Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Hold off — timing against you暂缓 — 时机不利
Downtrend — stand aside until a new cycle low forms and confirms.下跌趋势——观望，直至新的周期低点形成并确认。
Key Statistics关键统计
Price价格
$10.69
53.2% below 52-week high低于52周高点 53.2%
Market Cap市值
$4B
Normal volume正常成交量
Beta贝塔
3.18
Moves about 3.2x the market波动幅度约为市场的 3.2 倍
RSI (14)RSI（14）
35
Depressed偏低
Next Earnings下次财报
2026-08-04 (16d)
Volatility Rank波动率分位
48th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Short Interest空头兴趣
28.2% of float
Performance价格表现
| Period周期 | MARA | S&P 500 | vs Index对比指数 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Week近1周 | -15.2% | -1.5% | Lagged the index by 13.7 points落后指数 13.7 个百分点 |
| 1 Month近1月 | -23.2% | +0.6% | Lagged the index by 23.8 points落后指数 23.8 个百分点 |
| 3 Months近3月 | -7.8% | +4.7% | Lagged the index by 12.5 points落后指数 12.5 个百分点 |
| 6 Months近6月 | -5.9% | +7.8% | Lagged the index by 13.7 points落后指数 13.7 个百分点 |
| Year to date年初至今 | +7.9% | +9.1% | Lagged the index by 1.2 points落后指数 1.2 个百分点 |
| 1 Year近1年 | -46.5% | +19.4% | Lagged the index by 65.9 points落后指数 65.9 个百分点 |
| 3 Years近3年 | -36.4% | +69.4% | Lagged the index by 105.8 points落后指数 105.8 个百分点 |
Technicals技术面
RSI (14)RSI（14）
35
Depressed偏低
vs 50-day相对50日均线
-19.8% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线
-12.3% vs 200-day avg
Volatility rank波动率分位
48th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Stop止损
$10.69
Blocked — failed cycle受阻 — 失败周期
Earnings财务业绩
16
days until next report天后公布财报
2026-08-04
Estimates being raised — 1 analysts预期上调 — 1 位分析师
Post-earnings drift: +5.0% (20d)财报后漂移：+5.0%（20日）
Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线
Valuation估值
| Multiple指标 | MARA | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/B市净率 | 1.17x | 5.85 | 96% |
| P/S市销率 | 4.47x | 4.85 | 51% |
| Earnings yield盈利收益率 | -32.33% | 2.19 | 1% |
| FCF yield自由现金流收益率 | -29.82% | 3.05 | 1% |
| Shareholder yield股东收益率 | 1.16% | 2.16 | 33% |
Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线
Financials财务数据
Revenue营业收入
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 190.9%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
Margins利润率
-37.8%Return on Equity股本回报率
-18.0%Return on Assets资产回报率
Leverage杠杆
| Current ratio流动比率 | 1.27 |
Capital Allocation资本配置
| Buybacks (TTM)回购（TTM） | $46.9M |
| Stock-based comp股权薪酬 | $172.3M |
| Share count change (1y)股数变化（1年） | +11.5% |
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 2/8
Altman Z阿尔特曼Z: distress (-0.0)
Watch关注
Snapshot Gauges综合指标
Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业
Roughly fair vs sector相对行业估值合理
Cheaper than 49% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 49% 的公司
Beta市场敏感度
3.18×
0.21×3×
Moves about 3.2× the market波动幅度约为市场的 3.2 倍
Financial Health财务健康
2/8
Altman阿尔特曼: distress
Weak financial health财务健康状况偏弱
Dividend分红
—
Does not pay a dividend不派发股息
Why Is It Moving为何波动
Sector / Theme行业/主题
Crypto & Digital Assets theme — #42 of 46 themes「加密与数字资产」主题 — 46 个主题中第 42 位
Macro宏观
Rate risk runs through its market / growth beta, not a distinct duration leg.其利率风险通过市场／成长beta体现，并无独立的久期暴露。
Positioning持仓
Insider cluster activity内部人集中交易
Technical技术面
MARA lost its 200-day averageMARA 跌破200日均线
Options Positioning期权持仓
Market makers are net long gamma — price pinned near current level做市商净持有正伽玛，价格倾向于在当前水平附近震荡
Expected daily move预期日波动
±6.18%
Expected weekly move预期周波动
±13.83%
Call wall看涨密集区
$12
Put wall看跌密集区
$10
Gamma flip伽玛翻转
$11
25d risk reversal25d风险逆转
-1.4%
Flow资金流向
$18M premium traded; 0% 0DTE; 32 fresh positions; P/C 0.25; net new CALL positioning (bullish lean) (ΔOI +49,326); ~leans bullish (direction approx)成交权利金 $18M；0DTE占0%；32个新建仓；看跌看涨比 0.25；净新增看涨持仓（偏多）（ΔOI +49,326）；≈偏看涨（方向近似）
Skew: 偏斜：balanced
Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱
Insider activity内部人员活动: -$4.3M net (0 buyers, 4 sellers)-$4.3M 净值（0 买家，4 卖家）
Signal History信号历史
DECLINE
DOWNTREND
Jul 16, 2026
MARA lost its 200-day averageMARA 跌破200日均线
Price closed below the 200-day moving average — the classic bear dividing line. $11.42.收盘跌破200日均线 — 经典的空头分界线。$11.42。
Jul 15, 2026
MARA reclaimed its 200-day averageMARA 收复200日均线
Price closed back above the 200-day moving average — the classic bull dividing line. $12.29.收盘重回200日均线 — 经典的多头分界线。$12.29。
Jul 13, 2026
MARA lost its 200-day averageMARA 跌破200日均线
Price closed below the 200-day moving average — the classic bear dividing line. $12.19.收盘跌破200日均线 — 经典的空头分界线。$12.19。
Jul 10, 2026
MARA StochRSI turned up from oversoldMARA StochRSI自超卖区上行
StochRSI popped back above 20 — the earliest oscillator heads-up that downside momentum is easing. $12.60.StochRSI重回20上方 — 下行动量趋缓的最早预警。$12.60。
Jul 9, 2026
DOWNTREND → BOTTOMING下跌趋势 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jul 9, 2026
MARA reclaimed its 200-day averageMARA 收复200日均线
Price closed back above the 200-day moving average — the classic bull dividing line. $13.22.收盘重回200日均线 — 经典的多头分界线。$13.22。
Jul 7, 2026
BOTTOMING → DOWNTREND筑底中 → 下跌趋势
AVOID回避
Jul 7, 2026
MARA lost its 200-day averageMARA 跌破200日均线
Price closed below the 200-day moving average — the classic bear dividing line. $12.05.收盘跌破200日均线 — 经典的空头分界线。$12.05。
Jul 6, 2026
MARA reclaimed its 200-day averageMARA 收复200日均线
Price closed back above the 200-day moving average — the classic bull dividing line. $12.95.收盘重回200日均线 — 经典的多头分界线。$12.95。
Showing last 15 of显示最近15条，共 259 signals条信号
Factor Profile因子特征
Composite factor score综合因子得分: -1.18
Value价值
-1.9
Quality质量
-0.6
Investment资本投入
+0.1
Shareholder payout股东回报
-0.7
Low volatility低波动
-2.7
Low market beta低市场敏感度
-3.0
Earnings quality盈利质量
+0.4
Short interest空头兴趣
-1.6
Company Profile公司档案
Watch items — what could change the thesis关注项 — 可能改变论点的因素
- Margin compression despite revenue growth
- Capital intensity rising
Get the full picture获取完整视图
Nightly signals, options flow, and factor analysis across all S&P 500 names.每日更新的信号、期权资金流向和因子分析，覆盖所有标普500成分股。