Stanley Black & Decker · Industrials
SWK
$90.17
Stanley Black & Decker, Inc., formerly known as The Stanley Works, is an American manufacturer of industrial tools and household hardware, and a provider of security products.StanleyBlack&Decker,Inc.,前身为TheStanleyWorks,是一家美国工业工具和家用五金制造商,以及安防产品供应商。
Rate-sensitive利率敏感
Large cap大盘
$14B
Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Neutral — no clear edge中性 — 无明显优势
The daily turn is already in — a low formed ~20 day(s) ago @ 82.47 and price is back above the 10-day average. What's mi日线转向已经完成——低点于约 20 天前形成 @ 82.47,且价格已重新站上 10 日均线。尚缺的是周线周期的确认,因此这是当下可用的部分信心入场,而非待触发信号:可在此建半仓,或等待周线转向。
Key Statistics关键统计
Price价格
$90.17
4.2% below 52-week high低于52周高点 4.2%
Market Cap市值
$14B
Normal volume正常成交量
P/E Ratio市盈率
34.8x
29.9x sector median
Beta贝塔
1.55
Moves about 1.6x the market波动幅度约为市场的 1.6 倍
RSI (14)RSI(14)
57
Neutral zone中性区域
Next Earnings下次财报
2026-08-04 (16d)
Volatility Rank波动率分位
83th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Short Interest空头兴趣
4.2% of float
Performance价格表现
| Period周期 | SWK | S&P 500 | vs Index对比指数 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Week近1周 | +2.2% | -1.5% | Beat the index by 3.7 points跑赢指数 3.7 个百分点 |
| 1 Month近1月 | +9.3% | +0.6% | Beat the index by 8.7 points跑赢指数 8.7 个百分点 |
| 3 Months近3月 | +27.7% | +4.7% | Beat the index by 23.0 points跑赢指数 23.0 个百分点 |
| 6 Months近6月 | +8.9% | +7.8% | Beat the index by 1.1 points跑赢指数 1.1 个百分点 |
| Year to date年初至今 | +20.5% | +9.1% | Beat the index by 11.4 points跑赢指数 11.4 个百分点 |
| 1 Year近1年 | +33.1% | +19.4% | Beat the index by 13.7 points跑赢指数 13.7 个百分点 |
Technicals技术面
RSI (14)RSI(14)
57
Neutral zone中性区域
vs 50-day相对50日均线
+8.8% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线
+19.1% vs 200-day avg
Volatility rank波动率分位
83th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Buy zone买入区间
$88.98
Don't chase above不追高于
$91.12
Stop止损
$82.47
Cycle turn — awaiting confluence cross周期拐点 — 等待共振交叉确认
Earnings财务业绩
16
days until next report天后公布财报
2026-08-04
Estimates being cut预期下调
Post-earnings drift: -3.3% (20d)财报后漂移:-3.3%(20日)
Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线
Valuation估值
| Multiple指标 | SWK | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing)市盈率(历史) | 34.78x | 29.89 | 37% |
| P/B市净率 | 1.54x | 3.90 | 93% |
| P/S市销率 | 0.92x | 2.21 | 79% |
| Earnings yield盈利收益率 | 2.87% | 3.10 | 43% |
| FCF yield自由现金流收益率 | 4.92% | 3.81 | 64% |
| Shareholder yield股东收益率 | 3.72% | 2.29 | 66% |
| P/FCF市值/自由现金流 | 20.32x | 25.50 | 61% |
Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线
Financials财务数据
Revenue营业收入
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 0.8%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: -18.7%
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
Margins利润率
4.4%Return on Equity股本回报率
1.9%Return on Assets资产回报率
Leverage杠杆
| Current ratio流动比率 | 1.14 |
Capital Allocation资本配置
| Buybacks (TTM)回购(TTM) | $20.1M |
| Stock-based comp股权薪酬 | $94.1M |
| Share count change (1y)股数变化(1年) | +0.4% |
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 7/9
Altman Z阿尔特曼Z: grey (2.0)
Watch关注
Snapshot Gauges综合指标
Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业
Looks cheap vs sector相对行业偏便宜
Cheaper than 68% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 68% 的公司
Beta市场敏感度
1.55×
0.21×3×
Moves about 1.6× the market波动幅度约为市场的 1.6 倍
Financial Health财务健康
7/9
Altman阿尔特曼: grey
Strong financial health财务健康状况良好
Dividend分红
—
Does not pay a dividend不派发股息
Why Is It Moving为何波动
Sector / Theme行业/主题
Industrials (Equal-Weight) theme — #15 of 46 themes「工业(等权)」主题 — 46 个主题中第 15 位
Macro宏观
Long-duration name into a restrictive, rising-real-rate regime → rate headwind.长久期标的进入偏紧、实际利率上行的环境→利率逆风。
Positioning持仓
Short interest changed -17.7%空头仓位变动 -17.7%
Technical技术面
SWK took relative-strength leadershipSWK 取得相对强弱领先
Options Positioning期权持仓
Market makers are net long gamma — price pinned near current level做市商净持有正伽玛,价格倾向于在当前水平附近震荡
Expected daily move预期日波动
±2.64%
Expected weekly move预期周波动
±5.90%
Call wall看涨密集区
$100
Put wall看跌密集区
$80
25d risk reversal25d风险逆转
-2.7%
Skew: 偏斜:balanced
Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱
Insider activity内部人员活动: -$0.8M net (0 buyers, 1 sellers)-$0.8M 净值(0 买家,1 卖家)
Signal History信号历史
TURN SIGNALED
BOTTOMING
Jul 16, 2026
SWK took relative-strength leadershipSWK 取得相对强弱领先
Relative strength vs SPY crossed above the 90th percentile of the last 90 days — leadership tends to persist. $91.31.相对标普500的强弱上穿近90日的第90百分位 — 领先往往延续。$91.31。
Jul 16, 2026
SWK StochRSI turned up from oversoldSWK StochRSI自超卖区上行
StochRSI popped back above 20 — the earliest oscillator heads-up that downside momentum is easing. $91.31.StochRSI重回20上方 — 下行动量趋缓的最早预警。$91.31。
Jul 8, 2026
SWK daily MACD crossed downSWK 日线MACD下穿
The daily MACD histogram turned negative — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $86.15.日线MACD柱状图转负 — 快速且嘈杂,仅作背景。$86.15。
Jul 2, 2026
BOTTOMING → NEARING A HIGH筑底中 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Jul 1, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → BOTTOMING接近高点 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jun 29, 2026
UPTREND → NEARING A HIGH上涨趋势 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Jun 29, 2026
SWK made a new 52-week highSWK 创52周新高
Price reached a fresh 52-week high — a momentum / trend extreme the whole market watches. $93.65.价格创出52周新高 — 全市场关注的动量/趋势极值。$93.65。
Jun 29, 2026
SWK RSI reached overboughtSWK RSI进入超买
RSI(14) crossed above 70 — stretched to the upside; context, not a timing trigger alone. $93.65.RSI(14)上穿70 — 上行过度;仅作背景,单独不构成择时。$93.65。
Jun 25, 2026
SWK made a new 52-week highSWK 创52周新高
Price reached a fresh 52-week high — a momentum / trend extreme the whole market watches. $92.31.价格创出52周新高 — 全市场关注的动量/趋势极值。$92.31。
Jun 25, 2026
SWK RSI reached overboughtSWK RSI进入超买
RSI(14) crossed above 70 — stretched to the upside; context, not a timing trigger alone. $92.31.RSI(14)上穿70 — 上行过度;仅作背景,单独不构成择时。$92.31。
Jun 24, 2026
SWK took relative-strength leadershipSWK 取得相对强弱领先
Relative strength vs SPY crossed above the 90th percentile of the last 90 days — leadership tends to persist. $89.66.相对标普500的强弱上穿近90日的第90百分位 — 领先往往延续。$89.66。
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Factor Profile因子特征
Composite factor score综合因子得分: 0.18
Value价值
+0.4
Quality质量
-0.1
Investment资本投入
+0.7
Shareholder payout股东回报
-0.1
Low volatility低波动
-0.0
Low market beta低市场敏感度
-0.9
Earnings quality盈利质量
-0.4
Short interest空头兴趣
+0.5
Company Profile公司档案
Stanley Black & Decker, Inc., formerly known as The Stanley Works, is an American manufacturer of industrial tools and household hardware, and a provider of security products.StanleyBlack&Decker,Inc.,前身为TheStanleyWorks,是一家美国工业工具和家用五金制造商,以及安防产品供应商。
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Nightly signals, options flow, and factor analysis across all S&P 500 names.每日更新的信号、期权资金流向和因子分析,覆盖所有标普500成分股。