SAIA Saia · $436.85 Constructive — building a base建设性 — 正在筑底 Terminal终端 ↗

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Saia · Industrials

SAIA

$436.85
Saia is an American less than truckload (LTL) trucking company that originated in Houma, Louisiana, in 1924. With original operation occurring in Louisiana and Texas for the first fifty years, expansion came after 1980 when coverage began reaching into more...Saia是一家美国零担（LTL）货运公司，1924年成立于路易斯安那州霍马。最初五十年仅在路易斯安那州和德克萨斯州运营，1980年后扩张至南方更多州。
High-beta momentum高贝塔动量 Large cap大盘 $12B
Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Constructive — building a base建设性 — 正在筑底
Daily low forming, but the bigger trend is still bearish. Small size only; stop below 414.65.日线低点正在形成，但大趋势仍偏空。只适合小仓位；止损设于 414.65 下方。
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Key Statistics关键统计

Price价格
$436.85
10.3% below 52-week high低于52周高点 10.3%
Market Cap市值
$12B
Normal volume正常成交量
P/E Ratio市盈率
45.6x
29.9x sector median
Beta贝塔
1.59
Moves about 1.6x the market波动幅度约为市场的 1.6 倍
RSI (14)RSI（14）
52
Neutral zone中性区域
Next Earnings下次财报
2026-07-24 (5d)
Short Interest空头兴趣
4.8% of float

Performance价格表现

Period周期 SAIA S&P 500vs Index对比指数
1 Week近1周 +3.8% -1.5% Beat the index by 5.3 points跑赢指数 5.3 个百分点
1 Month近1月 +2.6% +0.6% Beat the index by 2.0 points跑赢指数 2.0 个百分点
3 Months近3月 +0.6% +4.7% Lagged the index by 4.1 points落后指数 4.1 个百分点
6 Months近6月 +24.5% +7.8% Beat the index by 16.7 points跑赢指数 16.7 个百分点
Year to date年初至今 +29.6% +9.1% Beat the index by 20.5 points跑赢指数 20.5 个百分点
1 Year近1年 +49.8% +19.4% Beat the index by 30.4 points跑赢指数 30.4 个百分点
3 Years近3年 +14.3% +69.4% Lagged the index by 55.1 points落后指数 55.1 个百分点

Technicals技术面

RSI (14)RSI（14） 52 Neutral zone中性区域
vs 50-day相对50日均线 -2.4% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线 +17.7% vs 200-day avg
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Buy zone买入区间
$425.50
Don't chase above不追高于
$436.90
Stop止损
$414.60
Bounce — turn not confirmed; wait反弹 — 转向未确认，先观望

Earnings财务业绩

5
days until next report天后公布财报
2026-07-24

Estimates being raised — 13 analysts预期上调 — 13 位分析师

Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线

Valuation估值

Multiple指标 SAIA Sector median行业中位 Cheaper than相对便宜
P/E (trailing)市盈率（历史） 45.64x 29.89
25%
P/B市净率 4.52x 3.90
44%
P/S市销率 3.60x 2.21
30%
Earnings yield盈利收益率 2.19% 3.10
32%
FCF yield自由现金流收益率 0.23% 3.81
9%
EV/EBITDA企业价值/EBITDA 19.61x 16.39
32%
P/FCF市值/自由现金流 425.84x 25.50
2%
Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线

Financials财务数据

Revenue营业收入
$1.8B
2020
$2.3B
2021
$2.8B
2022
$2.9B
2023
$3.2B
2024
$3.2B
2025
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 12.2%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
$5.20
2020
$9.48
2021
$13.40
2022
$13.26
2023
$13.51
2024
$9.52
2025
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 12.9%
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
$78.0M
2020
$96.8M
2021
$105.6M
2022
$138.1M
2023
-$459.9M
2024
$27.3M
2025
Margins利润率
Operating margin营业利润率
10.9%
Net margin净利率
7.9%
FCF margin自由现金流利润率
18.4%
9.9%Return on Equity股本回报率
7.3%Return on Assets资产回报率
Leverage杠杆
Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA0.24
Current ratio流动比率1.64
Capital Allocation资本配置
Stock-based comp股权薪酬$17.4M
Share count change (1y)股数变化（1年）+0.2%
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 5/8 Altman Z阿尔特曼Z: safe (9.9) Clean稳健

Snapshot Gauges综合指标

Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业
Expensive vs sector相对行业偏贵
Cheaper than 28% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 28% 的公司
Beta市场敏感度
1.59×
0.21×3×
Moves about 1.6× the market波动幅度约为市场的 1.6 倍
Financial Health财务健康
5/8
Altman阿尔特曼: safe
Adequate financial health财务健康状况一般
Dividend分红
—
Does not pay a dividend不派发股息

Why Is It Moving为何波动

Macro宏观 Rate risk runs through its market / growth beta, not a distinct duration leg.其利率风险通过市场／成长beta体现，并无独立的久期暴露。
Positioning持仓 Short interest changed +11.1%空头仓位变动 +11.1%
Technical技术面 SAIA daily MACD crossed upSAIA 日线MACD上穿

Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱

Insider activity内部人员活动: -$6.9M net (1 buyers, 7 sellers)-$6.9M 净值（1 买家，7 卖家）
Fund基金 Grade评级 Activity动作 % of portfolio组合占比 As of截至
Viking Global (Halvorsen) B exitexit 0.0% 2026-03-31

Signal History信号历史

NEARING A LOW → UNCONFIRMED TURN接近低点 → 未确认转向
HIGH-RISK · NIMBLE ONLY. A daily bottoming setup is forming (swing low in, momentum turned up) — but the higher timeframes haven't confirmed it: the bigger picture is still bearish (weekly momentum just crossed down). This is an UNCONFIRMED TURN, not a confirmed buy. Weekly confirmation lags price, so this exact reading covers BOTH bounces that fail AND the first leg of a genuine new cycle — you can't tell which in real time, so treat it as a risk/size signal, not a direction call. Measured: weekly-unconfirmed bottoming setups held the low ~49% of the time vs ~68% once the weekly turns up高风险 · 仅限灵活操作。正在形成日线筑底形态（摆动低点已现、动量转向上行）——但更高周期尚未确认：大局仍偏空（周线动量刚刚向下交叉）。这是「未确认转向」，并非已确认的买入。周线确认滞后于价格，因此同样的读数既涵盖最终失败的反弹，也涵盖真正新周期的第一段——实时无法判定属于哪一种，故应将其视为风险/仓位信号，而非方向判断。实测：周线未确认的筑底形态约 49% 守住低点，周线转向后升至约 68%
COUNTERTREND BOUNCE UNCONFIRMED TURN
Jul 13, 2026
SAIA daily MACD crossed upSAIA 日线MACD上穿
The daily MACD histogram turned positive — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $432.06.日线MACD柱状图转正 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$432.06。
Jul 9, 2026
SAIA StochRSI turned up from oversoldSAIA StochRSI自超卖区上行
StochRSI popped back above 20 — the earliest oscillator heads-up that downside momentum is easing. $421.29.StochRSI重回20上方 — 下行动量趋缓的最早预警。$421.29。
Jul 7, 2026
UNCONFIRMED TURN → NEARING A LOW未确认转向 → 接近低点
GET READY准备
Jul 6, 2026
NEARING A LOW → UNCONFIRMED TURN接近低点 → 未确认转向
HIGH-RISK · NIMBLE ONLY高风险 · 仅限灵活操作
Jul 3, 2026
SAIA weekly MACD crossed downSAIA 周线MACD下穿
The weekly MACD histogram turned negative — the slower, less-whippy momentum read.周线MACD柱状图转负 — 更慢、更少来回的动量信号。
Jun 29, 2026
BOTTOMING → NEARING A LOW筑底中 → 接近低点
GET READY准备
Jun 25, 2026
UNCONFIRMED TURN → BOTTOMING未确认转向 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备

Showing last 15 of显示最近15条，共 258 signals条信号

Factor Profile因子特征

Composite factor score综合因子得分: -0.14
Value价值
-0.6
Quality质量
+0.8
Investment资本投入
-0.1
Low volatility低波动
-0.6
Low market beta低市场敏感度
-1.0
Earnings quality盈利质量
+0.9
Short interest空头兴趣
+0.3

Company Profile公司档案

Saia is an American less than truckload (LTL) trucking company that originated in Houma, Louisiana, in 1924. With original operation occurring in Louisiana and Texas for the first fifty years, expansion came after 1980 when coverage began reaching into more...Saia是一家美国零担（LTL）货运公司，1924年成立于路易斯安那州霍马。最初五十年仅在路易斯安那州和德克萨斯州运营，1980年后扩张至南方更多州。
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