AMR
Alpha Metallurgical Resources, Inc.
·
$143.80
Hold off — timing against you暂缓 — 时机不利
Terminal终端 ↗
Alpha Metallurgical Resources, Inc. · Materials
AMR
$143.80
Alpha Metallurgical Resources, formerly Contura Energy, is a leading coal supplier with underground and surface coal mining complexes across Northern and Central Appalachia.AlphaMetallurgicalResources（原名ConturaEnergy）是一家领先的煤炭供应商，在阿巴拉契亚地区北部和中部拥有地下和露天煤矿综合体。
Speculative / unprofitable投机／未盈利
Small cap小盘
$2B
Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Hold off — timing against you暂缓 — 时机不利
Downtrend — stand aside until a new cycle low forms and confirms.下跌趋势——观望，直至新的周期低点形成并确认。
Key Statistics关键统计
Price价格
$143.80
42.4% below 52-week high低于52周高点 42.4%
Market Cap市值
$2B
Normal volume正常成交量
Beta贝塔
0.73
Moves about 0.7x the market波动幅度约为市场的 0.7 倍
RSI (14)RSI（14）
32
Depressed偏低
Volatility Rank波动率分位
2th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Short Interest空头兴趣
13.6% of float
Performance价格表现
| Period周期 | AMR | S&P 500 | vs Index对比指数 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Week近1周 | -2.0% | -1.5% | In line with the index与指数基本持平 |
| 1 Month近1月 | -25.6% | +0.6% | Lagged the index by 26.2 points落后指数 26.2 个百分点 |
| 3 Months近3月 | -25.0% | +4.7% | Lagged the index by 29.7 points落后指数 29.7 个百分点 |
| 6 Months近6月 | -40.3% | +7.8% | Lagged the index by 48.1 points落后指数 48.1 个百分点 |
| Year to date年初至今 | -29.2% | +9.1% | Lagged the index by 38.3 points落后指数 38.3 个百分点 |
| 1 Year近1年 | +17.1% | +19.4% | Lagged the index by 2.3 points落后指数 2.3 个百分点 |
| 3 Years近3年 | -9.8% | +69.4% | Lagged the index by 79.2 points落后指数 79.2 个百分点 |
Technicals技术面
RSI (14)RSI（14）
32
Depressed偏低
vs 50-day相对50日均线
-19.8% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线
-22.7% vs 200-day avg
Volatility rank波动率分位
2th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Stop止损
$143.80
Blocked — failed cycle受阻 — 失败周期
Earnings财务业绩
Estimates being cut预期下调
Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线
Valuation估值
| Multiple指标 | AMR | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/B市净率 | 1.19x | 2.82 | 88% |
| P/S市销率 | 0.86x | 1.64 | 73% |
| Earnings yield盈利收益率 | -3.35% | 2.96 | 17% |
| FCF yield自由现金流收益率 | 0.97% | 3.23 | 20% |
| EV/EBITDA企业价值/EBITDA | 13.07x | 12.20 | 46% |
| P/FCF市值/自由现金流 | 103.61x | 25.03 | 3% |
Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线
Financials财务数据
Revenue营业收入
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 8.5%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
Margins利润率
-4.0%Return on Equity股本回报率
-2.7%Return on Assets资产回报率
Leverage杠杆
| Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA | -3.20 |
| Current ratio流动比率 | 4.47 |
Capital Allocation资本配置
| Stock-based comp股权薪酬 | $13.6M |
| Share count change (1y)股数变化（1年） | -1.6% |
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 4/8
Altman Z阿尔特曼Z: safe (4.0)
Clean稳健
Snapshot Gauges综合指标
Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业
Looks cheap vs sector相对行业偏便宜
Cheaper than 57% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 57% 的公司
Beta市场敏感度
0.73×
0.21×3×
Moves about 0.7× the market波动幅度约为市场的 0.7 倍
Financial Health财务健康
4/8
Altman阿尔特曼: safe
Weak financial health财务健康状况偏弱
Dividend分红
—
Does not pay a dividend不派发股息
Why Is It Moving为何波动
Macro宏观
Long-duration name into a restrictive, rising-real-rate regime → rate headwind.长久期标的进入偏紧、实际利率上行的环境→利率逆风。
Positioning持仓
Insider cluster activity内部人集中交易
Technical技术面
AMR StochRSI turned up from oversoldAMR StochRSI自超卖区上行
Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱
Insider activity内部人员活动: +$26.4M net (2 buyers, 2 sellers)+$26.4M 净值（2 买家，2 卖家）
Concentrated ownership集中持仓
| Fund基金 | Grade评级 | Activity动作 | % of portfolio组合占比 | As of截至 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dalal Street (Mohnish Pabrai) | D | Holding持有 | 28.1% | 2026-03-31 |
Signal History信号历史
DECLINE
DOWNTREND
Jul 14, 2026
AMR StochRSI turned up from oversoldAMR StochRSI自超卖区上行
StochRSI popped back above 20 — the earliest oscillator heads-up that downside momentum is easing. $153.94.StochRSI重回20上方 — 下行动量趋缓的最早预警。$153.94。
Jul 10, 2026
AMR RSI reached oversoldAMR RSI进入超卖
RSI(14) crossed below 30 — washed out; context, not a timing trigger alone. $146.69.RSI(14)下穿30 — 超卖；仅作背景，单独不构成择时。$146.69。
Jul 6, 2026
Death cross on AMRAMR 死叉
The 50-day average crossed below the 200-day — a slow, widely-watched bearish trend signal. $157.54.50日均线下穿200日均线 — 一个滞后但广受关注的看空趋势信号。$157.54。
Jun 22, 2026
AMR lost its 200-day averageAMR 跌破200日均线
Price closed below the 200-day moving average — the classic bear dividing line. $175.09.收盘跌破200日均线 — 经典的空头分界线。$175.09。
Jun 22, 2026
AMR broke down vs the marketAMR 相对市场走弱
Relative strength vs SPY crossed below the 10th percentile of the last 90 days — weakness often leads price. $175.09.相对标普500的强弱下穿近90日的第10百分位 — 走弱常先于价格。$175.09。
Jun 15, 2026
TOPPING → NEARING A LOW做顶中 → 接近低点
GET READY准备
Jun 10, 2026
NEARING A LOW → TOPPING接近低点 → 做顶中
SELL SETUP卖出预备
Jun 10, 2026
AMR daily MACD crossed downAMR 日线MACD下穿
The daily MACD histogram turned negative — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $194.29.日线MACD柱状图转负 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$194.29。
May 26, 2026
AMR reclaimed its 200-day averageAMR 收复200日均线
Price closed back above the 200-day moving average — the classic bull dividing line. $192.83.收盘重回200日均线 — 经典的多头分界线。$192.83。
May 26, 2026
AMR daily MACD crossed upAMR 日线MACD上穿
The daily MACD histogram turned positive — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $192.83.日线MACD柱状图转正 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$192.83。
May 26, 2026
AMR StochRSI turned up from oversoldAMR StochRSI自超卖区上行
StochRSI popped back above 20 — the earliest oscillator heads-up that downside momentum is easing. $192.83.StochRSI重回20上方 — 下行动量趋缓的最早预警。$192.83。
Showing last 15 of显示最近15条，共 223 signals条信号
Factor Profile因子特征
Composite factor score综合因子得分: 0.10
Value价值
+0.4
Quality质量
+0.4
Investment资本投入
+0.9
Low volatility低波动
-1.3
Low market beta低市场敏感度
+0.1
Earnings quality盈利质量
+0.7
Short interest空头兴趣
-1.8
Company Profile公司档案
Alpha Metallurgical Resources, formerly Contura Energy, is a leading coal supplier with underground and surface coal mining complexes across Northern and Central Appalachia.AlphaMetallurgicalResources（原名ConturaEnergy）是一家领先的煤炭供应商，在阿巴拉契亚地区北部和中部拥有地下和露天煤矿综合体。
Watch items — what could change the thesis关注项 — 可能改变论点的因素
- Inventory build
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