TBBK The Bancorp, Inc. · $68.40 Extended — don't chase; wait for a pullback过度拉升 — 勿追高;等待回撤 Terminal终端
The Bancorp, Inc. · Financials

TBBK

$68.40
Financial金融股 Mid cap中盘 $3B
Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Extended — don't chase; wait for a pullback过度拉升 — 勿追高;等待回撤
You missed the bottoming entry — the low already formed and price is now extended (momentum is fading — the daily moment已错过筑底入场——低点已经形成,目前价格已拉伸(动量正在衰竭——日线动量已开始掉头向下)。不要追高;等待回调至 10 日均线或下一个周期低点。若已持有则继续持有。
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Key Statistics关键统计

Price价格
$68.40
14.9% below 52-week high低于52周高点 14.9%
Market Cap市值
$3B
Normal volume正常成交量
P/E Ratio市盈率
12.7x
15.0x sector median
Beta贝塔
1.19
Moves about 1.2x the market波动幅度约为市场的 1.2 倍
RSI (14)RSI(14)
69
Elevated偏高
Next Earnings下次财报
2026-07-23 (4d)
Volatility Rank波动率分位
48th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Short Interest空头兴趣
7.4% of float

Performance价格表现

Period周期 TBBK S&P 500vs Index对比指数
1 Week近1周 +2.9% -1.5% Beat the index by 4.4 points跑赢指数 4.4 个百分点
1 Month近1月 +23.7% +0.6% Beat the index by 23.1 points跑赢指数 23.1 个百分点
3 Months近3月 +10.9% +4.7% Beat the index by 6.2 points跑赢指数 6.2 个百分点
6 Months近6月 -1.8% +7.8% Lagged the index by 9.6 points落后指数 9.6 个百分点
Year to date年初至今 +1.1% +9.1% Lagged the index by 8.0 points落后指数 8.0 个百分点
1 Year近1年 -0.8% +19.4% Lagged the index by 20.2 points落后指数 20.2 个百分点
3 Years近3年 +77.4% +69.4% Beat the index by 8.0 points跑赢指数 8.0 个百分点

Technicals技术面

RSI (14)RSI(14) 69 Elevated偏高
vs 50-day相对50日均线 +16.7% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线 +9.5% vs 200-day avg
Volatility rank波动率分位 48th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Buy zone买入区间
$65.15
Don't chase above不追高于
$68.40
Stop止损
$55.29
Extended — wait for a pullback过度拉伸 — 等待回撤

Earnings财务业绩

4
days until next report天后公布财报
2026-07-23

Estimates being cut预期下调

Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线

Valuation估值

Multiple指标 TBBK Sector median行业中位 Cheaper than相对便宜
P/E (trailing)市盈率(历史) 12.70x 14.99
72%
P/B市净率 4.20x 1.52
10%
Earnings yield盈利收益率 7.88% 6.58
73%
Shareholder yield股东收益率 13.06% 3.91
92%
Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线

Financials财务数据

Revenue营业收入
2020
$7.5M
2021
2022
2023
$116.8M
2024
$141.1M
2025
Earnings Per Share每股收益
$1.37
2020
$1.88
2021
$2.27
2022
$3.49
2023
$4.29
2024
$4.92
2025
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 29.1%
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
-$515.9M
2020
$82.3M
2021
$115.8M
2022
$174.0M
2023
$222.7M
2024
$257.9M
2025
Margins利润率
33.1%Return on Equity股本回报率
2.4%Return on Assets资产回报率
Capital Allocation资本配置
Buybacks (TTM)回购(TTM)$378.3M
Stock-based comp股权薪酬$19.6M
Share count change (1y)股数变化(1年)-10.5%
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 5/6 Clean稳健

Snapshot Gauges综合指标

Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业
Roughly fair vs sector相对行业估值合理
Cheaper than 41% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 41% 的公司
Beta市场敏感度
1.19×
0.2
Moves about 1.2× the market波动幅度约为市场的 1.2 倍
Financial Health财务健康
5/6
Adequate financial health财务健康状况一般
Dividend分红
Does not pay a dividend不派发股息

Why Is It Moving为何波动

Macro宏观 Short-duration name into a restrictive, rising-real-rate regime → rate tailwind.短久期标的进入偏紧、实际利率上行的环境→利率顺风。
Positioning持仓 Short interest changed -10.0%空头仓位变动 -10.0%
Technical技术面 TBBK RSI reached overboughtTBBK RSI进入超买

Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱

Insider activity内部人员活动: +$0.9M net (3 buyers, 1 sellers)+$0.9M 净值(3 买家,1 卖家)

Signal History信号历史

BUY ZONE → NEARING A HIGH买入区 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS. A daily bottoming setup did fire (swing low in, momentum turned up), but it's LATE — price is already extended above the cycle low (formed ~20 day(s) ago @ 55.29) and momentum is fading — the daily momentum is already rolling over. A momentum cross is a LAGGING confirmation: after a vertical run it only triggers once the move is mature, so the bottoming entry has already passed. This is a chase, not a fresh buy. Last cycle was left-translated (topped early) — a bearish structural tell止盈。日线筑底形态确实已经触发(摆动低点出现、动量转向上行),但为时已晚——价格已显著高于周期低点(约 20 天前形成 @ 55.29)且动量正在衰竭——日线动量已开始掉头向下。动量交叉属于滞后确认:在垂直拉升之后,只有当走势已经成熟时才会触发,因此筑底入场早已错过。这是追高,而非新的买入。 上一周期为左移结构(见顶偏早)——属于看空的结构性信号
TOP WATCH NEARING A HIGH
Jul 15, 2026
TBBK RSI reached overboughtTBBK RSI进入超买
RSI(14) crossed above 70 — stretched to the upside; context, not a timing trigger alone. $68.35.RSI(14)上穿70 — 上行过度;仅作背景,单独不构成择时。$68.35。
Jul 13, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → BUY ZONE接近高点 → 买入区
BUY买入
Jul 10, 2026
BOTTOMING → NEARING A HIGH筑底中 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Jul 9, 2026
TBBK took relative-strength leadershipTBBK 取得相对强弱领先
Relative strength vs SPY crossed above the 90th percentile of the last 90 days — leadership tends to persist. $66.54.相对标普500的强弱上穿近90日的第90百分位 — 领先往往延续。$66.54。
Jul 8, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → BOTTOMING接近高点 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jul 1, 2026
TBBK reclaimed its 200-day averageTBBK 收复200日均线
Price closed back above the 200-day moving average — the classic bull dividing line. $64.54.收盘重回200日均线 — 经典的多头分界线。$64.54。
Jul 1, 2026
TBBK took relative-strength leadershipTBBK 取得相对强弱领先
Relative strength vs SPY crossed above the 90th percentile of the last 90 days — leadership tends to persist. $64.54.相对标普500的强弱上穿近90日的第90百分位 — 领先往往延续。$64.54。
Jun 30, 2026
UPTREND → NEARING A HIGH上涨趋势 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Jun 30, 2026
TBBK RSI reached overboughtTBBK RSI进入超买
RSI(14) crossed above 70 — stretched to the upside; context, not a timing trigger alone. $62.64.RSI(14)上穿70 — 上行过度;仅作背景,单独不构成择时。$62.64。

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Factor Profile因子特征

Composite factor score综合因子得分: 0.32
Value价值
-0.0
Quality质量
-0.5
Investment资本投入
+0.1
Shareholder payout股东回报
+2.3
Low volatility低波动
-0.3
Low market beta低市场敏感度
-0.5
Earnings quality盈利质量
-0.7
Short interest空头兴趣
-1.0

Company Profile公司档案

Watch items — what could change the thesis关注项 — 可能改变论点的因素
  • Capital intensity rising
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