GEO
GEO Group, Inc.
·
$29.46
Extended — don't chase; wait for a pullback过度拉升 — 勿追高；等待回撤
Terminal终端 ↗
GEO Group, Inc. · Industrials
GEO
$29.46
The GEO Group, Inc. (GEO) is an American publicly traded C corporation private prison and mental health facility operator.GEO集团公司（GEO）是一家美国公开交易的C类股份公司，运营私营监狱和精神健康治疗机构。
Cyclical周期股
Mid cap中盘
$4B
Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Extended — don't chase; wait for a pullback过度拉升 — 勿追高；等待回撤
Setup almost complete — likely buy trigger in ~1–3 trading days if it closes back above its 10-day average.形态接近完成——若收盘重新站上 10 日均线，预计将在约 1–3 个交易日内出现买入触发。
Key Statistics关键统计
Price价格
$29.46
3.3% below 52-week high低于52周高点 3.3%
Market Cap市值
$4B
Normal volume正常成交量
P/E Ratio市盈率
15.8x
29.9x sector median
Beta贝塔
0.86
Moves about 0.9x the market波动幅度约为市场的 0.9 倍
RSI (14)RSI（14）
57
Neutral zone中性区域
Next Earnings下次财报
2026-08-05 (17d)
Volatility Rank波动率分位
4th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Short Interest空头兴趣
6.8% of float
Performance价格表现
| Period周期 | GEO | S&P 500 | vs Index对比指数 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Week近1周 | -3.3% | -1.5% | Lagged the index by 1.8 points落后指数 1.8 个百分点 |
| 1 Month近1月 | +2.1% | +0.6% | Beat the index by 1.5 points跑赢指数 1.5 个百分点 |
| 3 Months近3月 | +58.4% | +4.7% | Beat the index by 53.7 points跑赢指数 53.7 个百分点 |
| 6 Months近6月 | +67.5% | +7.8% | Beat the index by 59.7 points跑赢指数 59.7 个百分点 |
| Year to date年初至今 | +84.9% | +9.1% | Beat the index by 75.8 points跑赢指数 75.8 个百分点 |
| 1 Year近1年 | +16.8% | +19.4% | Lagged the index by 2.6 points落后指数 2.6 个百分点 |
| 3 Years近3年 | +310.9% | +69.4% | Beat the index by 241.5 points跑赢指数 241.5 个百分点 |
Technicals技术面
RSI (14)RSI（14）
57
Neutral zone中性区域
vs 50-day相对50日均线
+11.2% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线
+54.2% vs 200-day avg
Volatility rank波动率分位
4th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Buy zone买入区间
$29.16
Don't chase above不追高于
$29.70
Stop止损
$28.44
Buy soon — on confirmation即将买入 — 待确认
Earnings财务业绩
17
days until next report天后公布财报
2026-08-05
Estimates being cut预期下调
Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线
Valuation估值
| Multiple指标 | GEO | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing)市盈率（历史） | 15.78x | 29.89 | 86% |
| P/B市净率 | 2.67x | 3.90 | 71% |
| P/S市销率 | 1.53x | 2.21 | 64% |
| Earnings yield盈利收益率 | 6.34% | 3.10 | 88% |
| FCF yield自由现金流收益率 | -3.11% | 3.81 | 4% |
| Shareholder yield股东收益率 | 2.27% | 2.29 | 50% |
| EV/EBITDA企业价值/EBITDA | 14.36x | 16.39 | 61% |
Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线
Financials财务数据
Revenue营业收入
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 2.3%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 14.1%
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
Margins利润率
16.9%Return on Equity股本回报率
6.6%Return on Assets资产回报率
Leverage杠杆
| Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA | 4.06 |
| Current ratio流动比率 | 2.01 |
Capital Allocation资本配置
| Buybacks (TTM)回购（TTM） | $91.0M |
| Stock-based comp股权薪酬 | $23.6M |
| Share count change (1y)股数变化（1年） | -2.8% |
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 7/8
Altman Z阿尔特曼Z: grey (2.2)
Watch关注
Snapshot Gauges综合指标
Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业
Looks cheap vs sector相对行业偏便宜
Cheaper than 57% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 57% 的公司
Beta市场敏感度
0.86×
0.21×3×
Moves about 0.9× the market波动幅度约为市场的 0.9 倍
Financial Health财务健康
7/8
Altman阿尔特曼: grey
Strong financial health财务健康状况良好
Dividend分红
—
Does not pay a dividend不派发股息
Why Is It Moving为何波动
Macro宏观
Rate risk runs through its market / growth beta, not a distinct duration leg.其利率风险通过市场／成长beta体现，并无独立的久期暴露。
Positioning持仓
Insider cluster activity内部人集中交易
Technical技术面
GEO made a new 52-week highGEO 创52周新高
Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱
Insider activity内部人员活动: -$0.1M net (0 buyers, 1 sellers)-$0.1M 净值（0 买家，1 卖家）
Signal History信号历史
TURN SIGNALED
BOTTOMING
Jul 10, 2026
GEO made a new 52-week highGEO 创52周新高
Price reached a fresh 52-week high — a momentum / trend extreme the whole market watches. $30.47.价格创出52周新高 — 全市场关注的动量/趋势极值。$30.47。
Jul 10, 2026
GEO StochRSI turned up from oversoldGEO StochRSI自超卖区上行
StochRSI popped back above 20 — the earliest oscillator heads-up that downside momentum is easing. $30.47.StochRSI重回20上方 — 下行动量趋缓的最早预警。$30.47。
Jul 9, 2026
BOTTOMING → NEARING A HIGH筑底中 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Jul 8, 2026
GEO took relative-strength leadershipGEO 取得相对强弱领先
Relative strength vs SPY crossed above the 90th percentile of the last 90 days — leadership tends to persist. $29.65.相对标普500的强弱上穿近90日的第90百分位 — 领先往往延续。$29.65。
Jul 6, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → BOTTOMING接近高点 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jul 1, 2026
GEO made a new 52-week highGEO 创52周新高
Price reached a fresh 52-week high — a momentum / trend extreme the whole market watches. $30.33.价格创出52周新高 — 全市场关注的动量/趋势极值。$30.33。
Jun 29, 2026
GEO daily MACD crossed downGEO 日线MACD下穿
The daily MACD histogram turned negative — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $29.46.日线MACD柱状图转负 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$29.46。
Jun 26, 2026
GEO made a new 52-week highGEO 创52周新高
Price reached a fresh 52-week high — a momentum / trend extreme the whole market watches. $30.36.价格创出52周新高 — 全市场关注的动量/趋势极值。$30.36。
Showing last 15 of显示最近15条，共 247 signals条信号
Factor Profile因子特征
Composite factor score综合因子得分: -0.53
Value价值
-0.1
Quality质量
-1.5
Investment资本投入
+0.2
Shareholder payout股东回报
-0.5
Low volatility低波动
-0.8
Low market beta低市场敏感度
-0.0
Earnings quality盈利质量
-1.6
Short interest空头兴趣
+0.1
Company Profile公司档案
The GEO Group, Inc. (GEO) is an American publicly traded C corporation private prison and mental health facility operator.GEO集团公司（GEO）是一家美国公开交易的C类股份公司，运营私营监狱和精神健康治疗机构。
Watch items — what could change the thesis关注项 — 可能改变论点的因素
- Receivables stretch
- Capital intensity rising
Get the full picture获取完整视图
Nightly signals, options flow, and factor analysis across all S&P 500 names.每日更新的信号、期权资金流向和因子分析，覆盖所有标普500成分股。