Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Lagging — relative weakness落后 — 相对弱势
Confirmed cycle low — the entry window is open now, with a clear exit if it closes back below 20.97.周期低点已确认——入场窗口现已开启，若收盘重新跌破 20.97 则明确离场。
Key Statistics关键统计
Price价格
$21.74
40.6% below 52-week high低于52周高点 40.6%
Market Cap市值
$3B
Normal volume正常成交量
P/E Ratio市盈率
16.4x
28.9x sector median
Beta贝塔
0.18
Moves about 0.2x the market波动幅度约为市场的 0.2 倍
RSI (14)RSI（14）
51
Neutral zone中性区域
Next Earnings下次财报
2026-07-29 (10d)
Volatility Rank波动率分位
49th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Short Interest空头兴趣
8.4% of float
Performance价格表现
| Period周期 | OPCH | S&P 500 | vs Index对比指数 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Week近1周 | +0.8% | -1.5% | Beat the index by 2.3 points跑赢指数 2.3 个百分点 |
| 1 Month近1月 | +0.1% | +0.6% | In line with the index与指数基本持平 |
| 3 Months近3月 | -24.6% | +4.7% | Lagged the index by 29.3 points落后指数 29.3 个百分点 |
| 6 Months近6月 | -39.7% | +7.8% | Lagged the index by 47.5 points落后指数 47.5 个百分点 |
| Year to date年初至今 | -32.6% | +9.1% | Lagged the index by 41.7 points落后指数 41.7 个百分点 |
| 1 Year近1年 | -27.4% | +19.4% | Lagged the index by 46.8 points落后指数 46.8 个百分点 |
| 3 Years近3年 | -35.7% | +69.4% | Lagged the index by 105.1 points落后指数 105.1 个百分点 |
Technicals技术面
RSI (14)RSI（14）
51
Neutral zone中性区域
vs 50-day相对50日均线
+3.1% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线
-22.2% vs 200-day avg
Volatility rank波动率分位
49th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Buy zone买入区间
$21.49
Don't chase above不追高于
$21.94
Stop止损
$20.97
Cycle turn — awaiting confluence cross周期拐点 — 等待共振交叉确认
Earnings财务业绩
10
days until next report天后公布财报
2026-07-29
Estimates being cut预期下调
Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线
Valuation估值
| Multiple指标 | OPCH | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing)市盈率（历史） | 16.43x | 28.92 | 84% |
| P/B市净率 | 2.57x | 3.52 | 66% |
| P/S市销率 | 0.60x | 3.02 | 90% |
| Earnings yield盈利收益率 | 6.09% | 2.72 | 88% |
| FCF yield自由现金流收益率 | 6.37% | 3.94 | 79% |
| Shareholder yield股东收益率 | 9.09% | 1.89 | 96% |
| EV/EBITDA企业价值/EBITDA | 10.70x | 18.21 | 87% |
| P/FCF市值/自由现金流 | 15.70x | 22.42 | 75% |
Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线
Financials财务数据
Revenue营业收入
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 13.3%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
Margins利润率
15.7%Return on Equity股本回报率
6.0%Return on Assets资产回报率
Leverage杠杆
| Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA | 2.29 |
| Current ratio流动比率 | 1.53 |
Capital Allocation资本配置
| Stock-based comp股权薪酬 | $40.0M |
| Share count change (1y)股数变化（1年） | -5.7% |
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 5/9
Altman Z阿尔特曼Z: safe (3.4)
Watch关注
Snapshot Gauges综合指标
Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业
Looks cheap vs sector相对行业偏便宜
Cheaper than 81% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 81% 的公司
Beta市场敏感度
0.18×
0.21×3×
Moves about 0.2× the market波动幅度约为市场的 0.2 倍
Financial Health财务健康
5/9
Altman阿尔特曼: safe
Adequate financial health财务健康状况一般
Dividend分红
—
Does not pay a dividend不派发股息
Why Is It Moving为何波动
Macro宏观
Long-duration name into a restrictive, rising-real-rate regime → rate headwind.长久期标的进入偏紧、实际利率上行的环境→利率逆风。
Positioning持仓
Insider cluster activity内部人集中交易
Technical技术面
OPCH weekly MACD crossed upOPCH 周线MACD上穿
Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱
Insider activity内部人员活动: -$0.2M net (1 buyers, 2 sellers)-$0.2M 净值（1 买家，2 卖家）
Concentrated ownership集中持仓
| Fund基金 | Grade评级 | Activity动作 | % of portfolio组合占比 | As of截至 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Durable Capital Partners | B | Holding持有 | 2.5% | 2026-03-31 |
| Duquesne Family Office (Druckenmiller) | C | Holding持有 | 1.5% | 2026-03-31 |
Signal History信号历史
FRESH BUY
BUY ZONE
Jul 17, 2026
OPCH weekly MACD crossed upOPCH 周线MACD上穿
The weekly MACD histogram turned positive — the slower, less-whippy momentum read.周线MACD柱状图转正 — 更慢、更少来回的动量信号。
Jul 13, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → BUY ZONE接近高点 → 买入区
BUY买入
Jul 10, 2026
BOTTOMING → NEARING A HIGH筑底中 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Jun 30, 2026
OPCH printed a daily-cycle lowOPCH 打出日线周期低点
A confirmed local low — in this cycle framework the highest-odds long-entry window. $20.97.一个已确认的局部低点 — 在本周期框架中做多胜率最高的入场窗口。$20.97。
Jun 26, 2026
NEARING A LOW → BOTTOMING接近低点 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jun 25, 2026
UPTREND → NEARING A LOW上涨趋势 → 接近低点
GET READY准备
Jun 25, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → BOTTOMING接近高点 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jun 9, 2026
NEARING A LOW → UPTREND接近低点 → 上涨趋势
HOLD持有
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Factor Profile因子特征
Composite factor score综合因子得分: 0.25
Value价值
+0.5
Profitability盈利能力
+0.0
Quality质量
-0.5
Investment资本投入
+0.5
Shareholder payout股东回报
+1.3
Low volatility低波动
-0.2
Low market beta低市场敏感度
+0.9
Earnings quality盈利质量
-0.6
Short interest空头兴趣
-0.5
Company Profile公司档案
Watch items — what could change the thesis关注项 — 可能改变论点的因素
- Margin compression despite revenue growth
Get the full picture获取完整视图
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