OLN Olin Corporation · $21.99 Neutral — no clear edge中性 — 无明显优势 Terminal终端
Olin Corporation · Materials

OLN

$21.99
Olin Corporation is an American manufacturer of ammunition, chlorine, and sodium hydroxide. The company traces its roots to two companies, both founded in 1892: Franklin W. Olin's Equitable Powder Company and the Mathieson Alkali Works.OlinCorporation是一家美国弹药、氯气和氢氧化钠制造商。公司历史可追溯至两家均成立于1892年的企业:富兰克林·W·奥林成立的EquitablePowderCompany与MathesonAlkaliWorks公司。
Speculative / unprofitable投机/未盈利 Mid cap中盘 $2B
Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Neutral — no clear edge中性 — 无明显优势
Daily low forming, but the bigger trend is still bearish. Small size only; stop below 19.59.日线低点正在形成,但大趋势仍偏空。只适合小仓位;止损设于 19.59 下方。
Open in Terminal打开终端 All coverage所有股票 Data through数据截至 2026-07-20 · regenerated nightly每日更新

Key Statistics关键统计

Price价格
$21.99
26.5% below 52-week high低于52周高点 26.5%
Market Cap市值
$2B
Normal volume正常成交量
Beta贝塔
1.00
Moves about 1.0x the market波动幅度约为市场的 1.0 倍
RSI (14)RSI(14)
49
Neutral zone中性区域
Next Earnings下次财报
2026-07-27 (8d)
Volatility Rank波动率分位
16th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Short Interest空头兴趣
14.0% of float

Performance价格表现

Period周期 OLN S&P 500vs Index对比指数
1 Week近1周 +6.3% -1.5% Beat the index by 7.8 points跑赢指数 7.8 个百分点
1 Month近1月 -4.4% +0.6% Lagged the index by 5.0 points落后指数 5.0 个百分点
3 Months近3月 -15.1% +4.7% Lagged the index by 19.8 points落后指数 19.8 个百分点
6 Months近6月 -4.6% +7.8% Lagged the index by 12.4 points落后指数 12.4 个百分点
Year to date年初至今 +3.6% +9.1% Lagged the index by 5.5 points落后指数 5.5 个百分点
1 Year近1年 +8.9% +19.4% Lagged the index by 10.5 points落后指数 10.5 个百分点
3 Years近3年 -56.3% +69.4% Lagged the index by 125.7 points落后指数 125.7 个百分点

Technicals技术面

RSI (14)RSI(14) 49 Neutral zone中性区域
vs 50-day相对50日均线 -8.2% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线 -6.7% vs 200-day avg
Volatility rank波动率分位 16th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Buy zone买入区间
$21.06
Don't chase above不追高于
$21.99
Stop止损
$19.59
Bounce — turn not confirmed; wait反弹 — 转向未确认,先观望

Earnings财务业绩

8
days until next report天后公布财报
2026-07-27
Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线

Valuation估值

Multiple指标 OLN Sector median行业中位 Cheaper than相对便宜
P/B市净率 1.36x 2.82
81%
P/S市销率 0.37x 1.64
96%
Earnings yield盈利收益率 -4.05% 2.96
13%
FCF yield自由现金流收益率 9.92% 3.23
96%
Shareholder yield股东收益率 2.02% 2.70
39%
EV/EBITDA企业价值/EBITDA 9.79x 12.20
71%
P/FCF市值/自由现金流 10.08x 25.03
93%
Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线

Financials财务数据

Revenue营业收入
$5.8B
2020
$8.9B
2021
$9.4B
2022
$6.8B
2023
$6.5B
2024
$6.8B
2025
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 3.3%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
$-6.14
2020
$7.96
2021
$8.94
2022
$3.57
2023
$0.91
2024
$-0.88
2025
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
$119.5M
2020
$1.5B
2021
$1.7B
2022
$738.3M
2023
$308.1M
2024
$247.9M
2025
Margins利润率
Gross margin毛利率
7.4%
Operating margin营业利润率
0.1%
Net margin净利率
-1.5%
FCF margin自由现金流利润率
7.0%
-5.5%Return on Equity股本回报率
-1.4%Return on Assets资产回报率
Leverage杠杆
Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA5.05
Current ratio流动比率1.21
Capital Allocation资本配置
Buybacks (TTM)回购(TTM)$50.5M
Stock-based comp股权薪酬$20.7M
Share count change (1y)股数变化(1年)-1.8%
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 4/9 Altman Z阿尔特曼Z: distress (1.7) Warning警示

Snapshot Gauges综合指标

Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业
Looks cheap vs sector相对行业偏便宜
Cheaper than 86% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 86% 的公司
Beta市场敏感度
1.00×
0.2
Moves about 1.0× the market波动幅度约为市场的 1.0 倍
Financial Health财务健康
4/9
Altman阿尔特曼: distress
Weak financial health财务健康状况偏弱
Dividend分红
Does not pay a dividend不派发股息

Why Is It Moving为何波动

Macro宏观 Long-duration name into a restrictive, rising-real-rate regime → rate headwind.长久期标的进入偏紧、实际利率上行的环境→利率逆风。
Positioning持仓 Insider cluster activity内部人集中交易
Technical技术面 UNCONFIRMED TURN → DOWNTREND未确认转向 → 下跌趋势

Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱

Insider activity内部人员活动: -$2.5M net (0 buyers, 5 sellers)-$2.5M 净值(0 买家,5 卖家)

Signal History信号历史

DOWNTREND → UNCONFIRMED TURN下跌趋势 → 未确认转向
HIGH-RISK · NIMBLE ONLY. A daily bottoming setup is forming (swing low in, momentum turned up) — but the higher timeframes haven't confirmed it: the bigger picture is still bearish (weekly momentum negative; investor cycle overdue; last cycle left-translated (topped early)). This is an UNCONFIRMED TURN, not a confirmed buy. Weekly confirmation lags price, so this exact reading covers BOTH bounces that fail AND the first leg of a genuine new cycle — you can't tell which in real time, so treat it as a risk/size signal, not a direction call. Measured: weekly-unconfirmed bottoming setups held the low ~49% of the time vs ~68% once the weekly turns up. Last cycle was left-translated (topped early) — a bearish structural tell高风险 · 仅限灵活操作。正在形成日线筑底形态(摆动低点已现、动量转向上行)——但更高周期尚未确认:大局仍偏空(周线动量为负;投资者周期已逾期;上一周期左移(见顶偏早))。这是「未确认转向」,并非已确认的买入。周线确认滞后于价格,因此同样的读数既涵盖最终失败的反弹,也涵盖真正新周期的第一段——实时无法判定属于哪一种,故应将其视为风险/仓位信号,而非方向判断。实测:周线未确认的筑底形态约 49% 守住低点,周线转向后升至约 68%。 上一周期为左移结构(见顶偏早)——属于看空的结构性信号
COUNTERTREND BOUNCE UNCONFIRMED TURN
Jul 9, 2026
UNCONFIRMED TURN → DOWNTREND未确认转向 → 下跌趋势
AVOID回避
Jul 8, 2026
OLN daily MACD crossed upOLN 日线MACD上穿
The daily MACD histogram turned positive — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $21.00.日线MACD柱状图转正 — 快速且嘈杂,仅作背景。$21.00。
Jul 7, 2026
DOWNTREND → UNCONFIRMED TURN下跌趋势 → 未确认转向
HIGH-RISK · NIMBLE ONLY高风险 · 仅限灵活操作
Jul 7, 2026
OLN StochRSI turned up from oversoldOLN StochRSI自超卖区上行
StochRSI popped back above 20 — the earliest oscillator heads-up that downside momentum is easing. $20.74.StochRSI重回20上方 — 下行动量趋缓的最早预警。$20.74。
Jul 1, 2026
OLN printed a daily-cycle lowOLN 打出日线周期低点
A confirmed local low — in this cycle framework the highest-odds long-entry window. $19.59.一个已确认的局部低点 — 在本周期框架中做多胜率最高的入场窗口。$19.59。
Jun 29, 2026
OLN StochRSI turned up from oversoldOLN StochRSI自超卖区上行
StochRSI popped back above 20 — the earliest oscillator heads-up that downside momentum is easing. $20.82.StochRSI重回20上方 — 下行动量趋缓的最早预警。$20.82。
Jun 29, 2026
OLN RSI reached oversoldOLN RSI进入超卖
RSI(14) crossed below 30 — washed out; context, not a timing trigger alone. $20.82.RSI(14)下穿30 — 超卖;仅作背景,单独不构成择时。$20.82。
Jun 18, 2026
OLN RSI reached oversoldOLN RSI进入超卖
RSI(14) crossed below 30 — washed out; context, not a timing trigger alone. $22.01.RSI(14)下穿30 — 超卖;仅作背景,单独不构成择时。$22.01。
Jun 16, 2026
UNCONFIRMED TURN → DOWNTREND未确认转向 → 下跌趋势
AVOID回避
Jun 16, 2026
OLN lost its 200-day averageOLN 跌破200日均线
Price closed below the 200-day moving average — the classic bear dividing line. $23.81.收盘跌破200日均线 — 经典的空头分界线。$23.81。

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Factor Profile因子特征

Composite factor score综合因子得分: -0.24
Value价值
+1.0
Profitability盈利能力
-1.4
Quality质量
-0.1
Investment资本投入
+0.7
Shareholder payout股东回报
-0.5
Low volatility低波动
-1.1
Low market beta低市场敏感度
-0.2
Earnings quality盈利质量
+0.5
Short interest空头兴趣
-0.6

Company Profile公司档案

Olin Corporation is an American manufacturer of ammunition, chlorine, and sodium hydroxide. The company traces its roots to two companies, both founded in 1892: Franklin W. Olin's Equitable Powder Company and the Mathieson Alkali Works.OlinCorporation是一家美国弹药、氯气和氢氧化钠制造商。公司历史可追溯至两家均成立于1892年的企业:富兰克林·W·奥林成立的EquitablePowderCompany与MathesonAlkaliWorks公司。
Watch items — what could change the thesis关注项 — 可能改变论点的因素
  • Margin compression despite revenue growth
  • Capital intensity rising
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