KALU Kaiser Aluminum Corporation · $157.78 Strong name · wrong tape — wait for a base强势个股 · 趋势不利 — 等待筑底 Terminal终端
Kaiser Aluminum Corporation · Materials

KALU

$157.78
Kaiser Aluminum Corporation is an American aluminum producer. It is a spinoff from Kaiser Aluminum and Chemicals Corporation, which came to be when common stock was offered in Permanente Metals Corporation and Permanente Metals Corporation's name was changed to Kaiser...KaiserAluminumCorporation是一家美国铝材生产商,是从KaiserAluminumandChemicalsCorporation分拆而来,后者由PermanenteMetalsCorporation发行普通股并更名为KaiserAluminumandChemicalsCorporation。
Secular growth长期成长 Mid cap中盘 $3B
Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Strong name · wrong tape — wait for a base强势个股 · 趋势不利 — 等待筑底
Downtrend — stand aside until a new cycle low forms and confirms.下跌趋势——观望,直至新的周期低点形成并确认。
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Key Statistics关键统计

Price价格
$157.78
19.3% below 52-week high低于52周高点 19.3%
Market Cap市值
$3B
Normal volume正常成交量
P/E Ratio市盈率
22.6x
28.6x sector median
Beta贝塔
1.74
Moves about 1.7x the market波动幅度约为市场的 1.7 倍
RSI (14)RSI(14)
37
Depressed偏低
Next Earnings下次财报
2026-07-22 (3d)
Volatility Rank波动率分位
61th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Short Interest空头兴趣
5.6% of float

Performance价格表现

Period周期 KALU S&P 500vs Index对比指数
1 Week近1周 -1.3% -1.5% In line with the index与指数基本持平
1 Month近1月 -12.6% +0.6% Lagged the index by 13.2 points落后指数 13.2 个百分点
3 Months近3月 +6.9% +4.7% Beat the index by 2.2 points跑赢指数 2.2 个百分点
6 Months近6月 +24.3% +7.8% Beat the index by 16.5 points跑赢指数 16.5 个百分点
Year to date年初至今 +32.5% +9.1% Beat the index by 23.4 points跑赢指数 23.4 个百分点
1 Year近1年 +80.0% +19.4% Beat the index by 60.6 points跑赢指数 60.6 个百分点
3 Years近3年 +132.2% +69.4% Beat the index by 62.8 points跑赢指数 62.8 个百分点

Technicals技术面

RSI (14)RSI(14) 37 Depressed偏低
vs 50-day相对50日均线 -10.9% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线 +20.0% vs 200-day avg
Volatility rank波动率分位 61th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Stop止损
$157.80
Blocked — failed cycle受阻 — 失败周期

Earnings财务业绩

3
days until next report天后公布财报
2026-07-22

Estimates being raised — 1 analysts预期上调 — 1 位分析师

Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线

Valuation估值

Multiple指标 KALU Sector median行业中位 Cheaper than相对便宜
P/E (trailing)市盈率(历史) 22.63x 28.57
58%
P/B市净率 3.10x 2.82
41%
P/S市销率 0.76x 1.64
76%
Earnings yield盈利收益率 4.42% 2.96
70%
FCF yield自由现金流收益率 -1.00% 3.23
13%
EV/EBITDA企业价值/EBITDA 11.60x 12.20
54%
Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线

Financials财务数据

Revenue营业收入
$1.2B
2020
$2.6B
2021
$3.4B
2022
$3.1B
2023
$3.0B
2024
$3.4B
2025
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 23.5%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
$1.81
2020
$-1.17
2021
$-1.86
2022
$2.92
2023
$2.87
2024
$6.77
2025
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 30.2%
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
$155.0M
2020
$21.4M
2021
-$205.6M
2022
$68.7M
2023
-$13.7M
2024
-$25.5M
2025
Margins利润率
Operating margin营业利润率
5.6%
Net margin净利率
3.4%
FCF margin自由现金流利润率
3.3%
13.7%Return on Equity股本回报率
4.4%Return on Assets资产回报率
Leverage杠杆
Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA3.38
Current ratio流动比率2.95
Capital Allocation资本配置
Stock-based comp股权薪酬$18.5M
Share count change (1y)股数变化(1年)+0.7%
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 7/9 Altman Z阿尔特曼Z: grey (2.9) Watch关注

Snapshot Gauges综合指标

Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业
Roughly fair vs sector相对行业估值合理
Cheaper than 48% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 48% 的公司
Beta市场敏感度
1.74×
0.2
Moves about 1.7× the market波动幅度约为市场的 1.7 倍
Financial Health财务健康
7/9
Altman阿尔特曼: grey
Strong financial health财务健康状况良好
Dividend分红
Does not pay a dividend不派发股息

Why Is It Moving为何波动

Macro宏观 Long-duration name into a restrictive, rising-real-rate regime → rate headwind.长久期标的进入偏紧、实际利率上行的环境→利率逆风。
Positioning持仓 Short interest changed +19.4%空头仓位变动 +19.4%
Technical技术面 KALU weekly MACD crossed downKALU 周线MACD下穿

Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱

Insider activity内部人员活动: -$3.7M net (0 buyers, 3 sellers)-$3.7M 净值(0 买家,3 卖家)

Signal History信号历史

NEARING A LOW → DOWNTREND接近低点 → 下跌趋势
AVOID. Failed cycle — price broke below the low that started this cycle, which historically means the larger trend is rolling over (~80% of cases)回避。失败周期——价格跌破了启动本周期的低点,历史上这通常意味着更大的趋势正在掉头向下(约 80% 的情形)
DECLINE DOWNTREND
Jul 10, 2026
KALU weekly MACD crossed downKALU 周线MACD下穿
The weekly MACD histogram turned negative — the slower, less-whippy momentum read.周线MACD柱状图转负 — 更慢、更少来回的动量信号。
Jul 7, 2026
UNCONFIRMED TURN → NEARING A LOW未确认转向 → 接近低点
GET READY准备
Jul 6, 2026
BOTTOMING → UNCONFIRMED TURN筑底中 → 未确认转向
HIGH-RISK · NIMBLE ONLY高风险 · 仅限灵活操作
Jul 2, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → BOTTOMING接近高点 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jul 2, 2026
KALU daily MACD crossed downKALU 日线MACD下穿
The daily MACD histogram turned negative — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $176.27.日线MACD柱状图转负 — 快速且嘈杂,仅作背景。$176.27。
Jul 1, 2026
BOTTOMING → NEARING A HIGH筑底中 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Jun 30, 2026
UPTREND → BOTTOMING上涨趋势 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jun 30, 2026
KALU made a new 52-week highKALU 创52周新高
Price reached a fresh 52-week high — a momentum / trend extreme the whole market watches. $195.63.价格创出52周新高 — 全市场关注的动量/趋势极值。$195.63。
Jun 30, 2026
KALU daily MACD crossed upKALU 日线MACD上穿
The daily MACD histogram turned positive — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $195.63.日线MACD柱状图转正 — 快速且嘈杂,仅作背景。$195.63。
Jun 26, 2026
NEARING A LOW → UPTREND接近低点 → 上涨趋势
HOLD持有
Jun 26, 2026
KALU StochRSI turned up from oversoldKALU StochRSI自超卖区上行
StochRSI popped back above 20 — the earliest oscillator heads-up that downside momentum is easing. $187.17.StochRSI重回20上方 — 下行动量趋缓的最早预警。$187.17。

Showing last 15 of显示最近15条,共 242 signals条信号

Factor Profile因子特征

Composite factor score综合因子得分: -0.33
Value价值
+0.1
Quality质量
-0.9
Investment资本投入
+0.1
Low volatility低波动
-0.6
Low market beta低市场敏感度
-1.2
Earnings quality盈利质量
-0.8
Short interest空头兴趣
+0.6

Company Profile公司档案

Kaiser Aluminum Corporation is an American aluminum producer. It is a spinoff from Kaiser Aluminum and Chemicals Corporation, which came to be when common stock was offered in Permanente Metals Corporation and Permanente Metals Corporation's name was changed to Kaiser...KaiserAluminumCorporation是一家美国铝材生产商,是从KaiserAluminumandChemicalsCorporation分拆而来,后者由PermanenteMetalsCorporation发行普通股并更名为KaiserAluminumandChemicalsCorporation。
Watch items — what could change the thesis关注项 — 可能改变论点的因素
  • Receivables stretch
  • Inventory build
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