Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Neutral — no clear edge中性 — 无明显优势
The bottoming setup is not yet confirmed (price still below the 10-day average) and the 3-day/weekly momentum has crosse筑底形态尚未确认（价格仍位于 10 日均线下方），且3 日/周线动量已向下交叉——动量在形态完成前已开始衰竭。等待价格收复 10 日均线且动量趋于稳定后再考虑建仓。
Key Statistics关键统计
Price价格
$39.46
8.0% below 52-week high低于52周高点 8.0%
Market Cap市值
$4B
Normal volume正常成交量
P/E Ratio市盈率
23.6x
29.9x sector median
Beta贝塔
0.96
Moves about 1.0x the market波动幅度约为市场的 1.0 倍
RSI (14)RSI（14）
50
Neutral zone中性区域
Next Earnings下次财报
2026-08-05 (17d)
Volatility Rank波动率分位
78th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Short Interest空头兴趣
2.4% of float
Performance价格表现
| Period周期 | OPLN | S&P 500 | vs Index对比指数 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Week近1周 | -1.1% | -1.5% | In line with the index与指数基本持平 |
| 1 Month近1月 | +6.0% | +0.6% | Beat the index by 5.4 points跑赢指数 5.4 个百分点 |
| 3 Months近3月 | +24.8% | +4.7% | Beat the index by 20.1 points跑赢指数 20.1 个百分点 |
| 6 Months近6月 | +31.1% | +7.8% | Beat the index by 23.3 points跑赢指数 23.3 个百分点 |
| Year to date年初至今 | +35.1% | +9.1% | Beat the index by 26.0 points跑赢指数 26.0 个百分点 |
| 1 Year近1年 | +55.6% | +19.4% | Beat the index by 36.2 points跑赢指数 36.2 个百分点 |
| 3 Years近3年 | +152.9% | +69.4% | Beat the index by 83.5 points跑赢指数 83.5 个百分点 |
Technicals技术面
RSI (14)RSI（14）
50
Neutral zone中性区域
vs 50-day相对50日均线
+3.5% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线
+27.9% vs 200-day avg
Volatility rank波动率分位
78th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Buy zone买入区间
$38.32
Don't chase above不追高于
$39.46
Stop止损
$37.22
Extended — wait for a pullback过度拉伸 — 等待回撤
Earnings财务业绩
17
days until next report天后公布财报
2026-08-05
Estimates being raised — 7 analysts预期上调 — 7 位分析师
Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线
Valuation估值
| Multiple指标 | OPLN | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing)市盈率（历史） | 23.58x | 29.89 | 68% |
| P/B市净率 | 3.38x | 3.90 | 58% |
| P/S市销率 | 2.17x | 2.21 | 51% |
| Earnings yield盈利收益率 | 4.24% | 3.10 | 71% |
| FCF yield自由现金流收益率 | 8.03% | 3.81 | 87% |
| Shareholder yield股东收益率 | 1.09% | 2.29 | 24% |
| EV/EBITDA企业价值/EBITDA | 15.90x | 16.39 | 53% |
| P/FCF市值/自由现金流 | 12.45x | 25.50 | 86% |
Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线
Financials财务数据
Revenue营业收入
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: -2.4%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
Margins利润率
14.3%Return on Equity股本回报率
3.8%Return on Assets资产回报率
Leverage杠杆
| Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA | 1.37 |
| Current ratio流动比率 | 1.16 |
Capital Allocation资本配置
| Buybacks (TTM)回购（TTM） | $45.6M |
| Stock-based comp股权薪酬 | $14.6M |
| Share count change (1y)股数变化（1年） | -0.6% |
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 6/8
Altman Z阿尔特曼Z: distress (1.6)
Clean稳健
Snapshot Gauges综合指标
Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业
Looks cheap vs sector相对行业偏便宜
Cheaper than 63% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 63% 的公司
Beta市场敏感度
0.96×
0.21×3×
Moves about 1.0× the market波动幅度约为市场的 1.0 倍
Financial Health财务健康
6/8
Altman阿尔特曼: distress
Adequate financial health财务健康状况一般
Dividend分红
—
Does not pay a dividend不派发股息
Why Is It Moving为何波动
Macro宏观
Rate risk runs through its market / growth beta, not a distinct duration leg.其利率风险通过市场／成长beta体现，并无独立的久期暴露。
Positioning持仓
Short interest changed +90.6%空头仓位变动 +90.6%
Technical技术面
OPLN StochRSI turned up from oversoldOPLN StochRSI自超卖区上行
Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱
Concentrated ownership集中持仓
| Fund基金 | Grade评级 | Activity动作 | % of portfolio组合占比 | As of截至 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polen Capital Management | B | trimtrim | 0.0% | 2026-03-31 |
Signal History信号历史
TURN SIGNALED
BOTTOMING
Jul 16, 2026
OPLN StochRSI turned up from oversoldOPLN StochRSI自超卖区上行
StochRSI popped back above 20 — the earliest oscillator heads-up that downside momentum is easing. $40.69.StochRSI重回20上方 — 下行动量趋缓的最早预警。$40.69。
Jul 15, 2026
BOTTOMING → NEARING A HIGH筑底中 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Jul 15, 2026
OPLN took relative-strength leadershipOPLN 取得相对强弱领先
Relative strength vs SPY crossed above the 90th percentile of the last 90 days — leadership tends to persist. $41.16.相对标普500的强弱上穿近90日的第90百分位 — 领先往往延续。$41.16。
Jul 8, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → BOTTOMING接近高点 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jul 8, 2026
OPLN daily MACD crossed downOPLN 日线MACD下穿
The daily MACD histogram turned negative — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $39.55.日线MACD柱状图转负 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$39.55。
Jun 30, 2026
UPTREND → NEARING A HIGH上涨趋势 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Jun 29, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → UPTREND接近高点 → 上涨趋势
HOLD持有
Jun 26, 2026
UPTREND → NEARING A HIGH上涨趋势 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Jun 26, 2026
OPLN RSI reached overboughtOPLN RSI进入超买
RSI(14) crossed above 70 — stretched to the upside; context, not a timing trigger alone. $42.90.RSI(14)上穿70 — 上行过度；仅作背景，单独不构成择时。$42.90。
Jun 25, 2026
OPLN daily MACD crossed upOPLN 日线MACD上穿
The daily MACD histogram turned positive — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $39.64.日线MACD柱状图转正 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$39.64。
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Factor Profile因子特征
Composite factor score综合因子得分: 0.07
Value价值
-0.4
Quality质量
+0.8
Investment资本投入
+0.4
Shareholder payout股东回报
-0.8
Low volatility低波动
+0.2
Low market beta低市场敏感度
-0.2
Short interest空头兴趣
+1.1
Company Profile公司档案
Watch items — what could change the thesis关注项 — 可能改变论点的因素
- Receivables stretch
Get the full picture获取完整视图
Nightly signals, options flow, and factor analysis across all S&P 500 names.每日更新的信号、期权资金流向和因子分析，覆盖所有标普500成分股。