NHC National Healthcare, Corp. · $228.16 Extended — don't chase; wait for a pullback过度拉升 — 勿追高;等待回撤 Terminal终端
National Healthcare, Corp. · Health Care

NHC

$228.16
National HealthCare Corporation is an American healthcare services provider. The company was founded in 1971 and is based in Murfreesboro, Tennessee.NationalHealthCareCorporation是一家美国医疗服务提供商。公司成立于1971年,总部位于田纳西州默弗里斯伯勒。
Mixed profile混合特征 Mid cap中盘 $4B
Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Extended — don't chase; wait for a pullback过度拉升 — 勿追高;等待回撤
You missed the bottoming entry — the low already formed and price is now extended (overbought (daily RSI 72, 3-day 73 & 已错过筑底入场——低点已经形成,目前价格已拉伸(已超买(日线 RSI 72、3 日 73 与周线 76))。不要追高;等待回调至 10 日均线或下一个周期低点。若已持有则继续持有。
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Key Statistics关键统计

Price价格
$228.16
0.0% below 52-week high0.0% below 52-week high
Market Cap市值
$4B
Normal volume正常成交量
P/E Ratio市盈率
29.5x
28.9x sector median
Beta贝塔
0.49
Moves about 0.5x the market波动幅度约为市场的 0.5 倍
RSI (14)RSI(14)
72
Overbought超买区域
Volatility Rank波动率分位
55th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Short Interest空头兴趣
5.1% of float

Performance价格表现

Period周期 NHC S&P 500vs Index对比指数
1 Week近1周 +8.5% -1.5% Beat the index by 10.0 points跑赢指数 10.0 个百分点
1 Month近1月 +19.8% +0.6% Beat the index by 19.2 points跑赢指数 19.2 个百分点
3 Months近3月 +35.8% +4.7% Beat the index by 31.1 points跑赢指数 31.1 个百分点
6 Months近6月 +67.0% +7.8% Beat the index by 59.2 points跑赢指数 59.2 个百分点
Year to date年初至今 +75.6% +9.1% Beat the index by 66.5 points跑赢指数 66.5 个百分点
1 Year近1年 +134.3% +19.4% Beat the index by 114.9 points跑赢指数 114.9 个百分点
3 Years近3年 +321.3% +69.4% Beat the index by 251.9 points跑赢指数 251.9 个百分点

Technicals技术面

RSI (14)RSI(14) 72 Overbought超买区域
vs 50-day相对50日均线 +15.1% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线 +44.4% vs 200-day avg
Volatility rank波动率分位 55th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Buy zone买入区间
$213.30
Don't chase above不追高于
$228.20
Stop止损
$190.50
Extended — wait for a pullback过度拉伸 — 等待回撤

Earnings财务业绩

Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线

Valuation估值

Multiple指标 NHC Sector median行业中位 Cheaper than相对便宜
P/E (trailing)市盈率(历史) 29.54x 28.92
47%
P/B市净率 3.32x 3.52
52%
P/S市销率 2.34x 3.02
59%
Earnings yield盈利收益率 3.39% 2.72
61%
FCF yield自由现金流收益率 4.19% 3.94
54%
Shareholder yield股东收益率 1.51% 1.89
40%
EV/EBITDA企业价值/EBITDA 20.15x 18.21
43%
P/FCF市值/自由现金流 23.85x 22.42
46%
Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线

Financials财务数据

Revenue营业收入
$1.0B
2020
$1.1B
2021
$1.1B
2022
$1.1B
2023
$1.3B
2024
$1.5B
2025
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 8.1%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
$2.72
2020
$8.99
2021
$1.45
2022
$4.34
2023
$6.53
2024
$7.67
2025
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 23.0%
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
$181.4M
2020
$23.0M
2021
-$21.5M
2022
$83.3M
2023
$79.7M
2024
$148.6M
2025
Margins利润率
Operating margin营业利润率
8.5%
Net margin净利率
7.9%
FCF margin自由现金流利润率
12.2%
11.2%Return on Equity股本回报率
7.9%Return on Assets资产回报率
Leverage杠杆
Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA-0.30
Current ratio流动比率1.82
Capital Allocation资本配置
Buybacks (TTM)回购(TTM)$14.7M
Stock-based comp股权薪酬$4.4M
Share count change (1y)股数变化(1年)+0.6%
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 7/8 Altman Z阿尔特曼Z: safe (6.9) Clean稳健

Snapshot Gauges综合指标

Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业
Roughly fair vs sector相对行业估值合理
Cheaper than 51% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 51% 的公司
Beta市场敏感度
0.49×
0.2
Moves about 0.5× the market波动幅度约为市场的 0.5 倍
Financial Health财务健康
7/8
Altman阿尔特曼: safe
Strong financial health财务健康状况良好
Dividend分红
Does not pay a dividend不派发股息

Why Is It Moving为何波动

Macro宏观 Long-duration name into a restrictive, rising-real-rate regime → rate headwind.长久期标的进入偏紧、实际利率上行的环境→利率逆风。
Positioning持仓 Short interest changed +42.9%空头仓位变动 +42.9%
Technical技术面 NHC RSI reached overboughtNHC RSI进入超买

Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱

Insider activity内部人员活动: -$2.2M net (0 buyers, 3 sellers)-$2.2M 净值(0 买家,3 卖家)

Signal History信号历史

BOTTOMING → NEARING A HIGH筑底中 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS. A daily bottoming setup did fire (swing low in, momentum turned up), but it's LATE — price is already extended above the cycle low (formed ~20 day(s) ago @ 190.48) and overbought (daily RSI 72, 3-day 73 & weekly 76). A momentum cross is a LAGGING confirmation: after a vertical run it only triggers once the move is mature, so the bottoming entry has already passed. This is a chase, not a fresh buy止盈。日线筑底形态确实已经触发(摆动低点出现、动量转向上行),但为时已晚——价格已显著高于周期低点(约 20 天前形成 @ 190.48)且已超买(日线 RSI 72、3 日 73 与周线 76)。动量交叉属于滞后确认:在垂直拉升之后,只有当走势已经成熟时才会触发,因此筑底入场早已错过。这是追高,而非新的买入
TOP WATCH NEARING A HIGH
Jul 17, 2026
NHC RSI reached overboughtNHC RSI进入超买
RSI(14) crossed above 70 — stretched to the upside; context, not a timing trigger alone. $228.16.RSI(14)上穿70 — 上行过度;仅作背景,单独不构成择时。$228.16。
Jul 16, 2026
NHC made a new 52-week highNHC 创52周新高
Price reached a fresh 52-week high — a momentum / trend extreme the whole market watches. $224.64.价格创出52周新高 — 全市场关注的动量/趋势极值。$224.64。
Jul 16, 2026
NHC daily MACD crossed upNHC 日线MACD上穿
The daily MACD histogram turned positive — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $224.64.日线MACD柱状图转正 — 快速且嘈杂,仅作背景。$224.64。
Jul 15, 2026
NHC StochRSI turned up from oversoldNHC StochRSI自超卖区上行
StochRSI popped back above 20 — the earliest oscillator heads-up that downside momentum is easing. $216.17.StochRSI重回20上方 — 下行动量趋缓的最早预警。$216.17。
Jul 14, 2026
NHC took relative-strength leadershipNHC 取得相对强弱领先
Relative strength vs SPY crossed above the 90th percentile of the last 90 days — leadership tends to persist. $210.79.相对标普500的强弱上穿近90日的第90百分位 — 领先往往延续。$210.79。
Jul 13, 2026
NHC daily MACD crossed downNHC 日线MACD下穿
The daily MACD histogram turned negative — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $207.87.日线MACD柱状图转负 — 快速且嘈杂,仅作背景。$207.87。
Jul 10, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → BOTTOMING接近高点 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jul 1, 2026
NHC RSI reached overboughtNHC RSI进入超买
RSI(14) crossed above 70 — stretched to the upside; context, not a timing trigger alone. $212.71.RSI(14)上穿70 — 上行过度;仅作背景,单独不构成择时。$212.71。

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Factor Profile因子特征

Composite factor score综合因子得分: 0.14
Value价值
-0.4
Quality质量
+0.8
Investment资本投入
+0.5
Shareholder payout股东回报
-0.6
Low volatility低波动
+0.4
Low market beta低市场敏感度
+0.5
Earnings quality盈利质量
-0.1
Short interest空头兴趣
+0.2

Company Profile公司档案

National HealthCare Corporation is an American healthcare services provider. The company was founded in 1971 and is based in Murfreesboro, Tennessee.NationalHealthCareCorporation是一家美国医疗服务提供商。公司成立于1971年,总部位于田纳西州默弗里斯伯勒。
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