Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Lagging — relative weakness落后 — 相对弱势
A normal mid-cycle dip below the 10-day average — the real cycle low isn't due for ~12+ trading days. Wait for support t这是跌破 10 日均线的正常周期中段回调——真正的周期低点要到约 12+ 个交易日后才会到来。等待支撑站稳，或等下一个低点构筑成形。
Key Statistics关键统计
Price价格
$38.34
29.2% below 52-week high低于52周高点 29.2%
Market Cap市值
$2B
Normal volume正常成交量
P/E Ratio市盈率
11.4x
28.6x sector median
Beta贝塔
0.64
Moves about 0.6x the market波动幅度约为市场的 0.6 倍
RSI (14)RSI（14）
48
Neutral zone中性区域
Volatility Rank波动率分位
63th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Short Interest空头兴趣
5.4% of float
Performance价格表现
| Period周期 | SLVM | S&P 500 | vs Index对比指数 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Week近1周 | -2.1% | -1.5% | In line with the index与指数基本持平 |
| 1 Month近1月 | -2.0% | +0.6% | Lagged the index by 2.6 points落后指数 2.6 个百分点 |
| 3 Months近3月 | -12.1% | +4.7% | Lagged the index by 16.8 points落后指数 16.8 个百分点 |
| 6 Months近6月 | -24.0% | +7.8% | Lagged the index by 31.8 points落后指数 31.8 个百分点 |
| Year to date年初至今 | -18.1% | +9.1% | Lagged the index by 27.2 points落后指数 27.2 个百分点 |
| 1 Year近1年 | -21.8% | +19.4% | Lagged the index by 41.2 points落后指数 41.2 个百分点 |
| 3 Years近3年 | -6.3% | +69.4% | Lagged the index by 75.7 points落后指数 75.7 个百分点 |
Technicals技术面
RSI (14)RSI（14）
48
Neutral zone中性区域
vs 50-day相对50日均线
-1.6% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线
-11.7% vs 200-day avg
Volatility rank波动率分位
63th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Buy zone买入区间
$37.18
Don't chase above不追高于
$38.34
Stop止损
$37.02
Wait for the pullback等待回撤
Earnings财务业绩
Estimates being cut预期下调
Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线
Valuation估值
| Multiple指标 | SLVM | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing)市盈率（历史） | 11.44x | 28.57 | 92% |
| P/B市净率 | 1.56x | 2.82 | 73% |
| P/S市销率 | 0.45x | 1.64 | 91% |
| Earnings yield盈利收益率 | 8.74% | 2.96 | 96% |
| FCF yield自由现金流收益率 | 2.91% | 3.23 | 45% |
| Shareholder yield股东收益率 | 5.43% | 2.70 | 84% |
| EV/EBITDA企业价值/EBITDA | 3.25x | 12.20 | 98% |
| P/FCF市值/自由现金流 | 34.33x | 25.03 | 33% |
Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线
Financials财务数据
Revenue营业收入
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: -1.1%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: -19.0%
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
Margins利润率
13.7%Return on Equity股本回报率
4.8%Return on Assets资产回报率
Leverage杠杆
| Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA | -0.26 |
| Current ratio流动比率 | 1.50 |
Capital Allocation资本配置
| Buybacks (TTM)回购（TTM） | $82.0M |
| Stock-based comp股权薪酬 | $18.0M |
| Share count change (1y)股数变化（1年） | -3.0% |
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 4/7
Altman Z阿尔特曼Z: safe (3.5)
Clean稳健
Snapshot Gauges综合指标
Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业
Looks cheap vs sector相对行业偏便宜
Cheaper than 80% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 80% 的公司
Beta市场敏感度
0.64×
0.21×3×
Moves about 0.6× the market波动幅度约为市场的 0.6 倍
Financial Health财务健康
4/7
Altman阿尔特曼: safe
Weak financial health财务健康状况偏弱
Dividend分红
—
Does not pay a dividend不派发股息
Why Is It Moving为何波动
Macro宏观
Long-duration name into a restrictive, rising-real-rate regime → rate headwind.长久期标的进入偏紧、实际利率上行的环境→利率逆风。
Positioning持仓
Insider cluster activity内部人集中交易
Technical技术面
BUY ZONE → UNCONFIRMED TURN买入区 → 未确认转向
Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱
Insider activity内部人员活动: -$0.8M net (0 buyers, 3 sellers)-$0.8M 净值（0 买家，3 卖家）
Signal History信号历史
BOTTOM WATCH
NEARING A LOW
Jul 14, 2026
BUY ZONE → UNCONFIRMED TURN买入区 → 未确认转向
HIGH-RISK · NIMBLE ONLY高风险 · 仅限灵活操作
Jul 14, 2026
SLVM broke down vs the marketSLVM 相对市场走弱
Relative strength vs SPY crossed below the 10th percentile of the last 90 days — weakness often leads price. $37.84.相对标普500的强弱下穿近90日的第10百分位 — 走弱常先于价格。$37.84。
Jul 10, 2026
BOTTOMING → BUY ZONE筑底中 → 买入区
BUY买入
Jul 10, 2026
SLVM weekly MACD crossed upSLVM 周线MACD上穿
The weekly MACD histogram turned positive — the slower, less-whippy momentum read.周线MACD柱状图转正 — 更慢、更少来回的动量信号。
Jul 8, 2026
SLVM broke down vs the marketSLVM 相对市场走弱
Relative strength vs SPY crossed below the 10th percentile of the last 90 days — weakness often leads price. $38.10.相对标普500的强弱下穿近90日的第10百分位 — 走弱常先于价格。$38.10。
Jul 7, 2026
SLVM daily MACD crossed upSLVM 日线MACD上穿
The daily MACD histogram turned positive — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $38.72.日线MACD柱状图转正 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$38.72。
Jul 6, 2026
BOTTOMING → BUY ZONE筑底中 → 买入区
BUY买入
Jul 6, 2026
SLVM StochRSI turned up from oversoldSLVM StochRSI自超卖区上行
StochRSI popped back above 20 — the earliest oscillator heads-up that downside momentum is easing. $38.66.StochRSI重回20上方 — 下行动量趋缓的最早预警。$38.66。
Jul 2, 2026
NEARING A LOW → BOTTOMING接近低点 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jul 1, 2026
BOTTOMING → NEARING A LOW筑底中 → 接近低点
GET READY准备
Jul 1, 2026
SLVM printed a daily-cycle lowSLVM 打出日线周期低点
A confirmed local low — in this cycle framework the highest-odds long-entry window. $37.02.一个已确认的局部低点 — 在本周期框架中做多胜率最高的入场窗口。$37.02。
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Factor Profile因子特征
Composite factor score综合因子得分: 0.35
Value价值
+1.3
Quality质量
+0.0
Investment资本投入
+0.1
Shareholder payout股东回报
+0.4
Low volatility低波动
-0.1
Low market beta低市场敏感度
+0.3
Earnings quality盈利质量
+0.1
Short interest空头兴趣
-0.4
Company Profile公司档案
Watch items — what could change the thesis关注项 — 可能改变论点的因素
- Receivables stretch
- Inventory build
- Capital intensity rising
Get the full picture获取完整视图
Nightly signals, options flow, and factor analysis across all S&P 500 names.每日更新的信号、期权资金流向和因子分析，覆盖所有标普500成分股。