Sonoco · Materials
SON
$56.57
Sonoco Products Company is an American provider of diversified consumer packaging, industrial products, protective packaging, and packaging supply chain services and the world's largest producer of composite cans, tubes, and cores.SonocoProductsCompany是一家美国多元化消费品包装、工业产品、防护包装及包装供应链服务提供商，也是全球最大的复合罐、管和芯生产商。
Rate-sensitive利率敏感
Mid cap中盘
$6B
Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Neutral — no clear edge中性 — 无明显优势
Confirmed cycle low — the entry window is open now, with a clear exit if it closes back below 50.35.周期低点已确认——入场窗口现已开启，若收盘重新跌破 50.35 则明确离场。
Key Statistics关键统计
Price价格
$56.57
1.5% below 52-week high低于52周高点 1.5%
Market Cap市值
$6B
Normal volume正常成交量
P/E Ratio市盈率
5.6x
28.6x sector median
Beta贝塔
0.47
Moves about 0.5x the market波动幅度约为市场的 0.5 倍
RSI (14)RSI（14）
62
Elevated偏高
Next Earnings下次财报
2026-07-22 (3d)
Volatility Rank波动率分位
81th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Short Interest空头兴趣
10.6% of float
Performance价格表现
| Period周期 | SON | S&P 500 | vs Index对比指数 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Week近1周 | +1.2% | -1.5% | Beat the index by 2.7 points跑赢指数 2.7 个百分点 |
| 1 Month近1月 | +11.7% | +0.6% | Beat the index by 11.1 points跑赢指数 11.1 个百分点 |
| 3 Months近3月 | -0.4% | +4.7% | Lagged the index by 5.1 points落后指数 5.1 个百分点 |
| 6 Months近6月 | +18.5% | +7.8% | Beat the index by 10.7 points跑赢指数 10.7 个百分点 |
| Year to date年初至今 | +30.0% | +9.1% | Beat the index by 20.9 points跑赢指数 20.9 个百分点 |
| 1 Year近1年 | +27.9% | +19.4% | Beat the index by 8.5 points跑赢指数 8.5 个百分点 |
| 3 Years近3年 | +9.3% | +69.4% | Lagged the index by 60.1 points落后指数 60.1 个百分点 |
Technicals技术面
RSI (14)RSI（14）
62
Elevated偏高
vs 50-day相对50日均线
+9.9% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线
+18.5% vs 200-day avg
Volatility rank波动率分位
81th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Buy zone买入区间
$55.87
Don't chase above不追高于
$57.13
Stop止损
$50.35
Cycle turn — awaiting confluence cross周期拐点 — 等待共振交叉确认
Earnings财务业绩
3
days until next report天后公布财报
2026-07-22
Estimates being cut预期下调
Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线
Valuation估值
| Multiple指标 | SON | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing)市盈率（历史） | 5.56x | 28.57 | 98% |
| P/B市净率 | 1.54x | 2.82 | 75% |
| P/S市销率 | 0.74x | 1.64 | 79% |
| Earnings yield盈利收益率 | 17.98% | 2.96 | 100% |
| FCF yield自由现金流收益率 | 6.20% | 3.23 | 78% |
| Shareholder yield股东收益率 | 3.93% | 2.70 | 73% |
| EV/EBITDA企业价值/EBITDA | 6.20x | 12.20 | 92% |
| P/FCF市值/自由现金流 | 16.14x | 25.03 | 72% |
Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线
Financials财务数据
Revenue营业收入
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 6.9%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 37.5%
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
Margins利润率
27.8%Return on Equity股本回报率
9.0%Return on Assets资产回报率
Leverage杠杆
| Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA | 2.57 |
| Current ratio流动比率 | 1.05 |
Capital Allocation资本配置
| Buybacks (TTM)回购（TTM） | $10.9M |
| Stock-based comp股权薪酬 | $18.0M |
| Share count change (1y)股数变化（1年） | +0.4% |
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 6/9
Altman Z阿尔特曼Z: grey (1.9)
Watch关注
Snapshot Gauges综合指标
Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业
Looks cheap vs sector相对行业偏便宜
Cheaper than 84% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 84% 的公司
Beta市场敏感度
0.47×
0.21×3×
Moves about 0.5× the market波动幅度约为市场的 0.5 倍
Financial Health财务健康
6/9
Altman阿尔特曼: grey
Adequate financial health财务健康状况一般
Dividend分红
—
Does not pay a dividend不派发股息
Why Is It Moving为何波动
Macro宏观
Long-duration name into a restrictive, rising-real-rate regime → rate headwind.长久期标的进入偏紧、实际利率上行的环境→利率逆风。
Positioning持仓
Insider cluster activity内部人集中交易
Technical技术面
SON StochRSI turned up from oversoldSON StochRSI自超卖区上行
Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱
Insider activity内部人员活动: +$0.8M net (2 buyers, 1 sellers)+$0.8M 净值（2 买家，1 卖家）
Signal History信号历史
FRESH BUY
BUY ZONE
Jul 17, 2026
SON StochRSI turned up from oversoldSON StochRSI自超卖区上行
StochRSI popped back above 20 — the earliest oscillator heads-up that downside momentum is easing. $56.57.StochRSI重回20上方 — 下行动量趋缓的最早预警。$56.57。
Jul 13, 2026
SON daily MACD crossed downSON 日线MACD下穿
The daily MACD histogram turned negative — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $53.65.日线MACD柱状图转负 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$53.65。
Jul 8, 2026
BUY ZONE → BOTTOMING买入区 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jul 7, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → BUY ZONE接近高点 → 买入区
BUY买入
Jul 6, 2026
UPTREND → NEARING A HIGH上涨趋势 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Jul 3, 2026
SON weekly MACD crossed upSON 周线MACD上穿
The weekly MACD histogram turned positive — the slower, less-whippy momentum read.周线MACD柱状图转正 — 更慢、更少来回的动量信号。
Jul 2, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → UPTREND接近高点 → 上涨趋势
HOLD持有
Jul 2, 2026
SON made a new 52-week highSON 创52周新高
Price reached a fresh 52-week high — a momentum / trend extreme the whole market watches. $57.42.价格创出52周新高 — 全市场关注的动量/趋势极值。$57.42。
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Factor Profile因子特征
Composite factor score综合因子得分: 0.19
Value价值
+1.4
Profitability盈利能力
-1.0
Quality质量
-0.9
Investment资本投入
+1.1
Shareholder payout股东回报
-0.0
Low volatility低波动
+0.4
Low market beta低市场敏感度
+0.5
Earnings quality盈利质量
-1.3
Short interest空头兴趣
-1.6
Company Profile公司档案
Sonoco Products Company is an American provider of diversified consumer packaging, industrial products, protective packaging, and packaging supply chain services and the world's largest producer of composite cans, tubes, and cores.SonocoProductsCompany是一家美国多元化消费品包装、工业产品、防护包装及包装供应链服务提供商，也是全球最大的复合罐、管和芯生产商。
Watch items — what could change the thesis关注项 — 可能改变论点的因素
- Margin compression despite revenue growth
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