ADC Agree Realty · $81.12 Neutral — no clear edge中性 — 无明显优势 Terminal终端 ↗

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Agree Realty · Real Estate

ADC

$81.12
Rate-sensitive利率敏感 Mid cap中盘 $10B
Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Neutral — no clear edge中性 — 无明显优势
The daily turn is already in — a low formed ~19 day(s) ago @ 73.0 and price is back above the 10-day average. What's mis日线转向已经完成——低点于约 19 天前形成 @ 73.0，且价格已重新站上 10 日均线。尚缺的是周线周期的确认，因此这是当下可用的部分信心入场，而非待触发信号：可在此建半仓，或等待周线转向。
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Key Statistics关键统计

Price价格
$81.12
0.0% below 52-week high0.0% below 52-week high
Market Cap市值
$10B
Normal volume正常成交量
P/E Ratio市盈率
47.6x
31.0x sector median
Beta贝塔
-0.23
Moves about -0.2x the market波动幅度约为市场的 -0.2 倍
RSI (14)RSI（14）
70
Overbought超买区域
Next Earnings下次财报
2026-07-30 (11d)
Volatility Rank波动率分位
86th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Short Interest空头兴趣
12.1% of float

Performance价格表现

Period周期 ADC S&P 500vs Index对比指数
1 Week近1周 +4.1% -1.5% Beat the index by 5.6 points跑赢指数 5.6 个百分点
1 Month近1月 +10.3% +0.6% Beat the index by 9.7 points跑赢指数 9.7 个百分点
3 Months近3月 +2.8% +4.7% Lagged the index by 1.9 points落后指数 1.9 个百分点
6 Months近6月 +12.8% +7.8% Beat the index by 5.0 points跑赢指数 5.0 个百分点
Year to date年初至今 +14.5% +9.1% Beat the index by 5.4 points跑赢指数 5.4 个百分点
1 Year近1年 +17.4% +19.4% Lagged the index by 2.0 points落后指数 2.0 个百分点
3 Years近3年 +41.1% +69.4% Lagged the index by 28.3 points落后指数 28.3 个百分点

Technicals技术面

RSI (14)RSI（14） 70 Overbought超买区域
vs 50-day相对50日均线 +7.4% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线 +9.5% vs 200-day avg
Volatility rank波动率分位 86th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Buy zone买入区间
$80.52
Don't chase above不追高于
$81.60
Stop止损
$73.00
Cycle turn — awaiting confluence cross周期拐点 — 等待共振交叉确认

Earnings财务业绩

11
days until next report天后公布财报
2026-07-30

Estimates being cut预期下调

Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线

Valuation估值

Multiple指标 ADC Sector median行业中位 Cheaper than相对便宜
P/E (trailing)市盈率（历史） 47.65x 30.98
21%
P/B市净率 1.55x 2.01
68%
P/S市销率 13.55x 6.79
7%
Earnings yield盈利收益率 2.10% 3.11
31%
Shareholder yield股东收益率 3.54% 3.84
47%
EV/EBITDA企业价值/EBITDA 16.77x 14.15
39%
Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线

Financials财务数据

Revenue营业收入
$248.6M
2020
$339.3M
2021
$429.8M
2022
$537.5M
2023
$617.1M
2024
$718.4M
2025
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 23.6%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
$1.74
2020
$1.78
2021
$1.83
2022
$1.70
2023
$1.78
2024
$1.77
2025
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 0.3%
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
-$1.2B
2020
-$1.1B
2021
-$1.2B
2022
-$808.4M
2023
-$442.5M
2024
2025
Margins利润率
Operating margin营业利润率
47.4%
Net margin净利率
28.4%
FCF margin自由现金流利润率
70.2%
3.3%Return on Equity股本回报率
2.1%Return on Assets资产回报率
Leverage杠杆
Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA-0.03
Capital Allocation资本配置
Buybacks (TTM)回购（TTM）$3.7M
Stock-based comp股权薪酬$13.0M
Share count change (1y)股数变化（1年）+11.9%
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 4/6 Clean稳健

Snapshot Gauges综合指标

Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业
Roughly fair vs sector相对行业估值合理
Cheaper than 34% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 34% 的公司
Beta市场敏感度
-0.23×
0.21×3×
Has tended to move opposite the market (factor-adjusted)经因子调整后常与大盘反向波动
Financial Health财务健康
4/6
Weak financial health财务健康状况偏弱
Dividend分红
—
Does not pay a dividend不派发股息

Why Is It Moving为何波动

Macro宏观 Long-duration name into a restrictive, rising-real-rate regime → rate headwind.长久期标的进入偏紧、实际利率上行的环境→利率逆风。
Positioning持仓 Insider cluster activity内部人集中交易
Technical技术面 ADC made a new 52-week highADC 创52周新高

Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱

Insider activity内部人员活动: +$4.9M net (5 buyers, 0 sellers)+$4.9M 净值（5 买家，0 卖家）

Signal History信号历史

UPTREND → BOTTOMING上涨趋势 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP. A new cycle low likely formed 19 day(s) ago (2026-06-18 @ 73.0): swing low in, price back above the 10-day average — but the weekly timeframe hasn't turned yet, so conviction is partial. Last cycle was left-translated (topped early) — a bearish structural tell买入预备。新的周期低点可能已在 19 天前形成 （2026-06-18 @ 73.0）：摆动低点已现，价格重新站上 10 日均线——但周线周期尚未转向，因此信心仅为部分。 上一周期为左移结构（见顶偏早）——属于看空的结构性信号
TURN SIGNALED BOTTOMING
Jul 17, 2026
ADC made a new 52-week highADC 创52周新高
Price reached a fresh 52-week high — a momentum / trend extreme the whole market watches. $81.12.价格创出52周新高 — 全市场关注的动量/趋势极值。$81.12。
Jul 17, 2026
ADC RSI reached overboughtADC RSI进入超买
RSI(14) crossed above 70 — stretched to the upside; context, not a timing trigger alone. $81.12.RSI(14)上穿70 — 上行过度；仅作背景，单独不构成择时。$81.12。
Jul 10, 2026
ADC weekly MACD crossed upADC 周线MACD上穿
The weekly MACD histogram turned positive — the slower, less-whippy momentum read.周线MACD柱状图转正 — 更慢、更少来回的动量信号。
Jul 9, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → BOTTOMING接近高点 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jul 8, 2026
BOTTOMING → NEARING A HIGH筑底中 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Jul 7, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → BOTTOMING接近高点 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jul 6, 2026
BOTTOMING → NEARING A HIGH筑底中 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Jul 1, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → BOTTOMING接近高点 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备

Showing last 15 of显示最近15条，共 274 signals条信号

Factor Profile因子特征

Composite factor score综合因子得分: 0.10
Value价值
-0.1
Quality质量
-0.3
Investment资本投入
-0.4
Shareholder payout股东回报
-0.1
Low volatility低波动
+1.4
Low market beta低市场敏感度
+1.4
Earnings quality盈利质量
-0.3
Short interest空头兴趣
-2.6

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