Oshkosh · Industrials
OSK
$143.66
The Oshkosh Next Generation Delivery Vehicle (NGDV) is a mail truck for the United States Postal Service (USPS). The contract, which is valued at $6 billion, was awarded to Oshkosh Defense of Oshkosh Corporation in February 2021.Oshkosh下一代投递车辆（NGDV）是为美国邮政局（USPS）设计的邮运卡车。这份价值60亿美元的合同于2021年2月授予OshkoshCorporation旗下的OshkoshDefense公司。
Mixed profile混合特征
Mid cap中盘
$9B
Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Lagging — relative weakness落后 — 相对弱势
Setup almost complete — likely buy trigger in ~1–3 trading days if it closes back above its 10-day average.形态接近完成——若收盘重新站上 10 日均线，预计将在约 1–3 个交易日内出现买入触发。
Key Statistics关键统计
Price价格
$143.66
18.9% below 52-week high低于52周高点 18.9%
Market Cap市值
$9B
Normal volume正常成交量
Beta贝塔
1.43
Moves about 1.4x the market波动幅度约为市场的 1.4 倍
RSI (14)RSI（14）
52
Neutral zone中性区域
Next Earnings下次财报
2026-08-07 (19d)
Volatility Rank波动率分位
46th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Short Interest空头兴趣
5.7% of float
Performance价格表现
| Period周期 | OSK | S&P 500 | vs Index对比指数 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Week近1周 | -1.8% | -1.5% | In line with the index与指数基本持平 |
| 1 Month近1月 | +4.3% | +0.6% | Beat the index by 3.7 points跑赢指数 3.7 个百分点 |
| 3 Months近3月 | -2.4% | +4.7% | Lagged the index by 7.1 points落后指数 7.1 个百分点 |
| 6 Months近6月 | -4.9% | +7.8% | Lagged the index by 12.7 points落后指数 12.7 个百分点 |
| Year to date年初至今 | +9.5% | +9.1% | In line with the index与指数基本持平 |
| 1 Year近1年 | +17.3% | +19.4% | Lagged the index by 2.1 points落后指数 2.1 个百分点 |
| 3 Years近3年 | +65.1% | +69.4% | Lagged the index by 4.3 points落后指数 4.3 个百分点 |
Technicals技术面
RSI (14)RSI（14）
52
Neutral zone中性区域
vs 50-day相对50日均线
+4.8% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线
+2.0% vs 200-day avg
Volatility rank波动率分位
46th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Buy zone买入区间
$142.10
Don't chase above不追高于
$144.90
Stop止损
$134.00
Buy soon — on confirmation即将买入 — 待确认
Earnings财务业绩
19
days until next report天后公布财报
2026-08-07
Estimates being cut预期下调
Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线
Valuation估值
| Multiple指标 | OSK | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/B市净率 | 1.98x | 3.90 | 83% |
| P/S市销率 | 0.86x | 2.21 | 81% |
| FCF yield自由现金流收益率 | 6.87% | 3.81 | 81% |
| Shareholder yield股东收益率 | 3.09% | 2.29 | 60% |
| EV/EBITDA企业价值/EBITDA | 8.26x | 16.39 | 88% |
| P/FCF市值/自由现金流 | 14.55x | 25.50 | 79% |
Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线
Financials财务数据
Revenue营业收入
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 8.7%
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
Margins利润率
Leverage杠杆
| Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA | 0.53 |
| Current ratio流动比率 | 1.94 |
Capital Allocation资本配置
| Buybacks (TTM)回购（TTM） | $278.0M |
| Stock-based comp股权薪酬 | $38.0M |
| Share count change (1y)股数变化（1年） | -3.1% |
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 5/9
Altman Z阿尔特曼Z: safe (3.3)
Clean稳健
Snapshot Gauges综合指标
Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业
Looks cheap vs sector相对行业偏便宜
Cheaper than 83% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 83% 的公司
Beta市场敏感度
1.43×
0.21×3×
Moves about 1.4× the market波动幅度约为市场的 1.4 倍
Financial Health财务健康
5/9
Altman阿尔特曼: safe
Adequate financial health财务健康状况一般
Dividend分红
—
Does not pay a dividend不派发股息
Why Is It Moving为何波动
Macro宏观
Rate risk runs through its market / growth beta, not a distinct duration leg.其利率风险通过市场／成长beta体现，并无独立的久期暴露。
Positioning持仓
Short interest changed +21.5%空头仓位变动 +21.5%
Technical技术面
BUY ZONE → UPTREND买入区 → 上涨趋势
Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱
Insider activity内部人员活动: -$1.9M net (0 buyers, 3 sellers)-$1.9M 净值（0 买家，3 卖家）
Signal History信号历史
TURN SIGNALED
BOTTOMING
Jul 15, 2026
BUY ZONE → UPTREND买入区 → 上涨趋势
HOLD持有
Jul 13, 2026
OSK StochRSI turned up from oversoldOSK StochRSI自超卖区上行
StochRSI popped back above 20 — the earliest oscillator heads-up that downside momentum is easing. $145.85.StochRSI重回20上方 — 下行动量趋缓的最早预警。$145.85。
Jul 10, 2026
BOTTOMING → UPTREND筑底中 → 上涨趋势
HOLD持有
Jul 10, 2026
OSK weekly MACD crossed upOSK 周线MACD上穿
The weekly MACD histogram turned positive — the slower, less-whippy momentum read.周线MACD柱状图转正 — 更慢、更少来回的动量信号。
Jul 9, 2026
OSK reclaimed its 200-day averageOSK 收复200日均线
Price closed back above the 200-day moving average — the classic bull dividing line. $142.77.收盘重回200日均线 — 经典的多头分界线。$142.77。
Jul 8, 2026
OSK lost its 200-day averageOSK 跌破200日均线
Price closed below the 200-day moving average — the classic bear dividing line. $139.94.收盘跌破200日均线 — 经典的空头分界线。$139.94。
Jul 7, 2026
OSK daily MACD crossed downOSK 日线MACD下穿
The daily MACD histogram turned negative — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $141.83.日线MACD柱状图转负 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$141.83。
Jul 1, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → BOTTOMING接近高点 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Showing last 15 of显示最近15条，共 243 signals条信号
Factor Profile因子特征
Composite factor score综合因子得分: 0.19
Value价值
+0.3
Profitability盈利能力
-0.8
Quality质量
+1.8
Investment资本投入
+0.1
Shareholder payout股东回报
-0.2
Low volatility低波动
-0.1
Low market beta低市场敏感度
-0.8
Short interest空头兴趣
-0.4
Company Profile公司档案
The Oshkosh Next Generation Delivery Vehicle (NGDV) is a mail truck for the United States Postal Service (USPS). The contract, which is valued at $6 billion, was awarded to Oshkosh Defense of Oshkosh Corporation in February 2021.Oshkosh下一代投递车辆（NGDV）是为美国邮政局（USPS）设计的邮运卡车。这份价值60亿美元的合同于2021年2月授予OshkoshCorporation旗下的OshkoshDefense公司。
Watch items — what could change the thesis关注项 — 可能改变论点的因素
- Receivables stretch
Get the full picture获取完整视图
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