Simon Property Group · Real Estate
SPG
$228.70
Simon Property Group, Inc. is an American real estate investment trust that invests in shopping malls, outlet centers, and community/lifestyle centers.SimonPropertyGroup,Inc.是一家美国房地产投资信托公司，投资于购物中心、奥特莱斯中心以及社区/生活方式中心。
Rate-sensitive利率敏感
Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Constructive — building a base建设性 — 正在筑底
The daily turn is already in — a low formed ~20 day(s) ago @ 209.86 and price is back above the 10-day average. What's m日线转向已经完成——低点于约 20 天前形成 @ 209.86，且价格已重新站上 10 日均线。尚缺的是周线周期的确认，因此这是当下可用的部分信心入场，而非待触发信号：可在此建半仓，或等待周线转向。
Price Chart价格图表
Key Statistics关键统计
Price价格
$228.70
0.0% below 52-week high0.0% below 52-week high
Forward P/E预测市盈率
33.9x
Beta贝塔
0.34
Moves about 0.3x the market波动幅度约为市场的 0.3 倍
Dividend Yield股息收益率
3.85%
RSI (14)RSI（14）
65
Elevated偏高
Next Earnings下次财报
2026-08-03 (15d)
Volatility Rank波动率分位
79th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Performance价格表现
| Period周期 | SPG | S&P 500 | vs Index对比指数 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Week近1周 | +4.5% | -1.5% | Beat the index by 6.0 points跑赢指数 6.0 个百分点 |
| 1 Month近1月 | +9.0% | +0.6% | Beat the index by 8.4 points跑赢指数 8.4 个百分点 |
| 3 Months近3月 | +12.1% | +4.7% | Beat the index by 7.4 points跑赢指数 7.4 个百分点 |
| 6 Months近6月 | +26.5% | +7.8% | Beat the index by 18.7 points跑赢指数 18.7 个百分点 |
| Year to date年初至今 | +27.1% | +9.1% | Beat the index by 18.0 points跑赢指数 18.0 个百分点 |
| 1 Year近1年 | +47.2% | +19.4% | Beat the index by 27.8 points跑赢指数 27.8 个百分点 |
| 3 Years近3年 | +119.3% | +69.4% | Beat the index by 49.9 points跑赢指数 49.9 个百分点 |
| 5 Years近5年 | +139.7% | +83.9% | Beat the index by 55.8 points跑赢指数 55.8 个百分点 |
Technicals技术面
Active signals活跃信号
Short-term Rising TrendLong-term Rising Trend1-Day Return (cross-sectional rank → top/bottom gainers)Insider Power (0–100) — quality-weighted Form-4 open-market trades (role × size × recency); 50 = neutralInsider Sell signal — fires when Insider Power ≤ 40 (net selling on quality-weighted basis)
RSI (14)RSI（14）
65
Elevated偏高
vs 50-day相对50日均线
+8.0% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线
+19.8% vs 200-day avg
Trend strength (ADX)趋势强度（ADX）
22
Trending趋势中
Volatility rank波动率分位
79th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Buy zone买入区间
$227.00
Don't chase above不追高于
$230.10
Stop止损
$209.90
Cycle turn — awaiting confluence cross周期拐点 — 等待共振交叉确认
Earnings财务业绩
15
days until next report天后公布财报
2026-08-03
Estimates being raised — 1 analysts预期上调 — 1 位分析师
Post-earnings drift: +4.6% (20d)财报后漂移：+4.6%（20日）
Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线
Financials财务数据
Revenue营业收入
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 6.7%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 31.6%
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
Margins利润率
Leverage杠杆
| Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA | 6.00 |
Capital Allocation资本配置
| Buybacks (TTM)回购（TTM） | $226.8M |
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 4/6
Watch关注
Snapshot Gauges综合指标
Beta市场敏感度
0.34×
0.21×3×
Moves about 0.3× the market波动幅度约为市场的 0.3 倍
Financial Health财务健康
4/6
Weak financial health财务健康状况偏弱
Dividend分红
3.85%
Pays a dividend (3.85% yield)有分红（收益率 3.85%）
Why Is It Moving为何波动
Sector / Theme行业/主题
Real Estate (Equal-Weight) theme — #8 of 46 themes「房地产（等权）」主题 — 46 个主题中第 8 位
Macro宏观
Long-duration name into a restrictive, rising-real-rate regime → rate headwind.长久期标的进入偏紧、实际利率上行的环境→利率逆风。
Positioning持仓
Short interest changed +17.0%空头仓位变动 +17.0%
Technical技术面
SPG took relative-strength leadershipSPG 取得相对强弱领先
Options Positioning期权持仓
Market makers are net long gamma — price pinned near current level做市商净持有正伽玛，价格倾向于在当前水平附近震荡
Expected daily move预期日波动
±1.52%
Expected weekly move预期周波动
±3.39%
Call wall看涨密集区
$230
Gamma flip伽玛翻转
$199
25d risk reversal25d风险逆转
-2.4%
Skew: 偏斜：balanced
Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱
Insider activity内部人员活动: -$1.0M net (9 buyers, 1 sellers)-$1.0M 净值（9 买家，1 卖家）
Signal History信号历史
TURN SIGNALED
BOTTOMING
Jul 16, 2026
SPG took relative-strength leadershipSPG 取得相对强弱领先
Relative strength vs SPY crossed above the 90th percentile of the last 90 days — leadership tends to persist. $228.49.相对标普500的强弱上穿近90日的第90百分位 — 领先往往延续。$228.49。
Jul 16, 2026
SPG made a new 52-week highSPG 创52周新高
Price reached a fresh 52-week high — a momentum / trend extreme the whole market watches. $228.49.价格创出52周新高 — 全市场关注的动量/趋势极值。$228.49。
Jul 16, 2026
SPG StochRSI turned up from oversoldSPG StochRSI自超卖区上行
StochRSI popped back above 20 — the earliest oscillator heads-up that downside momentum is easing. $228.49.StochRSI重回20上方 — 下行动量趋缓的最早预警。$228.49。
Jul 8, 2026
SPG daily MACD crossed downSPG 日线MACD下穿
The daily MACD histogram turned negative — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $219.09.日线MACD柱状图转负 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$219.09。
Jun 25, 2026
UPTREND → NEARING A HIGH上涨趋势 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Jun 25, 2026
SPG RSI reached overboughtSPG RSI进入超买
RSI(14) crossed above 70 — stretched to the upside; context, not a timing trigger alone. $225.49.RSI(14)上穿70 — 上行过度；仅作背景，单独不构成择时。$225.49。
Jun 24, 2026
SPG made a new 52-week highSPG 创52周新高
Price reached a fresh 52-week high — a momentum / trend extreme the whole market watches. $222.15.价格创出52周新高 — 全市场关注的动量/趋势极值。$222.15。
Jun 23, 2026
SPG took relative-strength leadershipSPG 取得相对强弱领先
Relative strength vs SPY crossed above the 90th percentile of the last 90 days — leadership tends to persist. $216.74.相对标普500的强弱上穿近90日的第90百分位 — 领先往往延续。$216.74。
Jun 22, 2026
NEARING A LOW → UPTREND接近低点 → 上涨趋势
HOLD持有
Jun 17, 2026
UPTREND → NEARING A LOW上涨趋势 → 接近低点
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Factor Profile因子特征
Investment资本投入
-1.0
Low volatility低波动
+1.3
Low market beta低市场敏感度
+0.7
Short interest空头兴趣
+0.5
Company Profile公司档案
Simon Property Group, Inc. is an American real estate investment trust that invests in shopping malls, outlet centers, and community/lifestyle centers.SimonPropertyGroup,Inc.是一家美国房地产投资信托公司，投资于购物中心、奥特莱斯中心以及社区/生活方式中心。
Watch items — what could change the thesis关注项 — 可能改变论点的因素
- Capital intensity rising
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