NSSC Napco Security Technologies · $36.12 Neutral — no clear edge中性 — 无明显优势 Terminal终端 ↗

All coverage所有股票 · Tech

Napco Security Technologies · Tech

NSSC

$36.12
Napco Security Technologies, Inc. was set up in 1969 and now is based in Amityville, New York.NapcoSecurityTechnologies,Inc.成立于1969年，现总部位于纽约州阿米蒂维尔。
Rate-sensitive利率敏感 Small cap小盘 $1B
Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Neutral — no clear edge中性 — 无明显优势
The bottoming setup is not yet confirmed (price still below the 10-day average) and the 3-day/weekly momentum has crosse筑底形态尚未确认（价格仍位于 10 日均线下方），且3 日/周线动量已向下交叉——动量在形态完成前已开始衰竭。等待价格收复 10 日均线且动量趋于稳定后再考虑建仓。
Open in Terminal打开终端 ↗ All coverage所有股票 Data through数据截至 2026-07-20 · regenerated nightly每日更新

Key Statistics关键统计

Price价格
$36.12
22.9% below 52-week high低于52周高点 22.9%
Market Cap市值
$1B
Normal volume正常成交量
P/E Ratio市盈率
29.7x
40.2x sector median
Beta贝塔
1.23
Moves about 1.2x the market波动幅度约为市场的 1.2 倍
RSI (14)RSI（14）
44
Neutral zone中性区域
Volatility Rank波动率分位
27th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Short Interest空头兴趣
9.3% of float

Performance价格表现

Period周期 NSSC S&P 500vs Index对比指数
1 Week近1周 +0.1% -1.5% Beat the index by 1.6 points跑赢指数 1.6 个百分点
1 Month近1月 +0.2% +0.6% In line with the index与指数基本持平
3 Months近3月 -20.1% +4.7% Lagged the index by 24.8 points落后指数 24.8 个百分点
6 Months近6月 -5.7% +7.8% Lagged the index by 13.5 points落后指数 13.5 个百分点
Year to date年初至今 -12.0% +9.1% Lagged the index by 21.1 points落后指数 21.1 个百分点
1 Year近1年 +18.8% +19.4% In line with the index与指数基本持平
3 Years近3年 +1.0% +69.4% Lagged the index by 68.4 points落后指数 68.4 个百分点

Technicals技术面

RSI (14)RSI（14） 44 Neutral zone中性区域
vs 50-day相对50日均线 -2.5% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线 -11.3% vs 200-day avg
Volatility rank波动率分位 27th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Buy zone买入区间
$35.31
Don't chase above不追高于
$36.12
Stop止损
$35.56
Extended — wait for a pullback过度拉伸 — 等待回撤

Earnings财务业绩

Estimates being raised — 1 analysts预期上调 — 1 位分析师

Post-earnings drift: -18.1% (20d)财报后漂移：-18.1%（20日）

Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线

Valuation估值

Multiple指标 NSSC Sector median行业中位 Cheaper than相对便宜
P/E (trailing)市盈率（历史） 29.68x 40.17
63%
P/B市净率 6.97x 5.85
42%
P/S市销率 7.09x 4.85
33%
Earnings yield盈利收益率 3.37% 2.19
69%
FCF yield自由现金流收益率 3.99% 3.05
62%
Shareholder yield股东收益率 2.86% 2.16
59%
EV/EBITDA企业价值/EBITDA 24.99x 29.30
56%
P/FCF市值/自由现金流 25.06x 30.46
58%
Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线

Financials财务数据

Revenue营业收入
$101.4M
2020
$114.0M
2021
$143.6M
2022
$170.0M
2023
$188.8M
2024
$181.6M
2025
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 12.4%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
$0.46
2020
$0.42
2021
$0.53
2022
$0.73
2023
$1.34
2024
$1.19
2025
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 20.9%
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
$8.7M
2020
$22.0M
2021
$6.8M
2022
$21.7M
2023
$43.8M
2024
$51.4M
2025
Margins利润率
Gross margin毛利率
55.6%
Operating margin营业利润率
25.5%
Net margin净利率
23.9%
FCF margin自由现金流利润率
29.5%
23.5%Return on Equity股本回报率
20.4%Return on Assets资产回报率
Leverage杠杆
Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA-1.72
Current ratio流动比率6.75
Capital Allocation资本配置
Buybacks (TTM)回购（TTM）$36.8M
Stock-based comp股权薪酬$1.5M
Share count change (1y)股数变化（1年）-2.0%
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 6/8 Altman Z阿尔特曼Z: safe (30.1) Clean稳健

Snapshot Gauges综合指标

Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业
Roughly fair vs sector相对行业估值合理
Cheaper than 51% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 51% 的公司
Beta市场敏感度
1.23×
0.21×3×
Moves about 1.2× the market波动幅度约为市场的 1.2 倍
Financial Health财务健康
6/8
Altman阿尔特曼: safe
Adequate financial health财务健康状况一般
Dividend分红
—
Does not pay a dividend不派发股息

Why Is It Moving为何波动

Macro宏观 Rate risk runs through its market / growth beta, not a distinct duration leg.其利率风险通过市场／成长beta体现，并无独立的久期暴露。
Positioning持仓 Short interest changed +16.2%空头仓位变动 +16.2%
Technical技术面 NSSC daily MACD crossed downNSSC 日线MACD下穿

Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱

Insider activity内部人员活动: -$15.4M net (0 buyers, 2 sellers)-$15.4M 净值（0 买家，2 卖家）
Fund基金 Grade评级 Activity动作 % of portfolio组合占比 As of截至
Polen Capital Management B exitexit 0.0% 2026-03-31

Signal History信号历史

UNCONFIRMED TURN → BOTTOMING未确认转向 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP. Buyers rejected the 2026-07-15 low (swing low printed) but price hasn't reclaimed its 10-day average — first box ticked, not all买入预备。买方拒绝了 2026-07-15 的低点（摆动低点已现），但价格尚未收复 10 日均线——第一项条件达成，并非全部
TURN SIGNALED BOTTOMING
Jul 10, 2026
NSSC daily MACD crossed downNSSC 日线MACD下穿
The daily MACD histogram turned negative — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $36.07.日线MACD柱状图转负 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$36.07。
Jul 9, 2026
NSSC broke down vs the marketNSSC 相对市场走弱
Relative strength vs SPY crossed below the 10th percentile of the last 90 days — weakness often leads price. $36.09.相对标普500的强弱下穿近90日的第10百分位 — 走弱常先于价格。$36.09。
Jul 8, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → UNCONFIRMED TURN接近高点 → 未确认转向
HIGH-RISK · NIMBLE ONLY高风险 · 仅限灵活操作
Jul 7, 2026
BOTTOMING → NEARING A HIGH筑底中 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Jul 6, 2026
UNCONFIRMED TURN → BOTTOMING未确认转向 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jun 30, 2026
NEARING A LOW → UPTREND接近低点 → 上涨趋势
HOLD持有
Jun 29, 2026
UPTREND → NEARING A LOW上涨趋势 → 接近低点
GET READY准备
Jun 29, 2026
UPTREND → UNCONFIRMED TURN上涨趋势 → 未确认转向
HIGH-RISK · NIMBLE ONLY高风险 · 仅限灵活操作

Showing last 15 of显示最近15条，共 250 signals条信号

Factor Profile因子特征

Composite factor score综合因子得分: -0.01
Value价值
-0.7
Profitability盈利能力
+0.9
Quality质量
+0.1
Investment资本投入
+0.2
Shareholder payout股东回报
-0.3
Low volatility低波动
-0.2
Low market beta低市场敏感度
-0.5
Earnings quality盈利质量
+0.0
Short interest空头兴趣
-0.8

Company Profile公司档案

Napco Security Technologies, Inc. was set up in 1969 and now is based in Amityville, New York.NapcoSecurityTechnologies,Inc.成立于1969年，现总部位于纽约州阿米蒂维尔。
Watch items — what could change the thesis关注项 — 可能改变论点的因素
  • Capital intensity rising
Get the full picture获取完整视图
Nightly signals, options flow, and factor analysis across all S&P 500 names.每日更新的信号、期权资金流向和因子分析，覆盖所有标普500成分股。
Open Analyzer打开分析器 Browse All Stocks浏览所有股票