Graco Inc. · Industrials
GGG
$74.59
Graco Inc. is an American manufacturer of fluid-handling systems and equipment, headquartered in Minneapolis, Minnesota.固瑞克公司是一家美国流体处理系统和设备制造商，总部位于明尼苏达州明尼阿波利斯市。
Cyclical周期股
Large cap大盘
$12B
Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Neutral — no clear edge中性 — 无明显优势
Daily low forming, but the bigger trend is still bearish. Small size only; stop below 73.19.日线低点正在形成，但大趋势仍偏空。只适合小仓位；止损设于 73.19 下方。
Key Statistics关键统计
Price价格
$74.59
21.1% below 52-week high低于52周高点 21.1%
Market Cap市值
$12B
Normal volume正常成交量
P/E Ratio市盈率
23.6x
29.9x sector median
Beta贝塔
0.63
Moves about 0.6x the market波动幅度约为市场的 0.6 倍
RSI (14)RSI（14）
48
Neutral zone中性区域
Next Earnings下次财报
2026-07-22 (3d)
Volatility Rank波动率分位
77th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Short Interest空头兴趣
3.8% of float
Performance价格表现
| Period周期 | GGG | S&P 500 | vs Index对比指数 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Week近1周 | +0.8% | -1.5% | Beat the index by 2.3 points跑赢指数 2.3 个百分点 |
| 1 Month近1月 | -0.9% | +0.6% | Lagged the index by 1.5 points落后指数 1.5 个百分点 |
| 3 Months近3月 | -14.0% | +4.7% | Lagged the index by 18.7 points落后指数 18.7 个百分点 |
| 6 Months近6月 | -14.9% | +7.8% | Lagged the index by 22.7 points落后指数 22.7 个百分点 |
| Year to date年初至今 | -9.1% | +9.1% | Lagged the index by 18.2 points落后指数 18.2 个百分点 |
| 1 Year近1年 | -13.8% | +19.4% | Lagged the index by 33.2 points落后指数 33.2 个百分点 |
| 3 Years近3年 | -11.5% | +69.4% | Lagged the index by 80.9 points落后指数 80.9 个百分点 |
Technicals技术面
RSI (14)RSI（14）
48
Neutral zone中性区域
vs 50-day相对50日均线
-1.0% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线
-9.5% vs 200-day avg
Volatility rank波动率分位
77th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Buy zone买入区间
$74.33
Don't chase above不追高于
$74.59
Stop止损
$73.19
Bounce — turn not confirmed; wait反弹 — 转向未确认，先观望
Earnings财务业绩
3
days until next report天后公布财报
2026-07-22
Estimates being raised — 1 analysts预期上调 — 1 位分析师
Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线
Valuation估值
| Multiple指标 | GGG | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing)市盈率（历史） | 23.61x | 29.89 | 67% |
| P/B市净率 | 4.64x | 3.90 | 42% |
| P/S市销率 | 5.51x | 2.21 | 14% |
| Earnings yield盈利收益率 | 4.24% | 3.10 | 71% |
| FCF yield自由现金流收益率 | 5.18% | 3.81 | 68% |
| Shareholder yield股东收益率 | 3.43% | 2.29 | 62% |
| EV/EBITDA企业价值/EBITDA | 15.97x | 16.39 | 51% |
| P/FCF市值/自由现金流 | 19.31x | 25.50 | 65% |
Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线
Financials财务数据
Revenue营业收入
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 6.3%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 9.9%
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
Margins利润率
19.7%Return on Equity股本回报率
15.9%Return on Assets资产回报率
Leverage杠杆
| Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA | -0.85 |
| Current ratio流动比率 | 3.15 |
Capital Allocation资本配置
| Buybacks (TTM)回购（TTM） | $423.1M |
| Stock-based comp股权薪酬 | $34.3M |
| Share count change (1y)股数变化（1年） | -2.5% |
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 6/8
Altman Z阿尔特曼Z: safe (14.2)
Clean稳健
Snapshot Gauges综合指标
Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业
Roughly fair vs sector相对行业估值合理
Cheaper than 48% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 48% 的公司
Beta市场敏感度
0.63×
0.21×3×
Moves about 0.6× the market波动幅度约为市场的 0.6 倍
Financial Health财务健康
6/8
Altman阿尔特曼: safe
Adequate financial health财务健康状况一般
Dividend分红
—
Does not pay a dividend不派发股息
Why Is It Moving为何波动
Sector / Theme行业/主题
Industrial Distribution & Capital Goods theme — #20 of 46 themes「工业分销与资本品」主题 — 46 个主题中第 20 位
Macro宏观
Rate risk runs through its market / growth beta, not a distinct duration leg.其利率风险通过市场／成长beta体现，并无独立的久期暴露。
Positioning持仓
Insider cluster activity内部人集中交易
Technical技术面
GGG daily MACD crossed upGGG 日线MACD上穿
Options Positioning期权持仓
Market makers are net short gamma — price moves may amplify做市商净持有负伽玛，价格波动可能被放大
Expected daily move预期日波动
±2.12%
Expected weekly move预期周波动
±4.75%
Call wall看涨密集区
$80
Put wall看跌密集区
$70
Gamma flip伽玛翻转
$81
25d risk reversal25d风险逆转
-8.9%
Skew: 偏斜：fear
Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱
Insider activity内部人员活动: -$3.8M net (0 buyers, 6 sellers)-$3.8M 净值（0 买家，6 卖家）
Signal History信号历史
COUNTERTREND BOUNCE
UNCONFIRMED TURN
Jul 16, 2026
GGG daily MACD crossed upGGG 日线MACD上穿
The daily MACD histogram turned positive — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $76.17.日线MACD柱状图转正 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$76.17。
Jul 13, 2026
GGG StochRSI turned up from oversoldGGG StochRSI自超卖区上行
StochRSI popped back above 20 — the earliest oscillator heads-up that downside momentum is easing. $73.92.StochRSI重回20上方 — 下行动量趋缓的最早预警。$73.92。
Jul 9, 2026
GGG daily MACD crossed downGGG 日线MACD下穿
The daily MACD histogram turned negative — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $73.19.日线MACD柱状图转负 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$73.19。
Jul 8, 2026
UNCONFIRMED TURN → DOWNTREND未确认转向 → 下跌趋势
AVOID回避
Jul 8, 2026
GGG made a new 52-week lowGGG 创52周新低
Price reached a fresh 52-week low — a momentum / trend extreme the whole market watches. $73.23.价格创出52周新低 — 全市场关注的动量/趋势极值。$73.23。
Jul 6, 2026
GGG broke down vs the marketGGG 相对市场走弱
Relative strength vs SPY crossed below the 10th percentile of the last 90 days — weakness often leads price. $75.67.相对标普500的强弱下穿近90日的第10百分位 — 走弱常先于价格。$75.67。
Jul 2, 2026
NEARING A LOW → UNCONFIRMED TURN接近低点 → 未确认转向
HIGH-RISK · NIMBLE ONLY高风险 · 仅限灵活操作
Jul 1, 2026
UPTREND → NEARING A LOW上涨趋势 → 接近低点
GET READY准备
Jul 1, 2026
GGG broke down vs the marketGGG 相对市场走弱
Relative strength vs SPY crossed below the 10th percentile of the last 90 days — weakness often leads price. $74.82.相对标普500的强弱下穿近90日的第10百分位 — 走弱常先于价格。$74.82。
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Factor Profile因子特征
Composite factor score综合因子得分: 0.19
Value价值
-0.6
Profitability盈利能力
+0.2
Quality质量
+0.1
Investment资本投入
+0.2
Shareholder payout股东回报
-0.1
Low volatility低波动
+1.2
Low market beta低市场敏感度
+0.3
Earnings quality盈利质量
+0.0
Short interest空头兴趣
+0.1
Company Profile公司档案
Graco Inc. is an American manufacturer of fluid-handling systems and equipment, headquartered in Minneapolis, Minnesota.固瑞克公司是一家美国流体处理系统和设备制造商，总部位于明尼苏达州明尼阿波利斯市。
Watch items — what could change the thesis关注项 — 可能改变论点的因素
- Margin compression despite revenue growth
Get the full picture获取完整视图
Nightly signals, options flow, and factor analysis across all S&P 500 names.每日更新的信号、期权资金流向和因子分析，覆盖所有标普500成分股。