OLED Universal Display · $80.18 Lagging — relative weakness落后 — 相对弱势 Terminal终端
Universal Display · Tech

OLED

$80.18
Universal Display Corporation is a developer and manufacturer of organic light emitting diode (OLED) technologies and materials, and it is a provider of services to the display and lighting industries.UniversalDisplayCorporation是一家有机发光二极管(OLED)技术与材料的开发商和制造商,并为显示和照明行业提供服务。
Mixed profile混合特征 Mid cap中盘 $4B
Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Lagging — relative weakness落后 — 相对弱势
Daily low forming, but the bigger trend is still bearish. Small size only; stop below 77.94.日线低点正在形成,但大趋势仍偏空。只适合小仓位;止损设于 77.94 下方。
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Key Statistics关键统计

Price价格
$80.18
46.6% below 52-week high低于52周高点 46.6%
Market Cap市值
$4B
Normal volume正常成交量
P/E Ratio市盈率
15.7x
40.2x sector median
Beta贝塔
1.33
Moves about 1.3x the market波动幅度约为市场的 1.3 倍
RSI (14)RSI(14)
41
Neutral zone中性区域
Next Earnings下次财报
2026-07-30 (11d)
Volatility Rank波动率分位
67th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Short Interest空头兴趣
10.1% of float

Performance价格表现

Period周期 OLED S&P 500vs Index对比指数
1 Week近1周 -1.1% -1.5% In line with the index与指数基本持平
1 Month近1月 -5.1% +0.6% Lagged the index by 5.7 points落后指数 5.7 个百分点
3 Months近3月 -19.5% +4.7% Lagged the index by 24.2 points落后指数 24.2 个百分点
6 Months近6月 -30.7% +7.8% Lagged the index by 38.5 points落后指数 38.5 个百分点
Year to date年初至今 -33.9% +9.1% Lagged the index by 43.0 points落后指数 43.0 个百分点
1 Year近1年 -46.4% +19.4% Lagged the index by 65.8 points落后指数 65.8 个百分点
3 Years近3年 -43.2% +69.4% Lagged the index by 112.6 points落后指数 112.6 个百分点

Technicals技术面

RSI (14)RSI(14) 41 Neutral zone中性区域
vs 50-day相对50日均线 -8.5% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线 -26.3% vs 200-day avg
Volatility rank波动率分位 67th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Buy zone买入区间
$79.72
Don't chase above不追高于
$80.18
Stop止损
$77.94
Bounce — turn not confirmed; wait反弹 — 转向未确认,先观望

Earnings财务业绩

11
days until next report天后公布财报
2026-07-30

Estimates being cut预期下调

Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线

Valuation估值

Multiple指标 OLED Sector median行业中位 Cheaper than相对便宜
P/E (trailing)市盈率(历史) 15.66x 40.17
87%
P/B市净率 2.15x 5.85
84%
P/S市销率 5.82x 4.85
42%
Earnings yield盈利收益率 6.39% 2.19
90%
FCF yield自由现金流收益率 4.07% 3.05
62%
Shareholder yield股东收益率 3.12% 2.16
64%
EV/EBITDA企业价值/EBITDA 13.18x 29.30
80%
P/FCF市值/自由现金流 24.55x 30.46
59%
Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线

Financials财务数据

Revenue营业收入
$428.9M
2020
$553.5M
2021
$616.6M
2022
$576.4M
2023
$647.7M
2024
$650.6M
2025
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 8.7%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
$2.80
2020
$3.87
2021
$4.40
2022
$4.24
2023
$4.65
2024
$5.08
2025
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 12.7%
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
$120.8M
2020
$147.9M
2021
$84.3M
2022
$95.0M
2023
$211.1M
2024
$154.4M
2025
Margins利润率
Gross margin毛利率
76.3%
Operating margin营业利润率
38.2%
Net margin净利率
37.2%
FCF margin自由现金流利润率
32.4%
13.7%Return on Equity股本回报率
12.3%Return on Assets资产回报率
Leverage杠杆
Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA-0.50
Current ratio流动比率10.06
Capital Allocation资本配置
Buybacks (TTM)回购(TTM)$32.9M
Stock-based comp股权薪酬$28.2M
Share count change (1y)股数变化(1年)-0.4%
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 4/8 Altman Z阿尔特曼Z: safe (13.3) Watch关注

Snapshot Gauges综合指标

Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业
Looks cheap vs sector相对行业偏便宜
Cheaper than 71% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 71% 的公司
Beta市场敏感度
1.33×
0.2
Moves about 1.3× the market波动幅度约为市场的 1.3 倍
Financial Health财务健康
4/8
Altman阿尔特曼: safe
Weak financial health财务健康状况偏弱
Dividend分红
Does not pay a dividend不派发股息

Why Is It Moving为何波动

Macro宏观 Rate risk runs through its market / growth beta, not a distinct duration leg.其利率风险通过市场/成长beta体现,并无独立的久期暴露。
Positioning持仓 Quiet — no confirmed driver平静 — 无明确驱动
Technical技术面 OLED made a new 52-week lowOLED 创52周新低

Signal History信号历史

DOWNTREND → UNCONFIRMED TURN下跌趋势 → 未确认转向
HIGH-RISK · NIMBLE ONLY. A daily bottoming setup is forming (swing low in, momentum turned up) — but the higher timeframes haven't confirmed it: the bigger picture is still bearish (weekly momentum just crossed down; investor cycle failed (broke its start low); last cycle left-translated (topped early)). This is an UNCONFIRMED TURN, not a confirmed buy. Weekly confirmation lags price, so this exact reading covers BOTH bounces that fail AND the first leg of a genuine new cycle — you can't tell which in real time, so treat it as a risk/size signal, not a direction call. Measured: weekly-unconfirmed bottoming setups held the low ~49% of the time vs ~68% once the weekly turns up. The daily cycle has also failed (broke its own start low), which tilts the odds toward failure here. Last cycle was left-translated (topped early) — a bearish structural tell高风险 · 仅限灵活操作。正在形成日线筑底形态(摆动低点已现、动量转向上行)——但更高周期尚未确认:大局仍偏空(周线动量刚刚向下交叉;投资者周期失败(跌破起始低点);上一周期左移(见顶偏早))。这是「未确认转向」,并非已确认的买入。周线确认滞后于价格,因此同样的读数既涵盖最终失败的反弹,也涵盖真正新周期的第一段——实时无法判定属于哪一种,故应将其视为风险/仓位信号,而非方向判断。实测:周线未确认的筑底形态约 49% 守住低点,周线转向后升至约 68%。日线周期同样已经失败(跌破其自身起始低点),此处概率更偏向失败。 上一周期为左移结构(见顶偏早)——属于看空的结构性信号
COUNTERTREND BOUNCE UNCONFIRMED TURN
Jul 13, 2026
OLED made a new 52-week lowOLED 创52周新低
Price reached a fresh 52-week low — a momentum / trend extreme the whole market watches. $77.94.价格创出52周新低 — 全市场关注的动量/趋势极值。$77.94。
Jul 10, 2026
OLED StochRSI turned up from oversoldOLED StochRSI自超卖区上行
StochRSI popped back above 20 — the earliest oscillator heads-up that downside momentum is easing. $81.04.StochRSI重回20上方 — 下行动量趋缓的最早预警。$81.04。
Jul 3, 2026
OLED weekly MACD crossed downOLED 周线MACD下穿
The weekly MACD histogram turned negative — the slower, less-whippy momentum read.周线MACD柱状图转负 — 更慢、更少来回的动量信号。
Jul 1, 2026
OLED made a new 52-week lowOLED 创52周新低
Price reached a fresh 52-week low — a momentum / trend extreme the whole market watches. $83.05.价格创出52周新低 — 全市场关注的动量/趋势极值。$83.05。
Jun 29, 2026
UNCONFIRMED TURN → DOWNTREND未确认转向 → 下跌趋势
AVOID回避
Jun 24, 2026
DOWNTREND → UNCONFIRMED TURN下跌趋势 → 未确认转向
HIGH-RISK · NIMBLE ONLY高风险 · 仅限灵活操作
Jun 23, 2026
BOTTOMING → DOWNTREND筑底中 → 下跌趋势
AVOID回避
Jun 23, 2026
OLED broke down vs the marketOLED 相对市场走弱
Relative strength vs SPY crossed below the 10th percentile of the last 90 days — weakness often leads price. $85.60.相对标普500的强弱下穿近90日的第10百分位 — 走弱常先于价格。$85.60。
Jun 23, 2026
OLED daily MACD crossed downOLED 日线MACD下穿
The daily MACD histogram turned negative — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $85.60.日线MACD柱状图转负 — 快速且嘈杂,仅作背景。$85.60。

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Factor Profile因子特征

Composite factor score综合因子得分: -0.26
Value价值
-0.1
Profitability盈利能力
-0.3
Quality质量
-0.9
Investment资本投入
+0.1
Shareholder payout股东回报
-0.2
Low volatility低波动
-0.1
Low market beta低市场敏感度
-0.6
Earnings quality盈利质量
-1.1
Short interest空头兴趣
-1.0

Company Profile公司档案

Universal Display Corporation is a developer and manufacturer of organic light emitting diode (OLED) technologies and materials, and it is a provider of services to the display and lighting industries.UniversalDisplayCorporation是一家有机发光二极管(OLED)技术与材料的开发商和制造商,并为显示和照明行业提供服务。
Watch items — what could change the thesis关注项 — 可能改变论点的因素
  • Inventory build
  • Capital intensity rising
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