
Investment资本投入
-0.1
Shareholder payout股东回报
-0.9
Low volatility低波动
+0.6
Low market beta低市场敏感度
-0.6
Earnings quality盈利质量
+0.1
Short interest空头兴趣
+0.7
Company Profile公司档案
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Nightly signals, options flow, and factor analysis across all S&P 500 names.每日更新的信号、期权资金流向和因子分析，覆盖所有标普500成分股。