AWR American States Water Company · $89.28 Extended — don't chase; wait for a pullback过度拉升 — 勿追高；等待回撤 Terminal终端 ↗

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American States Water Company · Utilities

AWR

$89.28
American States Water Co. is an American water and electricity utility company.美国州立水务公司（AmericanStatesWaterCo.）是一家美国水电公用事业企业。
Rate-sensitive利率敏感 Mid cap中盘 $3B
Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Extended — don't chase; wait for a pullback过度拉升 — 勿追高；等待回撤
You missed the bottoming entry — the low already formed and price is now extended (overbought (daily RSI 79, 3-day 75 & 已错过筑底入场——低点已经形成，目前价格已拉伸（已超买（日线 RSI 79、3 日 75 与周线 71））。不要追高；等待回调至 10 日均线或下一个周期低点。若已持有则继续持有。
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Key Statistics关键统计

Price价格
$89.28
0.0% below 52-week high0.0% below 52-week high
Market Cap市值
$3B
Normal volume正常成交量
P/E Ratio市盈率
26.8x
22.6x sector median
Beta贝塔
-0.27
Moves about -0.3x the market波动幅度约为市场的 -0.3 倍
RSI (14)RSI（14）
79
Overbought超买区域
Next Earnings下次财报
2026-08-05 (17d)
Volatility Rank波动率分位
41th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Short Interest空头兴趣
2.3% of float

Performance价格表现

Period周期 AWR S&P 500vs Index对比指数
1 Week近1周 +5.6% -1.5% Beat the index by 7.1 points跑赢指数 7.1 个百分点
1 Month近1月 +16.1% +0.6% Beat the index by 15.5 points跑赢指数 15.5 个百分点
3 Months近3月 +18.4% +4.7% Beat the index by 13.7 points跑赢指数 13.7 个百分点
6 Months近6月 +19.1% +7.8% Beat the index by 11.3 points跑赢指数 11.3 个百分点
Year to date年初至今 +25.2% +9.1% Beat the index by 16.1 points跑赢指数 16.1 个百分点
1 Year近1年 +21.5% +19.4% Beat the index by 2.1 points跑赢指数 2.1 个百分点
3 Years近3年 +10.5% +69.4% Lagged the index by 58.9 points落后指数 58.9 个百分点

Technicals技术面

RSI (14)RSI（14） 79 Overbought超买区域
vs 50-day相对50日均线 +12.6% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线 +19.3% vs 200-day avg
Volatility rank波动率分位 41th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Buy zone买入区间
$84.03
Don't chase above不追高于
$89.28
Stop止损
$76.88
Topping — protect gains见顶 — 保护利润

Earnings财务业绩

17
days until next report天后公布财报
2026-08-05

Estimates being raised — 1 analysts预期上调 — 1 位分析师

Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线

Valuation估值

Multiple指标 AWR Sector median行业中位 Cheaper than相对便宜
P/E (trailing)市盈率（历史） 26.75x 22.58
20%
P/B市净率 3.34x 2.06
8%
P/S市销率 5.30x 3.01
8%
Earnings yield盈利收益率 3.74% 4.41
24%
FCF yield自由现金流收益率 -0.20% -2.94
72%
EV/EBITDA企业价值/EBITDA 16.94x 12.72
14%
Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线

Financials财务数据

Revenue营业收入
$488.2M
2020
$498.9M
2021
$491.5M
2022
$595.7M
2023
$595.5M
2024
$658.1M
2025
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 6.2%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
$2.33
2020
$2.55
2021
$2.11
2022
$3.36
2023
$3.17
2024
$3.37
2025
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 7.7%
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
-$8.3M
2020
-$28.9M
2021
-$48.4M
2022
-$120.9M
2023
-$33.2M
2024
-$7.1M
2025
Margins利润率
Operating margin营业利润率
30.9%
Net margin净利率
19.8%
FCF margin自由现金流利润率
34.9%
12.5%Return on Equity股本回报率
4.8%Return on Assets资产回报率
Leverage杠杆
Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA3.04
Current ratio流动比率1.32
Capital Allocation资本配置
Stock-based comp股权薪酬$3.6M
Share count change (1y)股数变化（1年）+2.4%
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 6/9 Altman Z阿尔特曼Z: grey (2.1) Clean稳健

Snapshot Gauges综合指标

Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业
Expensive vs sector相对行业偏贵
Cheaper than 24% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 24% 的公司
Beta市场敏感度
-0.27×
0.21×3×
Has tended to move opposite the market (factor-adjusted)经因子调整后常与大盘反向波动
Financial Health财务健康
6/9
Altman阿尔特曼: grey
Adequate financial health财务健康状况一般
Dividend分红
—
Does not pay a dividend不派发股息

Why Is It Moving为何波动

Macro宏观 Long-duration name into a restrictive, rising-real-rate regime → rate headwind.长久期标的进入偏紧、实际利率上行的环境→利率逆风。
Positioning持仓 Insider cluster activity内部人集中交易
Technical技术面 AWR took relative-strength leadershipAWR 取得相对强弱领先

Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱

Insider activity内部人员活动: -$0.0M net (0 buyers, 1 sellers)-$0.0M 净值（0 买家，1 卖家）

Signal History信号历史

BOTTOMING → NEARING A HIGH筑底中 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS. A daily bottoming setup did fire (swing low in, momentum turned up), but it's LATE — price is already extended above the cycle low (formed ~24 day(s) ago @ 76.88) and overbought (daily RSI 79, 3-day 75 & weekly 71). A momentum cross is a LAGGING confirmation: after a vertical run it only triggers once the move is mature, so the bottoming entry has already passed. This is a chase, not a fresh buy止盈。日线筑底形态确实已经触发（摆动低点出现、动量转向上行），但为时已晚——价格已显著高于周期低点（约 24 天前形成 @ 76.88）且已超买（日线 RSI 79、3 日 75 与周线 71）。动量交叉属于滞后确认：在垂直拉升之后，只有当走势已经成熟时才会触发，因此筑底入场早已错过。这是追高，而非新的买入
TOP WATCH NEARING A HIGH
Jul 16, 2026
AWR took relative-strength leadershipAWR 取得相对强弱领先
Relative strength vs SPY crossed above the 90th percentile of the last 90 days — leadership tends to persist. $87.93.相对标普500的强弱上穿近90日的第90百分位 — 领先往往延续。$87.93。
Jul 16, 2026
AWR made a new 52-week highAWR 创52周新高
Price reached a fresh 52-week high — a momentum / trend extreme the whole market watches. $87.93.价格创出52周新高 — 全市场关注的动量/趋势极值。$87.93。
Jul 16, 2026
AWR RSI reached overboughtAWR RSI进入超买
RSI(14) crossed above 70 — stretched to the upside; context, not a timing trigger alone. $87.93.RSI(14)上穿70 — 上行过度；仅作背景，单独不构成择时。$87.93。
Jul 13, 2026
AWR made a new 52-week highAWR 创52周新高
Price reached a fresh 52-week high — a momentum / trend extreme the whole market watches. $85.05.价格创出52周新高 — 全市场关注的动量/趋势极值。$85.05。
Jul 13, 2026
AWR RSI reached overboughtAWR RSI进入超买
RSI(14) crossed above 70 — stretched to the upside; context, not a timing trigger alone. $85.05.RSI(14)上穿70 — 上行过度；仅作背景，单独不构成择时。$85.05。
Jul 8, 2026
BOTTOMING → NEARING A HIGH筑底中 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Jul 7, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → BOTTOMING接近高点 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jul 1, 2026
BUY ZONE → NEARING A HIGH买入区 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Jul 1, 2026
AWR made a new 52-week highAWR 创52周新高
Price reached a fresh 52-week high — a momentum / trend extreme the whole market watches. $83.34.价格创出52周新高 — 全市场关注的动量/趋势极值。$83.34。
Jul 1, 2026
AWR RSI reached overboughtAWR RSI进入超买
RSI(14) crossed above 70 — stretched to the upside; context, not a timing trigger alone. $83.34.RSI(14)上穿70 — 上行过度；仅作背景，单独不构成择时。$83.34。
Jun 25, 2026
AWR made a new 52-week highAWR 创52周新高
Price reached a fresh 52-week high — a momentum / trend extreme the whole market watches. $80.68.价格创出52周新高 — 全市场关注的动量/趋势极值。$80.68。
Jun 23, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → BUY ZONE接近高点 → 买入区
BUY买入
Jun 23, 2026
AWR daily MACD crossed upAWR 日线MACD上穿
The daily MACD histogram turned positive — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $79.03.日线MACD柱状图转正 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$79.03。
Jun 23, 2026
AWR StochRSI turned up from oversoldAWR StochRSI自超卖区上行
StochRSI popped back above 20 — the earliest oscillator heads-up that downside momentum is easing. $79.03.StochRSI重回20上方 — 下行动量趋缓的最早预警。$79.03。

Showing last 15 of显示最近15条，共 262 signals条信号

Factor Profile因子特征

Composite factor score综合因子得分: 0.15
Value价值
-0.4
Quality质量
-0.1
Investment资本投入
-0.0
Low volatility低波动
+1.2
Low market beta低市场敏感度
+1.5
Earnings quality盈利质量
-0.2
Short interest空头兴趣
+1.1

Company Profile公司档案

American States Water Co. is an American water and electricity utility company.美国州立水务公司（AmericanStatesWaterCo.）是一家美国水电公用事业企业。
Watch items — what could change the thesis关注项 — 可能改变论点的因素
  • Margin compression despite revenue growth
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