RYAN Ryan Specialty · $41.97 Extended — don't chase; wait for a pullback过度拉升 — 勿追高；等待回撤 Terminal终端 ↗

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Ryan Specialty · Financials

RYAN

$41.97
Financial金融股
Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Extended — don't chase; wait for a pullback过度拉升 — 勿追高；等待回撤
You missed the bottoming entry — the low already formed and price is now extended (momentum is fading — the daily moment已错过筑底入场——低点已经形成，目前价格已拉伸（动量正在衰竭——日线动量已开始掉头向下）。不要追高；等待回调至 10 日均线或下一个周期低点。若已持有则继续持有。
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Key Statistics关键统计

Price价格
$41.97
36.8% below 52-week high低于52周高点 36.8%
Beta贝塔
-0.18
Moves about -0.2x the market波动幅度约为市场的 -0.2 倍
RSI (14)RSI（14）
64
Elevated偏高
Next Earnings下次财报
2026-07-30 (11d)
Volatility Rank波动率分位
81th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数

Performance价格表现

Period周期 RYAN S&P 500vs Index对比指数
1 Week近1周 +3.9% -1.5% Beat the index by 5.4 points跑赢指数 5.4 个百分点
1 Month近1月 +19.0% +0.6% Beat the index by 18.4 points跑赢指数 18.4 个百分点
3 Months近3月 +12.5% +4.7% Beat the index by 7.8 points跑赢指数 7.8 个百分点
6 Months近6月 -17.9% +7.8% Lagged the index by 25.7 points落后指数 25.7 个百分点
Year to date年初至今 -16.4% +9.1% Lagged the index by 25.5 points落后指数 25.5 个百分点
1 Year近1年 -36.8% +19.4% Lagged the index by 56.2 points落后指数 56.2 个百分点
3 Years近3年 -4.6% +69.4% Lagged the index by 74.0 points落后指数 74.0 个百分点

Technicals技术面

RSI (14)RSI（14） 64 Elevated偏高
vs 50-day相对50日均线 +18.9% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线 -3.7% vs 200-day avg
Volatility rank波动率分位 81th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Buy zone买入区间
$40.27
Don't chase above不追高于
$41.97
Stop止损
$33.26
Extended — wait for a pullback过度拉伸 — 等待回撤

Earnings财务业绩

11
days until next report天后公布财报
2026-07-30

Estimates being raised — 6 analysts预期上调 — 6 位分析师

Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线

Financials财务数据

Revenue营业收入
$1.4B
2021
$1.7B
2022
$2.1B
2023
$2.5B
2024
$3.1B
2025
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 20.8%
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
-$69.7M
2021
$327.8M
2022
$477.2M
2023
$514.9M
2024
$640.7M
2025
Margins利润率
Operating margin营业利润率
16.2%
Net margin净利率
2.1%
FCF margin自由现金流利润率
21.1%
9.8%Return on Equity股本回报率
0.6%Return on Assets资产回报率
Leverage杠杆
Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA6.30
Capital Allocation资本配置
Buybacks (TTM)回购（TTM）$40.0M
Stock-based comp股权薪酬$69.5M
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 5/7 Clean稳健

Snapshot Gauges综合指标

Beta市场敏感度
-0.18×
0.21×3×
Has tended to move opposite the market (factor-adjusted)经因子调整后常与大盘反向波动
Financial Health财务健康
5/7
Adequate financial health财务健康状况一般
Dividend分红
—
Does not pay a dividend不派发股息

Why Is It Moving为何波动

Macro宏观 Short-duration name into a restrictive, rising-real-rate regime → rate tailwind.短久期标的进入偏紧、实际利率上行的环境→利率顺风。
Positioning持仓 Insider cluster activity内部人集中交易
Technical技术面 RYAN took relative-strength leadershipRYAN 取得相对强弱领先

Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱

Insider activity内部人员活动: -$231.8M net (1 buyers, 2 sellers)-$231.8M 净值（1 买家，2 卖家）

Signal History信号历史

BUY ZONE → NEARING A HIGH买入区 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS. A daily bottoming setup did fire (swing low in, momentum turned up), but it's LATE — price is already extended above the cycle low (formed ~18 day(s) ago @ 33.26) and momentum is fading — the daily momentum is already rolling over. A momentum cross is a LAGGING confirmation: after a vertical run it only triggers once the move is mature, so the bottoming entry has already passed. This is a chase, not a fresh buy止盈。日线筑底形态确实已经触发（摆动低点出现、动量转向上行），但为时已晚——价格已显著高于周期低点（约 18 天前形成 @ 33.26）且动量正在衰竭——日线动量已开始掉头向下。动量交叉属于滞后确认：在垂直拉升之后，只有当走势已经成熟时才会触发，因此筑底入场早已错过。这是追高，而非新的买入
TOP WATCH NEARING A HIGH
Jul 16, 2026
RYAN took relative-strength leadershipRYAN 取得相对强弱领先
Relative strength vs SPY crossed above the 90th percentile of the last 90 days — leadership tends to persist. $42.34.相对标普500的强弱上穿近90日的第90百分位 — 领先往往延续。$42.34。
Jul 15, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → BOTTOMING接近高点 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jul 13, 2026
RYAN took relative-strength leadershipRYAN 取得相对强弱领先
Relative strength vs SPY crossed above the 90th percentile of the last 90 days — leadership tends to persist. $41.76.相对标普500的强弱上穿近90日的第90百分位 — 领先往往延续。$41.76。
Jul 9, 2026
BUY ZONE → NEARING A HIGH买入区 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Jul 7, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → BUY ZONE接近高点 → 买入区
BUY买入
Jul 2, 2026
BUY ZONE → NEARING A HIGH买入区 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Jul 2, 2026
RYAN took relative-strength leadershipRYAN 取得相对强弱领先
Relative strength vs SPY crossed above the 90th percentile of the last 90 days — leadership tends to persist. $42.03.相对标普500的强弱上穿近90日的第90百分位 — 领先往往延续。$42.03。
Jul 2, 2026
RYAN RSI reached overboughtRYAN RSI进入超买
RSI(14) crossed above 70 — stretched to the upside; context, not a timing trigger alone. $42.03.RSI(14)上穿70 — 上行过度；仅作背景，单独不构成择时。$42.03。
Jun 24, 2026
NEARING A LOW → UPTREND接近低点 → 上涨趋势
HOLD持有

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Factor Profile因子特征

Composite factor score综合因子得分: -0.12
Quality质量
-0.1
Investment资本投入
-0.1
Low volatility低波动
-0.3
Low market beta低市场敏感度
+1.4
Earnings quality盈利质量
+0.2
Short interest空头兴趣
-1.0

Company Profile公司档案

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