Carlisle Companies · Industrials
CSL
$345.39
Carlisle Companies Incorporated is a supplier of construction products that make buildings more energy efficient and resilient. The company manufactures and sells single-ply roofing products as well as warranted systems and accessories for the commercial building industry.卡莱尔公司是一家建筑产品供应商，使建筑更节能、更具韧性。该公司为商业建筑行业制造和销售单层屋面产品以及担保系统和配件。
Rate-sensitive利率敏感
Large cap大盘
$14B
Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Lagging — relative weakness落后 — 相对弱势
Daily low forming, but the bigger trend is still bearish. Small size only; stop below 330.0.日线低点正在形成，但大趋势仍偏空。只适合小仓位；止损设于 330.0 下方。
Key Statistics关键统计
Price价格
$345.39
19.6% below 52-week high低于52周高点 19.6%
Market Cap市值
$14B
Normal volume正常成交量
P/E Ratio市盈率
19.1x
29.9x sector median
Beta贝塔
1.13
Moves about 1.1x the market波动幅度约为市场的 1.1 倍
RSI (14)RSI（14）
48
Neutral zone中性区域
Next Earnings下次财报
2026-07-29 (10d)
Volatility Rank波动率分位
87th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Short Interest空头兴趣
5.8% of float
Performance价格表现
| Period周期 | CSL | S&P 500 | vs Index对比指数 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Week近1周 | +4.6% | -1.5% | Beat the index by 6.1 points跑赢指数 6.1 个百分点 |
| 1 Month近1月 | +1.0% | +0.6% | In line with the index与指数基本持平 |
| 3 Months近3月 | -4.2% | +4.7% | Lagged the index by 8.9 points落后指数 8.9 个百分点 |
| 6 Months近6月 | -4.5% | +7.8% | Lagged the index by 12.3 points落后指数 12.3 个百分点 |
| Year to date年初至今 | +5.8% | +9.1% | Lagged the index by 3.3 points落后指数 3.3 个百分点 |
| 1 Year近1年 | -14.1% | +19.4% | Lagged the index by 33.5 points落后指数 33.5 个百分点 |
| 3 Years近3年 | +32.6% | +69.4% | Lagged the index by 36.8 points落后指数 36.8 个百分点 |
Technicals技术面
RSI (14)RSI（14）
48
Neutral zone中性区域
vs 50-day相对50日均线
-1.0% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线
+0.4% vs 200-day avg
Volatility rank波动率分位
87th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Buy zone买入区间
$342.60
Don't chase above不追高于
$345.40
Stop止损
$330.00
Bounce — turn not confirmed; wait反弹 — 转向未确认，先观望
Earnings财务业绩
10
days until next report天后公布财报
2026-07-29
Estimates being cut预期下调
Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线
Valuation估值
| Multiple指标 | CSL | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing)市盈率（历史） | 19.12x | 29.89 | 77% |
| P/B市净率 | 7.89x | 3.90 | 23% |
| P/S市销率 | 2.82x | 2.21 | 41% |
| Earnings yield盈利收益率 | 5.23% | 3.10 | 80% |
| FCF yield自由现金流收益率 | 6.85% | 3.81 | 80% |
| Shareholder yield股东收益率 | 10.46% | 2.29 | 96% |
| EV/EBITDA企业价值/EBITDA | 13.29x | 16.39 | 70% |
| P/FCF市值/自由现金流 | 14.59x | 25.50 | 78% |
Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线
Financials财务数据
Revenue营业收入
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 3.4%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 24.2%
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
Margins利润率
41.3%Return on Equity股本回报率
11.8%Return on Assets资产回报率
Leverage杠杆
| Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA | 1.48 |
| Current ratio流动比率 | 3.09 |
Capital Allocation资本配置
| Buybacks (TTM)回购（TTM） | $1.3B |
| Stock-based comp股权薪酬 | $34.8M |
| Share count change (1y)股数变化（1年） | -7.7% |
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 5/9
Altman Z阿尔特曼Z: safe (5.2)
Clean稳健
Snapshot Gauges综合指标
Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业
Looks cheap vs sector相对行业偏便宜
Cheaper than 58% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 58% 的公司
Beta市场敏感度
1.13×
0.21×3×
Moves about 1.1× the market波动幅度约为市场的 1.1 倍
Financial Health财务健康
5/9
Altman阿尔特曼: safe
Adequate financial health财务健康状况一般
Dividend分红
—
Does not pay a dividend不派发股息
Why Is It Moving为何波动
Macro宏观
Long-duration name into a restrictive, rising-real-rate regime → rate headwind.长久期标的进入偏紧、实际利率上行的环境→利率逆风。
Positioning持仓
Insider cluster activity内部人集中交易
Technical技术面
CSL weekly MACD crossed downCSL 周线MACD下穿
Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱
Insider activity内部人员活动: -$28.2M net (0 buyers, 5 sellers)-$28.2M 净值（0 买家，5 卖家）
Concentrated ownership集中持仓
| Fund基金 | Grade评级 | Activity动作 | % of portfolio组合占比 | As of截至 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AKO Capital | B | New position新建仓 | 1.3% | 2026-03-31 |
Signal History信号历史
COUNTERTREND BOUNCE
UNCONFIRMED TURN
Jul 17, 2026
CSL weekly MACD crossed downCSL 周线MACD下穿
The weekly MACD histogram turned negative — the slower, less-whippy momentum read.周线MACD柱状图转负 — 更慢、更少来回的动量信号。
Jul 16, 2026
CSL StochRSI turned up from oversoldCSL StochRSI自超卖区上行
StochRSI popped back above 20 — the earliest oscillator heads-up that downside momentum is easing. $352.76.StochRSI重回20上方 — 下行动量趋缓的最早预警。$352.76。
Jul 15, 2026
CSL reclaimed its 200-day averageCSL 收复200日均线
Price closed back above the 200-day moving average — the classic bull dividing line. $344.10.收盘重回200日均线 — 经典的多头分界线。$344.10。
Jul 13, 2026
BOTTOMING → UNCONFIRMED TURN筑底中 → 未确认转向
HIGH-RISK · NIMBLE ONLY高风险 · 仅限灵活操作
Jul 8, 2026
CSL lost its 200-day averageCSL 跌破200日均线
Price closed below the 200-day moving average — the classic bear dividing line. $331.00.收盘跌破200日均线 — 经典的空头分界线。$331.00。
Jul 8, 2026
CSL broke down vs the marketCSL 相对市场走弱
Relative strength vs SPY crossed below the 10th percentile of the last 90 days — weakness often leads price. $331.00.相对标普500的强弱下穿近90日的第10百分位 — 走弱常先于价格。$331.00。
Jul 7, 2026
CSL daily MACD crossed downCSL 日线MACD下穿
The daily MACD histogram turned negative — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $353.87.日线MACD柱状图转负 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$353.87。
Jun 30, 2026
UPTREND → BOTTOMING上涨趋势 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Showing last 15 of显示最近15条，共 255 signals条信号
Factor Profile因子特征
Composite factor score综合因子得分: 0.16
Value价值
-0.5
Quality质量
-0.4
Investment资本投入
+0.1
Shareholder payout股东回报
+1.6
Low volatility低波动
+0.0
Low market beta低市场敏感度
-0.4
Earnings quality盈利质量
+0.2
Short interest空头兴趣
-0.1
Company Profile公司档案
Carlisle Companies Incorporated is a supplier of construction products that make buildings more energy efficient and resilient. The company manufactures and sells single-ply roofing products as well as warranted systems and accessories for the commercial building industry.卡莱尔公司是一家建筑产品供应商，使建筑更节能、更具韧性。该公司为商业建筑行业制造和销售单层屋面产品以及担保系统和配件。
Watch items — what could change the thesis关注项 — 可能改变论点的因素
- Capital intensity rising
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Nightly signals, options flow, and factor analysis across all S&P 500 names.每日更新的信号、期权资金流向和因子分析，覆盖所有标普500成分股。