PMT PennyMac Mortgage Investment Trust · $9.90 Neutral — no clear edge中性 — 无明显优势 Terminal终端 ↗

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PennyMac Mortgage Investment Trust · Real Estate

PMT

$9.90
Rate-sensitive利率敏感 Small cap小盘 $860M
Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Neutral — no clear edge中性 — 无明显优势
Daily low forming, but the bigger trend is still bearish. Small size only; stop below 9.51.日线低点正在形成，但大趋势仍偏空。只适合小仓位；止损设于 9.51 下方。
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Key Statistics关键统计

Price价格
$9.90
25.8% below 52-week high低于52周高点 25.8%
Market Cap市值
$860M
Normal volume正常成交量
P/E Ratio市盈率
10.0x
31.0x sector median
Beta贝塔
0.56
Moves about 0.6x the market波动幅度约为市场的 0.6 倍
RSI (14)RSI（14）
44
Neutral zone中性区域
Next Earnings下次财报
2026-07-28 (9d)
Volatility Rank波动率分位
76th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Short Interest空头兴趣
8.3% of float

Performance价格表现

Period周期 PMT S&P 500vs Index对比指数
1 Week近1周 -3.7% -1.5% Lagged the index by 2.2 points落后指数 2.2 个百分点
1 Month近1月 +2.3% +0.6% Beat the index by 1.7 points跑赢指数 1.7 个百分点
3 Months近3月 -18.1% +4.7% Lagged the index by 22.8 points落后指数 22.8 个百分点
6 Months近6月 -25.8% +7.8% Lagged the index by 33.6 points落后指数 33.6 个百分点
Year to date年初至今 -19.0% +9.1% Lagged the index by 28.1 points落后指数 28.1 个百分点
1 Year近1年 -13.5% +19.4% Lagged the index by 32.9 points落后指数 32.9 个百分点
3 Years近3年 +0.6% +69.4% Lagged the index by 68.8 points落后指数 68.8 个百分点

Technicals技术面

RSI (14)RSI（14） 44 Neutral zone中性区域
vs 50-day相对50日均线 -3.4% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线 -13.3% vs 200-day avg
Volatility rank波动率分位 76th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Buy zone买入区间
$9.64
Don't chase above不追高于
$9.90
Stop止损
$9.51
Bounce — turn not confirmed; wait反弹 — 转向未确认，先观望

Earnings财务业绩

9
days until next report天后公布财报
2026-07-28

Estimates being cut预期下调

Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线

Valuation估值

Multiple指标 PMT Sector median行业中位 Cheaper than相对便宜
P/E (trailing)市盈率（历史） 10.01x 30.98
92%
P/B市净率 0.46x 2.01
99%
Earnings yield盈利收益率 9.99% 3.11
94%
Shareholder yield股东收益率 16.18% 3.84
99%
Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线

Financials财务数据

Earnings Per Share每股收益
$0.27
2020
$0.26
2021
$-1.26
2022
$1.63
2023
$1.37
2024
$0.99
2025
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 29.7%
Margins利润率
4.6%Return on Equity股本回报率
0.4%Return on Assets资产回报率
Capital Allocation资本配置
Stock-based comp股权薪酬$3.9M
Share count change (1y)股数变化（1年）+0.2%
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 1/5 Watch关注

Snapshot Gauges综合指标

Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业
Looks cheap vs sector相对行业偏便宜
Cheaper than 96% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 96% 的公司
Beta市场敏感度
0.56×
0.21×3×
Moves about 0.6× the market波动幅度约为市场的 0.6 倍
Financial Health财务健康
1/5
Weak financial health财务健康状况偏弱
Dividend分红
—
Does not pay a dividend不派发股息

Why Is It Moving为何波动

Macro宏观 Long-duration name into a restrictive, rising-real-rate regime → rate headwind.长久期标的进入偏紧、实际利率上行的环境→利率逆风。
Positioning持仓 Short interest changed +27.8%空头仓位变动 +27.8%
Technical技术面 PMT broke down vs the marketPMT 相对市场走弱

Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱

Insider activity内部人员活动: +$0.1M net (2 buyers, 0 sellers)+$0.1M 净值（2 买家，0 卖家）

Signal History信号历史

UPTREND → UNCONFIRMED TURN上涨趋势 → 未确认转向
HIGH-RISK · NIMBLE ONLY. A daily bottoming setup is forming (swing low in, momentum turned up) — but the higher timeframes haven't confirmed it: the bigger picture is still bearish (weekly momentum curling up; investor cycle failed (broke its start low)). This is an UNCONFIRMED TURN, not a confirmed buy. Weekly confirmation lags price, so this exact reading covers BOTH bounces that fail AND the first leg of a genuine new cycle — you can't tell which in real time, so treat it as a risk/size signal, not a direction call. Measured: weekly-unconfirmed bottoming setups held the low ~49% of the time vs ~68% once the weekly turns up高风险 · 仅限灵活操作。正在形成日线筑底形态（摆动低点已现、动量转向上行）——但更高周期尚未确认：大局仍偏空（周线动量开始上翘；投资者周期失败（跌破起始低点））。这是「未确认转向」，并非已确认的买入。周线确认滞后于价格，因此同样的读数既涵盖最终失败的反弹，也涵盖真正新周期的第一段——实时无法判定属于哪一种，故应将其视为风险/仓位信号，而非方向判断。实测：周线未确认的筑底形态约 49% 守住低点，周线转向后升至约 68%
COUNTERTREND BOUNCE UNCONFIRMED TURN
Jul 15, 2026
PMT broke down vs the marketPMT 相对市场走弱
Relative strength vs SPY crossed below the 10th percentile of the last 90 days — weakness often leads price. $9.83.相对标普500的强弱下穿近90日的第10百分位 — 走弱常先于价格。$9.83。
Jul 15, 2026
PMT daily MACD crossed downPMT 日线MACD下穿
The daily MACD histogram turned negative — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $9.83.日线MACD柱状图转负 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$9.83。
Jul 7, 2026
BOTTOMING → UNCONFIRMED TURN筑底中 → 未确认转向
HIGH-RISK · NIMBLE ONLY高风险 · 仅限灵活操作
Jul 6, 2026
UNCONFIRMED TURN → BOTTOMING未确认转向 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jun 30, 2026
BOTTOMING → UPTREND筑底中 → 上涨趋势
HOLD持有
Jun 26, 2026
UNCONFIRMED TURN → BOTTOMING未确认转向 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jun 25, 2026
UPTREND → UNCONFIRMED TURN上涨趋势 → 未确认转向
HIGH-RISK · NIMBLE ONLY高风险 · 仅限灵活操作
Jun 24, 2026
DOWNTREND → UPTREND下跌趋势 → 上涨趋势
HOLD持有

Showing last 15 of显示最近15条，共 294 signals条信号

Factor Profile因子特征

Composite factor score综合因子得分: -0.23
Value价值
+0.5
Quality质量
-3.0
Investment资本投入
-2.4
Shareholder payout股东回报
+3.0
Low volatility低波动
+0.7
Low market beta低市场敏感度
+0.4
Earnings quality盈利质量
-3.0
Short interest空头兴趣
-0.0

Company Profile公司档案

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