HLIT
Harmonic Inc.
·
$12.03
Leader · accounting warning — verify before buying领先 · 财务质量警示 — 买入前先核实
Terminal终端 ↗
Harmonic Inc. · Tech
HLIT
$12.03
Harmonic Inc. is an American technology company that develops and markets video routing, server, and storage products for companies that produce, process, and distribute video content for television and the Internet.哈蒙尼克公司（HarmonicInc.）是一家美国科技公司，为制作、处理和分发电视及互联网视频内容的公司开发并营销视频路由、服务器和存储产品。
Distressed困境股
Small cap小盘
$1B
Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Leader · accounting warning — verify before buying领先 · 财务质量警示 — 买入前先核实
A cycle low is due in roughly ~0–2 trading days — watch for the turn, don't front-run it.周期低点预计在约 ~0–2 个交易日内出现——等待转向，切勿抢跑。
Key Statistics关键统计
Price价格
$12.03
29.7% below 52-week high低于52周高点 29.7%
Market Cap市值
$1B
Normal volume正常成交量
P/E Ratio市盈率
1100.0x
40.2x sector median
Beta贝塔
1.78
Moves about 1.8x the market波动幅度约为市场的 1.8 倍
RSI (14)RSI（14）
34
Depressed偏低
Next Earnings下次财报
2026-07-27 (8d)
Volatility Rank波动率分位
87th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Short Interest空头兴趣
5.1% of float
Performance价格表现
| Period周期 | HLIT | S&P 500 | vs Index对比指数 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Week近1周 | -14.4% | -1.5% | Lagged the index by 12.9 points落后指数 12.9 个百分点 |
| 1 Month近1月 | -19.0% | +0.6% | Lagged the index by 19.6 points落后指数 19.6 个百分点 |
| 3 Months近3月 | +14.6% | +4.7% | Beat the index by 9.9 points跑赢指数 9.9 个百分点 |
| 6 Months近6月 | +19.5% | +7.8% | Beat the index by 11.7 points跑赢指数 11.7 个百分点 |
| Year to date年初至今 | +20.1% | +9.1% | Beat the index by 11.0 points跑赢指数 11.0 个百分点 |
| 1 Year近1年 | +28.8% | +19.4% | Beat the index by 9.4 points跑赢指数 9.4 个百分点 |
| 3 Years近3年 | -23.0% | +69.4% | Lagged the index by 92.4 points落后指数 92.4 个百分点 |
Technicals技术面
RSI (14)RSI（14）
34
Depressed偏低
vs 50-day相对50日均线
-15.0% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线
+8.6% vs 200-day avg
Volatility rank波动率分位
87th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Buy zone买入区间
$11.40
Don't chase above不追高于
$12.03
Stop止损
$12.03
Watch — a low is approaching观察 — 低点临近
Earnings财务业绩
8
days until next report天后公布财报
2026-07-27
Estimates being raised — 4 analysts预期上调 — 4 位分析师
Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线
Valuation估值
| Multiple指标 | HLIT | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing)市盈率（历史） | 1099.97x | 40.17 | 1% |
| P/B市净率 | 3.49x | 5.85 | 69% |
| P/S市销率 | 3.71x | 4.85 | 58% |
| Earnings yield盈利收益率 | 0.09% | 2.19 | 15% |
| FCF yield自由现金流收益率 | 7.24% | 3.05 | 82% |
| Shareholder yield股东收益率 | 5.91% | 2.16 | 82% |
| EV/EBITDA企业价值/EBITDA | 52.68x | 29.30 | 30% |
| P/FCF市值/自由现金流 | 13.81x | 30.46 | 80% |
Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线
Financials财务数据
Revenue营业收入
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: -1.0%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
Margins利润率
0.3%Return on Equity股本回报率
0.2%Return on Assets资产回报率
Leverage杠杆
| Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA | -0.48 |
| Current ratio流动比率 | 2.50 |
Capital Allocation资本配置
| Buybacks (TTM)回购（TTM） | $79.0M |
| Stock-based comp股权薪酬 | $31.9M |
| Share count change (1y)股数变化（1年） | -4.8% |
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 4/9
Altman Z阿尔特曼Z: distress (-0.6)
Warning警示
Snapshot Gauges综合指标
Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业
Roughly fair vs sector相对行业估值合理
Cheaper than 48% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 48% 的公司
Beta市场敏感度
1.78×
0.21×3×
Moves about 1.8× the market波动幅度约为市场的 1.8 倍
Financial Health财务健康
4/9
Altman阿尔特曼: distress
Weak financial health财务健康状况偏弱
Dividend分红
—
Does not pay a dividend不派发股息
Why Is It Moving为何波动
Macro宏观
Rate risk runs through its market / growth beta, not a distinct duration leg.其利率风险通过市场／成长beta体现，并无独立的久期暴露。
Positioning持仓
Short interest changed +45.2%空头仓位变动 +45.2%
Technical技术面
HLIT weekly MACD crossed downHLIT 周线MACD下穿
Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱
Insider activity内部人员活动: +$0.2M net (1 buyers, 1 sellers)+$0.2M 净值（1 买家，1 卖家）
Signal History信号历史
BOTTOM WATCH
NEARING A LOW
Jul 17, 2026
HLIT weekly MACD crossed downHLIT 周线MACD下穿
The weekly MACD histogram turned negative — the slower, less-whippy momentum read.周线MACD柱状图转负 — 更慢、更少来回的动量信号。
Jul 7, 2026
BOTTOMING → UNCONFIRMED TURN筑底中 → 未确认转向
HIGH-RISK · NIMBLE ONLY高风险 · 仅限灵活操作
Jul 2, 2026
HLIT daily MACD crossed downHLIT 日线MACD下穿
The daily MACD histogram turned negative — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $14.07.日线MACD柱状图转负 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$14.07。
Jun 30, 2026
HLIT daily MACD crossed upHLIT 日线MACD上穿
The daily MACD histogram turned positive — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $16.33.日线MACD柱状图转正 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$16.33。
Jun 29, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → BOTTOMING接近高点 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jun 25, 2026
BOTTOMING → NEARING A HIGH筑底中 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Jun 25, 2026
HLIT took relative-strength leadershipHLIT 取得相对强弱领先
Relative strength vs SPY crossed above the 90th percentile of the last 90 days — leadership tends to persist. $14.85.相对标普500的强弱上穿近90日的第90百分位 — 领先往往延续。$14.85。
Jun 24, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → BOTTOMING接近高点 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Showing last 15 of显示最近15条，共 228 signals条信号
Factor Profile因子特征
Composite factor score综合因子得分: 0.19
Value价值
-0.6
Profitability盈利能力
-0.4
Quality质量
+1.3
Investment资本投入
+1.1
Shareholder payout股东回报
+0.5
Low volatility低波动
-0.7
Low market beta低市场敏感度
-1.2
Earnings quality盈利质量
+1.6
Short interest空头兴趣
+0.7
Company Profile公司档案
Harmonic Inc. is an American technology company that develops and markets video routing, server, and storage products for companies that produce, process, and distribute video content for television and the Internet.哈蒙尼克公司（HarmonicInc.）是一家美国科技公司，为制作、处理和分发电视及互联网视频内容的公司开发并营销视频路由、服务器和存储产品。
Watch items — what could change the thesis关注项 — 可能改变论点的因素
- Inventory build
- Capital intensity rising
Get the full picture获取完整视图
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