Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Hold off — timing against you暂缓 — 时机不利
Downtrend — stand aside until a new cycle low forms and confirms.下跌趋势——观望,直至新的周期低点形成并确认。
Key Statistics关键统计
Price价格
$17.08
15.5% below 52-week high低于52周高点 15.5%
Market Cap市值
$3B
Normal volume正常成交量
P/E Ratio市盈率
26.2x
15.0x sector median
Beta贝塔
0.61
Moves about 0.6x the market波动幅度约为市场的 0.6 倍
RSI (14)RSI(14)
45
Neutral zone中性区域
Next Earnings下次财报
2026-07-29 (10d)
Volatility Rank波动率分位
58th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Short Interest空头兴趣
5.2% of float
Performance价格表现
| Period周期 | BXMT | S&P 500 | vs Index对比指数 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Week近1周 | +0.2% | -1.5% | Beat the index by 1.7 points跑赢指数 1.7 个百分点 |
| 1 Month近1月 | -1.5% | +0.6% | Lagged the index by 2.1 points落后指数 2.1 个百分点 |
| 3 Months近3月 | -15.5% | +4.7% | Lagged the index by 20.2 points落后指数 20.2 个百分点 |
| 6 Months近6月 | -10.8% | +7.8% | Lagged the index by 18.6 points落后指数 18.6 个百分点 |
| Year to date年初至今 | -10.1% | +9.1% | Lagged the index by 19.2 points落后指数 19.2 个百分点 |
| 1 Year近1年 | -5.5% | +19.4% | Lagged the index by 24.9 points落后指数 24.9 个百分点 |
| 3 Years近3年 | +0.2% | +69.4% | Lagged the index by 69.2 points落后指数 69.2 个百分点 |
Technicals技术面
RSI (14)RSI(14)
45
Neutral zone中性区域
vs 50-day相对50日均线
-3.5% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线
-7.1% vs 200-day avg
Volatility rank波动率分位
58th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Stop止损
$16.82
Blocked — failed cycle受阻 — 失败周期
Earnings财务业绩
10
days until next report天后公布财报
2026-07-29
Estimates being cut预期下调
Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线
Valuation估值
| Multiple指标 | BXMT | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing)市盈率(历史) | 26.22x | 14.99 | 14% |
| P/B市净率 | 0.82x | 1.52 | 94% |
| Earnings yield盈利收益率 | 3.81% | 6.58 | 17% |
| Shareholder yield股东收益率 | 15.04% | 3.91 | 96% |
Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线
Financials财务数据
Earnings Per Share每股收益
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: -8.0%
Margins利润率
3.1%Return on Equity股本回报率
0.5%Return on Assets资产回报率
Capital Allocation资本配置
| Buybacks (TTM)回购(TTM) | $109.5M |
| Stock-based comp股权薪酬 | $28.3M |
| Share count change (1y)股数变化(1年) | -2.6% |
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 5/5
Watch关注
Snapshot Gauges综合指标
Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业
Roughly fair vs sector相对行业估值合理
Cheaper than 54% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 54% 的公司
Beta市场敏感度
0.61×
0.21×3×
Moves about 0.6× the market波动幅度约为市场的 0.6 倍
Financial Health财务健康
5/5
Adequate financial health财务健康状况一般
Dividend分红
—
Does not pay a dividend不派发股息
Why Is It Moving为何波动
Macro宏观
Short-duration name into a restrictive, rising-real-rate regime → rate tailwind.短久期标的进入偏紧、实际利率上行的环境→利率顺风。
Positioning持仓
Short interest changed +16.0%空头仓位变动 +16.0%
Technical技术面
DOWNTREND → UNCONFIRMED TURN下跌趋势 → 未确认转向
Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱
Insider activity内部人员活动: -$0.1M net (0 buyers, 2 sellers)-$0.1M 净值(0 买家,2 卖家)
Signal History信号历史
DECLINE
DOWNTREND
Jul 14, 2026
DOWNTREND → UNCONFIRMED TURN下跌趋势 → 未确认转向
HIGH-RISK · NIMBLE ONLY高风险 · 仅限灵活操作
Jul 13, 2026
BXMT made a new 52-week lowBXMT 创52周新低
Price reached a fresh 52-week low — a momentum / trend extreme the whole market watches. $16.82.价格创出52周新低 — 全市场关注的动量/趋势极值。$16.82。
Jul 9, 2026
BXMT made a new 52-week lowBXMT 创52周新低
Price reached a fresh 52-week low — a momentum / trend extreme the whole market watches. $16.87.价格创出52周新低 — 全市场关注的动量/趋势极值。$16.87。
Jul 8, 2026
UNCONFIRMED TURN → DOWNTREND未确认转向 → 下跌趋势
AVOID回避
Jul 6, 2026
BXMT daily MACD crossed upBXMT 日线MACD上穿
The daily MACD histogram turned positive — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $17.46.日线MACD柱状图转正 — 快速且嘈杂,仅作背景。$17.46。
Jul 2, 2026
DOWNTREND → UNCONFIRMED TURN下跌趋势 → 未确认转向
HIGH-RISK · NIMBLE ONLY高风险 · 仅限灵活操作
Jul 2, 2026
BXMT StochRSI turned up from oversoldBXMT StochRSI自超卖区上行
StochRSI popped back above 20 — the earliest oscillator heads-up that downside momentum is easing. $17.25.StochRSI重回20上方 — 下行动量趋缓的最早预警。$17.25。
Jun 29, 2026
Death cross on BXMTBXMT 死叉
The 50-day average crossed below the 200-day — a slow, widely-watched bearish trend signal. $16.95.50日均线下穿200日均线 — 一个滞后但广受关注的看空趋势信号。$16.95。
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Factor Profile因子特征
Composite factor score综合因子得分: 1.06
Value价值
+1.7
Quality质量
-0.7
Investment资本投入
+0.4
Shareholder payout股东回报
+2.8
Low volatility低波动
+1.1
Low market beta低市场敏感度
+0.3
Earnings quality盈利质量
-0.7
Short interest空头兴趣
+0.1
Company Profile公司档案
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Nightly signals, options flow, and factor analysis across all S&P 500 names.每日更新的信号、期权资金流向和因子分析,覆盖所有标普500成分股。