BFS Saul Centers, Inc. · $36.65 Extended — don't chase; wait for a pullback过度拉升 — 勿追高;等待回撤 Terminal终端
Saul Centers, Inc. · Real Estate

BFS

$36.65
Distressed困境股 Small cap小盘 $900M
Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Extended — don't chase; wait for a pullback过度拉升 — 勿追高;等待回撤
You missed the bottoming entry — the low already formed and price is now extended (momentum is fading — the 3-day/weekly已错过筑底入场——低点已经形成,目前价格已拉伸(动量正在衰竭——3 日/周线动量已向下交叉)。不要追高;等待回调至 10 日均线或下一个周期低点。若已持有则继续持有。
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Key Statistics关键统计

Price价格
$36.65
3.1% below 52-week high低于52周高点 3.1%
Market Cap市值
$900M
Normal volume正常成交量
P/E Ratio市盈率
24.0x
31.0x sector median
Beta贝塔
0.04
Moves about 0.0x the market波动幅度约为市场的 0.0 倍
RSI (14)RSI(14)
57
Neutral zone中性区域
Next Earnings下次财报
2026-08-06 (18d)
Volatility Rank波动率分位
75th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Short Interest空头兴趣
1.5% of float

Performance价格表现

Period周期 BFS S&P 500vs Index对比指数
1 Week近1周 +3.1% -1.5% Beat the index by 4.6 points跑赢指数 4.6 个百分点
1 Month近1月 +4.9% +0.6% Beat the index by 4.3 points跑赢指数 4.3 个百分点
3 Months近3月 +6.4% +4.7% Beat the index by 1.7 points跑赢指数 1.7 个百分点
6 Months近6月 +17.1% +7.8% Beat the index by 9.3 points跑赢指数 9.3 个百分点
Year to date年初至今 +20.4% +9.1% Beat the index by 11.3 points跑赢指数 11.3 个百分点
1 Year近1年 +17.4% +19.4% Lagged the index by 2.0 points落后指数 2.0 个百分点
3 Years近3年 +15.4% +69.4% Lagged the index by 54.0 points落后指数 54.0 个百分点

Technicals技术面

RSI (14)RSI(14) 57 Neutral zone中性区域
vs 50-day相对50日均线 +3.1% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线 +13.0% vs 200-day avg
Volatility rank波动率分位 75th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Buy zone买入区间
$36.00
Don't chase above不追高于
$36.65
Stop止损
$34.93
Extended — wait for a pullback过度拉伸 — 等待回撤

Earnings财务业绩

18
days until next report天后公布财报
2026-08-06
Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线

Valuation估值

Multiple指标 BFS Sector median行业中位 Cheaper than相对便宜
P/E (trailing)市盈率(历史) 23.99x 30.98
72%
P/B市净率 2.92x 2.01
22%
P/S市销率 3.10x 6.79
79%
Earnings yield盈利收益率 4.17% 3.11
76%
Shareholder yield股东收益率 6.35% 3.84
83%
EV/EBITDA企业价值/EBITDA 5.35x 14.15
93%
Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线

Financials财务数据

Revenue营业收入
$225.2M
2020
$239.2M
2021
$245.9M
2022
$257.2M
2023
$268.8M
2024
$289.8M
2025
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 5.2%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
$1.25
2020
$1.57
2021
$1.63
2022
$1.73
2023
$1.63
2024
$1.09
2025
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: -2.7%
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
$22.2M
2020
$62.5M
2021
$4.3M
2022
2023
2024
2025
Margins利润率
Operating margin营业利润率
67.4%
Net margin净利率
12.9%
FCF margin自由现金流利润率
34.4%
12.2%Return on Equity股本回报率
1.7%Return on Assets资产回报率
Leverage杠杆
Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA1.81
Capital Allocation资本配置
Stock-based comp股权薪酬$2.0M
Share count change (1y)股数变化(1年)+1.0%
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 4/7 Altman Z阿尔特曼Z: distress (0.5) Clean稳健

Snapshot Gauges综合指标

Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业
Looks cheap vs sector相对行业偏便宜
Cheaper than 66% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 66% 的公司
Beta市场敏感度
0.04×
0.2
Moves about 0.0× the market波动幅度约为市场的 0.0 倍
Financial Health财务健康
4/7
Altman阿尔特曼: distress
Weak financial health财务健康状况偏弱
Dividend分红
Does not pay a dividend不派发股息

Why Is It Moving为何波动

Macro宏观 Long-duration name into a restrictive, rising-real-rate regime → rate headwind.长久期标的进入偏紧、实际利率上行的环境→利率逆风。
Positioning持仓 Insider cluster activity内部人集中交易
Technical技术面 BFS StochRSI turned up from oversoldBFS StochRSI自超卖区上行

Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱

Insider activity内部人员活动: +$0.2M net (3 buyers, 0 sellers)+$0.2M 净值(3 买家,0 卖家)

Signal History信号历史

BOTTOMING → NEARING A HIGH筑底中 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS. A daily bottoming setup did fire (swing low in, momentum turned up), but it's LATE — price is already extended above the cycle low (formed ~20 day(s) ago @ 34.93) and momentum is fading — the 3-day/weekly momentum has crossed down. A momentum cross is a LAGGING confirmation: after a vertical run it only triggers once the move is mature, so the bottoming entry has already passed. This is a chase, not a fresh buy止盈。日线筑底形态确实已经触发(摆动低点出现、动量转向上行),但为时已晚——价格已显著高于周期低点(约 20 天前形成 @ 34.93)且动量正在衰竭——3 日/周线动量已向下交叉。动量交叉属于滞后确认:在垂直拉升之后,只有当走势已经成熟时才会触发,因此筑底入场早已错过。这是追高,而非新的买入
TOP WATCH NEARING A HIGH
Jul 16, 2026
BFS StochRSI turned up from oversoldBFS StochRSI自超卖区上行
StochRSI popped back above 20 — the earliest oscillator heads-up that downside momentum is easing. $36.59.StochRSI重回20上方 — 下行动量趋缓的最早预警。$36.59。
Jul 10, 2026
NEARING A LOW → BOTTOMING接近低点 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jul 6, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → BOTTOMING接近高点 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jul 2, 2026
BOTTOMING → NEARING A HIGH筑底中 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Jul 1, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → BOTTOMING接近高点 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jun 30, 2026
BOTTOMING → NEARING A HIGH筑底中 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Jun 30, 2026
BFS daily MACD crossed downBFS 日线MACD下穿
The daily MACD histogram turned negative — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $36.78.日线MACD柱状图转负 — 快速且嘈杂,仅作背景。$36.78。
Jun 29, 2026
BUY ZONE → BOTTOMING买入区 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jun 29, 2026
BFS daily MACD crossed upBFS 日线MACD上穿
The daily MACD histogram turned positive — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $37.13.日线MACD柱状图转正 — 快速且嘈杂,仅作背景。$37.13。

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Factor Profile因子特征

Composite factor score综合因子得分: 0.34
Value价值
-0.2
Quality质量
-0.3
Investment资本投入
+0.4
Shareholder payout股东回报
+0.6
Low volatility低波动
+1.2
Low market beta低市场敏感度
+1.1
Earnings quality盈利质量
-0.3
Short interest空头兴趣
+0.8

Company Profile公司档案

Watch items — what could change the thesis关注项 — 可能改变论点的因素
  • Capital intensity rising
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