NWE NorthWestern Energy · $72.06 Extended — don't chase; wait for a pullback过度拉升 — 勿追高；等待回撤 Terminal终端 ↗

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NorthWestern Energy · Utilities

NWE

$72.06
NorthWestern Energy Group, Inc. is a utility company that serves South Dakota, Nebraska, and Montana that is based in Sioux Falls, South Dakota.西北能源集团公司是一家公用事业公司，服务于南达科他州、内布拉斯加州和蒙大拿州，总部位于南达科他州苏福尔斯。
Distressed困境股 Mid cap中盘 $4B
Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Extended — don't chase; wait for a pullback过度拉升 — 勿追高；等待回撤
You missed the bottoming entry — the low already formed and price is now extended (momentum is fading — the daily moment已错过筑底入场——低点已经形成，目前价格已拉伸（动量正在衰竭——日线动量已开始掉头向下）。不要追高；等待回调至 10 日均线或下一个周期低点。若已持有则继续持有。
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Key Statistics关键统计

Price价格
$72.06
1.9% below 52-week high低于52周高点 1.9%
Market Cap市值
$4B
Normal volume正常成交量
P/E Ratio市盈率
24.4x
22.6x sector median
Beta贝塔
0.06
Moves about 0.1x the market波动幅度约为市场的 0.1 倍
RSI (14)RSI（14）
53
Neutral zone中性区域
Next Earnings下次财报
2026-07-29 (10d)
Volatility Rank波动率分位
63th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Short Interest空头兴趣
2.4% of float

Performance价格表现

Period周期 NWE S&P 500vs Index对比指数
1 Week近1周 -0.9% -1.5% In line with the index与指数基本持平
1 Month近1月 +4.1% +0.6% Beat the index by 3.5 points跑赢指数 3.5 个百分点
3 Months近3月 -0.6% +4.7% Lagged the index by 5.3 points落后指数 5.3 个百分点
6 Months近6月 +5.9% +7.8% Lagged the index by 1.9 points落后指数 1.9 个百分点
Year to date年初至今 +12.4% +9.1% Beat the index by 3.3 points跑赢指数 3.3 个百分点
1 Year近1年 +42.5% +19.4% Beat the index by 23.1 points跑赢指数 23.1 个百分点
3 Years近3年 +44.1% +69.4% Lagged the index by 25.3 points落后指数 25.3 个百分点

Technicals技术面

RSI (14)RSI（14） 53 Neutral zone中性区域
vs 50-day相对50日均线 +1.8% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线 +7.7% vs 200-day avg
Volatility rank波动率分位 63th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Buy zone买入区间
$71.67
Don't chase above不追高于
$72.06
Stop止损
$68.80
Extended — wait for a pullback过度拉伸 — 等待回撤

Earnings财务业绩

10
days until next report天后公布财报
2026-07-29

Estimates being cut预期下调

Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线

Valuation估值

Multiple指标 NWE Sector median行业中位 Cheaper than相对便宜
P/E (trailing)市盈率（历史） 24.44x 22.58
30%
P/B市净率 1.53x 2.06
84%
P/S市销率 2.75x 3.01
61%
Earnings yield盈利收益率 4.09% 4.41
33%
FCF yield自由现金流收益率 -2.94% -2.94
51%
Shareholder yield股东收益率 3.65% 2.81
82%
EV/EBITDA企业价值/EBITDA 13.39x 12.72
41%
Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线

Financials财务数据

Revenue营业收入
$1.4B
2023
$1.5B
2024
$1.6B
2025
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 6.4%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
$3.22
2023
$3.65
2024
$2.94
2025
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: -4.4%
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
-$77.7M
2023
-$142.5M
2024
-$130.0M
2025
Margins利润率
Operating margin营业利润率
20.2%
Net margin净利率
11.2%
FCF margin自由现金流利润率
24.5%
6.3%Return on Equity股本回报率
2.1%Return on Assets资产回报率
Leverage杠杆
Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA5.70
Current ratio流动比率0.72
Capital Allocation资本配置
Stock-based comp股权薪酬$7.0M
Share count change (1y)股数变化（1年）+0.2%
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 5/8 Altman Z阿尔特曼Z: distress (0.9) Clean稳健

Snapshot Gauges综合指标

Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业
Roughly fair vs sector相对行业估值合理
Cheaper than 53% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 53% 的公司
Beta市场敏感度
0.06×
0.21×3×
Moves about 0.1× the market波动幅度约为市场的 0.1 倍
Financial Health财务健康
5/8
Altman阿尔特曼: distress
Adequate financial health财务健康状况一般
Dividend分红
—
Does not pay a dividend不派发股息

Why Is It Moving为何波动

Macro宏观 Long-duration name into a restrictive, rising-real-rate regime → rate headwind.长久期标的进入偏紧、实际利率上行的环境→利率逆风。
Positioning持仓 Short interest changed -11.3%空头仓位变动 -11.3%
Technical技术面 BUY ZONE → UNCONFIRMED TURN买入区 → 未确认转向

Signal History信号历史

BUY ZONE → NEARING A HIGH买入区 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS. A daily bottoming setup did fire (swing low in, momentum turned up), but it's LATE — price is already extended above the cycle low (formed ~24 day(s) ago @ 68.8) and momentum is fading — the daily momentum is already rolling over. A momentum cross is a LAGGING confirmation: after a vertical run it only triggers once the move is mature, so the bottoming entry has already passed. This is a chase, not a fresh buy. Last cycle was left-translated (topped early) — a bearish structural tell止盈。日线筑底形态确实已经触发（摆动低点出现、动量转向上行），但为时已晚——价格已显著高于周期低点（约 24 天前形成 @ 68.8）且动量正在衰竭——日线动量已开始掉头向下。动量交叉属于滞后确认：在垂直拉升之后，只有当走势已经成熟时才会触发，因此筑底入场早已错过。这是追高，而非新的买入。 上一周期为左移结构（见顶偏早）——属于看空的结构性信号
TOP WATCH NEARING A HIGH
Jul 15, 2026
BUY ZONE → UNCONFIRMED TURN买入区 → 未确认转向
HIGH-RISK · NIMBLE ONLY高风险 · 仅限灵活操作
Jul 13, 2026
UNCONFIRMED TURN → BUY ZONE未确认转向 → 买入区
BUY买入
Jul 13, 2026
UNCONFIRMED TURN → BOTTOMING未确认转向 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jul 10, 2026
NWE daily MACD crossed upNWE 日线MACD上穿
The daily MACD histogram turned positive — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $72.71.日线MACD柱状图转正 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$72.71。
Jul 9, 2026
NWE StochRSI turned up from oversoldNWE StochRSI自超卖区上行
StochRSI popped back above 20 — the earliest oscillator heads-up that downside momentum is easing. $70.83.StochRSI重回20上方 — 下行动量趋缓的最早预警。$70.83。
Jul 7, 2026
NWE daily MACD crossed downNWE 日线MACD下穿
The daily MACD histogram turned negative — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $70.75.日线MACD柱状图转负 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$70.75。
Jul 6, 2026
NWE broke down vs the marketNWE 相对市场走弱
Relative strength vs SPY crossed below the 10th percentile of the last 90 days — weakness often leads price. $69.69.相对标普500的强弱下穿近90日的第10百分位 — 走弱常先于价格。$69.69。
Jul 1, 2026
UPTREND → UNCONFIRMED TURN上涨趋势 → 未确认转向
HIGH-RISK · NIMBLE ONLY高风险 · 仅限灵活操作

Showing last 15 of显示最近15条，共 249 signals条信号

Factor Profile因子特征

Composite factor score综合因子得分: 0.13
Value价值
+0.2
Quality质量
-0.6
Investment资本投入
+0.2
Shareholder payout股东回报
-0.1
Low volatility低波动
+1.0
Low market beta低市场敏感度
+1.0
Earnings quality盈利质量
-0.4
Short interest空头兴趣
+0.9

Company Profile公司档案

NorthWestern Energy Group, Inc. is a utility company that serves South Dakota, Nebraska, and Montana that is based in Sioux Falls, South Dakota.西北能源集团公司是一家公用事业公司，服务于南达科他州、内布拉斯加州和蒙大拿州，总部位于南达科他州苏福尔斯。
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