SWK Stanley Black & Decker · $90.17 Neutral — no clear edge中性 — 无明显优势 Terminal终端
Stanley Black & Decker · Industrials

SWK

$90.17
Stanley Black & Decker, Inc., formerly known as The Stanley Works, is an American manufacturer of industrial tools and household hardware, and a provider of security products.StanleyBlack&Decker,Inc.,前身为TheStanleyWorks,是一家美国工业工具和家用五金制造商,以及安防产品供应商。
Rate-sensitive利率敏感 Large cap大盘 $14B
Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Neutral — no clear edge中性 — 无明显优势
The daily turn is already in — a low formed ~20 day(s) ago @ 82.47 and price is back above the 10-day average. What's mi日线转向已经完成——低点于约 20 天前形成 @ 82.47,且价格已重新站上 10 日均线。尚缺的是周线周期的确认,因此这是当下可用的部分信心入场,而非待触发信号:可在此建半仓,或等待周线转向。
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Key Statistics关键统计

Price价格
$90.17
4.2% below 52-week high低于52周高点 4.2%
Market Cap市值
$14B
Normal volume正常成交量
P/E Ratio市盈率
34.8x
29.9x sector median
Beta贝塔
1.55
Moves about 1.6x the market波动幅度约为市场的 1.6 倍
RSI (14)RSI(14)
57
Neutral zone中性区域
Next Earnings下次财报
2026-08-04 (16d)
Volatility Rank波动率分位
83th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Short Interest空头兴趣
4.2% of float

Performance价格表现

Period周期 SWK S&P 500vs Index对比指数
1 Week近1周 +2.2% -1.5% Beat the index by 3.7 points跑赢指数 3.7 个百分点
1 Month近1月 +9.3% +0.6% Beat the index by 8.7 points跑赢指数 8.7 个百分点
3 Months近3月 +27.7% +4.7% Beat the index by 23.0 points跑赢指数 23.0 个百分点
6 Months近6月 +8.9% +7.8% Beat the index by 1.1 points跑赢指数 1.1 个百分点
Year to date年初至今 +20.5% +9.1% Beat the index by 11.4 points跑赢指数 11.4 个百分点
1 Year近1年 +33.1% +19.4% Beat the index by 13.7 points跑赢指数 13.7 个百分点

Technicals技术面

RSI (14)RSI(14) 57 Neutral zone中性区域
vs 50-day相对50日均线 +8.8% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线 +19.1% vs 200-day avg
Volatility rank波动率分位 83th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Buy zone买入区间
$88.98
Don't chase above不追高于
$91.12
Stop止损
$82.47
Cycle turn — awaiting confluence cross周期拐点 — 等待共振交叉确认

Earnings财务业绩

16
days until next report天后公布财报
2026-08-04

Estimates being cut预期下调

Post-earnings drift: -3.3% (20d)财报后漂移:-3.3%(20日)

Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线

Valuation估值

Multiple指标 SWK Sector median行业中位 Cheaper than相对便宜
P/E (trailing)市盈率(历史) 34.78x 29.89
37%
P/B市净率 1.54x 3.90
93%
P/S市销率 0.92x 2.21
79%
Earnings yield盈利收益率 2.87% 3.10
43%
FCF yield自由现金流收益率 4.92% 3.81
64%
Shareholder yield股东收益率 3.72% 2.29
66%
P/FCF市值/自由现金流 20.32x 25.50
61%
Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线

Financials财务数据

Revenue营业收入
$14.5B
2020
$15.6B
2021
$16.9B
2022
$15.8B
2023
$15.4B
2024
$15.1B
2025
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 0.8%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
$7.46
2020
$10.16
2021
$6.76
2022
$-2.07
2023
$1.95
2024
$2.65
2025
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: -18.7%
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
$1.7B
2020
$144.0M
2021
-$2.0B
2022
$852.6M
2023
$753.0M
2024
$687.9M
2025
Margins利润率
Net margin净利率
2.7%
FCF margin自由现金流利润率
6.4%
4.4%Return on Equity股本回报率
1.9%Return on Assets资产回报率
Leverage杠杆
Current ratio流动比率1.14
Capital Allocation资本配置
Buybacks (TTM)回购(TTM)$20.1M
Stock-based comp股权薪酬$94.1M
Share count change (1y)股数变化(1年)+0.4%
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 7/9 Altman Z阿尔特曼Z: grey (2.0) Watch关注

Snapshot Gauges综合指标

Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业
Looks cheap vs sector相对行业偏便宜
Cheaper than 68% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 68% 的公司
Beta市场敏感度
1.55×
0.2
Moves about 1.6× the market波动幅度约为市场的 1.6 倍
Financial Health财务健康
7/9
Altman阿尔特曼: grey
Strong financial health财务健康状况良好
Dividend分红
Does not pay a dividend不派发股息

Why Is It Moving为何波动

Sector / Theme行业/主题 Industrials (Equal-Weight) theme — #15 of 46 themes「工业(等权)」主题 — 46 个主题中第 15 位
Macro宏观 Long-duration name into a restrictive, rising-real-rate regime → rate headwind.长久期标的进入偏紧、实际利率上行的环境→利率逆风。
Positioning持仓 Short interest changed -17.7%空头仓位变动 -17.7%
Technical技术面 SWK took relative-strength leadershipSWK 取得相对强弱领先

Options Positioning期权持仓

Market makers are net long gamma — price pinned near current level做市商净持有正伽玛,价格倾向于在当前水平附近震荡

Expected daily move预期日波动
±2.64%
Expected weekly move预期周波动
±5.90%
Call wall看涨密集区
$100
Put wall看跌密集区
$80
25d risk reversal25d风险逆转
-2.7%
Skew: 偏斜:balanced

Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱

Insider activity内部人员活动: -$0.8M net (0 buyers, 1 sellers)-$0.8M 净值(0 买家,1 卖家)

Signal History信号历史

NEARING A HIGH → BOTTOMING接近高点 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP. A new cycle low likely formed 20 day(s) ago (2026-06-17 @ 82.47): swing low in, price back above the 10-day average — but the weekly timeframe hasn't turned yet, so conviction is partial买入预备。新的周期低点可能已在 20 天前形成 (2026-06-17 @ 82.47):摆动低点已现,价格重新站上 10 日均线——但周线周期尚未转向,因此信心仅为部分
TURN SIGNALED BOTTOMING
Jul 16, 2026
SWK took relative-strength leadershipSWK 取得相对强弱领先
Relative strength vs SPY crossed above the 90th percentile of the last 90 days — leadership tends to persist. $91.31.相对标普500的强弱上穿近90日的第90百分位 — 领先往往延续。$91.31。
Jul 16, 2026
SWK StochRSI turned up from oversoldSWK StochRSI自超卖区上行
StochRSI popped back above 20 — the earliest oscillator heads-up that downside momentum is easing. $91.31.StochRSI重回20上方 — 下行动量趋缓的最早预警。$91.31。
Jul 8, 2026
SWK daily MACD crossed downSWK 日线MACD下穿
The daily MACD histogram turned negative — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $86.15.日线MACD柱状图转负 — 快速且嘈杂,仅作背景。$86.15。
Jul 2, 2026
BOTTOMING → NEARING A HIGH筑底中 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Jul 1, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → BOTTOMING接近高点 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jun 29, 2026
UPTREND → NEARING A HIGH上涨趋势 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Jun 29, 2026
SWK made a new 52-week highSWK 创52周新高
Price reached a fresh 52-week high — a momentum / trend extreme the whole market watches. $93.65.价格创出52周新高 — 全市场关注的动量/趋势极值。$93.65。
Jun 29, 2026
SWK RSI reached overboughtSWK RSI进入超买
RSI(14) crossed above 70 — stretched to the upside; context, not a timing trigger alone. $93.65.RSI(14)上穿70 — 上行过度;仅作背景,单独不构成择时。$93.65。
Jun 25, 2026
SWK made a new 52-week highSWK 创52周新高
Price reached a fresh 52-week high — a momentum / trend extreme the whole market watches. $92.31.价格创出52周新高 — 全市场关注的动量/趋势极值。$92.31。
Jun 25, 2026
SWK RSI reached overboughtSWK RSI进入超买
RSI(14) crossed above 70 — stretched to the upside; context, not a timing trigger alone. $92.31.RSI(14)上穿70 — 上行过度;仅作背景,单独不构成择时。$92.31。
Jun 24, 2026
SWK took relative-strength leadershipSWK 取得相对强弱领先
Relative strength vs SPY crossed above the 90th percentile of the last 90 days — leadership tends to persist. $89.66.相对标普500的强弱上穿近90日的第90百分位 — 领先往往延续。$89.66。

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Factor Profile因子特征

Composite factor score综合因子得分: 0.18
Value价值
+0.4
Quality质量
-0.1
Investment资本投入
+0.7
Shareholder payout股东回报
-0.1
Low volatility低波动
-0.0
Low market beta低市场敏感度
-0.9
Earnings quality盈利质量
-0.4
Short interest空头兴趣
+0.5

Company Profile公司档案

Stanley Black & Decker, Inc., formerly known as The Stanley Works, is an American manufacturer of industrial tools and household hardware, and a provider of security products.StanleyBlack&Decker,Inc.,前身为TheStanleyWorks,是一家美国工业工具和家用五金制造商,以及安防产品供应商。
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