MSCI MSCI Inc. · $628.66 Extended — don't chase; wait for a pullback过度拉升 — 勿追高;等待回撤 Terminal终端
MSCI Inc. · Financials

MSCI

$628.66
MSCI Inc. is an American finance company headquartered in New York City.MSCIInc.是一家总部位于纽约市的美国金融公司。
Financial金融股 Large cap大盘 $46B
Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Extended — don't chase; wait for a pullback过度拉升 — 勿追高;等待回撤
You missed the bottoming entry — the low already formed and price is now extended (momentum is fading — the daily moment已错过筑底入场——低点已经形成,目前价格已拉伸(动量正在衰竭——日线动量已开始掉头向下)。不要追高;等待回调至 10 日均线或下一个周期低点。若已持有则继续持有。
Open in Terminal打开终端 All coverage所有股票 Data through数据截至 2026-07-20 · regenerated nightly每日更新

Key Statistics关键统计

Price价格
$628.66
2.4% below 52-week high低于52周高点 2.4%
Market Cap市值
$46B
Normal volume正常成交量
P/E Ratio市盈率
38.5x
15.0x sector median
Beta贝塔
0.41
Moves about 0.4x the market波动幅度约为市场的 0.4 倍
RSI (14)RSI(14)
61
Elevated偏高
Next Earnings下次财报
2026-07-21 (2d)
Volatility Rank波动率分位
73th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Short Interest空头兴趣
1.8% of float

Performance价格表现

Period周期 MSCI S&P 500vs Index对比指数
1 Week近1周 +4.0% -1.5% Beat the index by 5.5 points跑赢指数 5.5 个百分点
1 Month近1月 +5.3% +0.6% Beat the index by 4.7 points跑赢指数 4.7 个百分点
3 Months近3月 +11.0% +4.7% Beat the index by 6.3 points跑赢指数 6.3 个百分点
6 Months近6月 +5.1% +7.8% Lagged the index by 2.7 points落后指数 2.7 个百分点
Year to date年初至今 +12.1% +9.1% Beat the index by 3.0 points跑赢指数 3.0 个百分点
1 Year近1年 +9.9% +19.4% Lagged the index by 9.5 points落后指数 9.5 个百分点

Technicals技术面

RSI (14)RSI(14) 61 Elevated偏高
vs 50-day相对50日均线 +5.5% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线 +10.5% vs 200-day avg
Volatility rank波动率分位 73th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Buy zone买入区间
$604.65
Don't chase above不追高于
$628.70
Stop止损
$544.60
Extended — wait for a pullback过度拉伸 — 等待回撤

Earnings财务业绩

2
days until next report天后公布财报
2026-07-21

Estimates being raised — 4 analysts预期上调 — 4 位分析师

Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线

Valuation估值

Multiple指标 MSCI Sector median行业中位 Cheaper than相对便宜
P/E (trailing)市盈率(历史) 38.48x 14.99
5%
P/S市销率 14.76x 2.87
12%
Earnings yield盈利收益率 2.60% 6.58
9%
Shareholder yield股东收益率 6.57% 3.91
75%
Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线

Financials财务数据

Revenue营业收入
$1.7B
2020
$2.0B
2021
$2.2B
2022
$2.5B
2023
$2.9B
2024
$3.1B
2025
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 13.1%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
$7.12
2020
$8.70
2021
$10.72
2022
$14.39
2023
$14.05
2024
$15.69
2025
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 17.1%
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
$789.3M
2020
$922.6M
2021
$1.1B
2022
$1.2B
2023
$1.5B
2024
$1.5B
2025
Margins利润率
Operating margin营业利润率
54.7%
Net margin净利率
38.4%
FCF margin自由现金流利润率
50.7%
-45.3%Return on Equity股本回报率
21.1%Return on Assets资产回报率
Leverage杠杆
Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA3.27
Capital Allocation资本配置
Buybacks (TTM)回购(TTM)$2.5B
Stock-based comp股权薪酬$111.3M
Share count change (1y)股数变化(1年)-5.3%
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 7/8 Altman Z阿尔特曼Z: safe (6.2) Clean稳健

Snapshot Gauges综合指标

Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业
Expensive vs sector相对行业偏贵
Cheaper than 8% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 8% 的公司
Beta市场敏感度
0.41×
0.2
Moves about 0.4× the market波动幅度约为市场的 0.4 倍
Financial Health财务健康
7/8
Altman阿尔特曼: safe
Strong financial health财务健康状况良好
Dividend分红
Does not pay a dividend不派发股息

Why Is It Moving为何波动

Sector / Theme行业/主题 Financials (Equal-Weight) theme — #10 of 46 themes「金融(等权)」主题 — 46 个主题中第 10 位
Macro宏观 Short-duration name into a restrictive, rising-real-rate regime → rate tailwind.短久期标的进入偏紧、实际利率上行的环境→利率顺风。
Positioning持仓 Short interest changed -25.9%空头仓位变动 -25.9%
Technical技术面 MSCI took relative-strength leadershipMSCI 取得相对强弱领先

Options Positioning期权持仓

Market makers are net long gamma — price pinned near current level做市商净持有正伽玛,价格倾向于在当前水平附近震荡

Expected daily move预期日波动
±2.12%
Expected weekly move预期周波动
±4.75%
Call wall看涨密集区
$670
Put wall看跌密集区
$570
Gamma flip伽玛翻转
$613
25d risk reversal25d风险逆转
-2.1%
Skew: 偏斜:balanced

Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱

Insider activity内部人员活动: +$11.4M net (2 buyers, 2 sellers)+$11.4M 净值(2 买家,2 卖家)
Concentrated ownership集中持仓
Fund基金 Grade评级 Activity动作 % of portfolio组合占比 As of截至
Himalaya Capital (Li Lu) D New position新建仓 0.3% 2026-03-31
Polen Capital Management B trimtrim 3.5% 2026-03-31

Signal History信号历史

UPTREND → NEARING A HIGH上涨趋势 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS. A daily bottoming setup did fire (swing low in, momentum turned up), but it's LATE — price is already extended above the cycle low (formed ~15 day(s) ago @ 544.56) and momentum is fading — the daily momentum is already rolling over. A momentum cross is a LAGGING confirmation: after a vertical run it only triggers once the move is mature, so the bottoming entry has already passed. This is a chase, not a fresh buy. Last cycle was left-translated (topped early) — a bearish structural tell止盈。日线筑底形态确实已经触发(摆动低点出现、动量转向上行),但为时已晚——价格已显著高于周期低点(约 15 天前形成 @ 544.56)且动量正在衰竭——日线动量已开始掉头向下。动量交叉属于滞后确认:在垂直拉升之后,只有当走势已经成熟时才会触发,因此筑底入场早已错过。这是追高,而非新的买入。 上一周期为左移结构(见顶偏早)——属于看空的结构性信号
TOP WATCH NEARING A HIGH
Jul 16, 2026
MSCI took relative-strength leadershipMSCI 取得相对强弱领先
Relative strength vs SPY crossed above the 90th percentile of the last 90 days — leadership tends to persist. $637.24.相对标普500的强弱上穿近90日的第90百分位 — 领先往往延续。$637.24。
Jul 15, 2026
BOTTOMING → UPTREND筑底中 → 上涨趋势
HOLD持有
Jul 13, 2026
UNCONFIRMED TURN → BOTTOMING未确认转向 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jul 10, 2026
BOTTOMING → UNCONFIRMED TURN筑底中 → 未确认转向
HIGH-RISK · NIMBLE ONLY高风险 · 仅限灵活操作
Jul 6, 2026
MSCI daily MACD crossed upMSCI 日线MACD上穿
The daily MACD histogram turned positive — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $614.04.日线MACD柱状图转正 — 快速且嘈杂,仅作背景。$614.04。
Jul 2, 2026
UNCONFIRMED TURN → BOTTOMING未确认转向 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jul 1, 2026
DOWNTREND → UNCONFIRMED TURN下跌趋势 → 未确认转向
HIGH-RISK · NIMBLE ONLY高风险 · 仅限灵活操作
Jul 1, 2026
MSCI reclaimed its 200-day averageMSCI 收复200日均线
Price closed back above the 200-day moving average — the classic bull dividing line. $582.03.收盘重回200日均线 — 经典的多头分界线。$582.03。

Showing last 15 of显示最近15条,共 103 signals条信号

Factor Profile因子特征

Composite factor score综合因子得分: -0.46
Value价值
-1.1
Quality质量
-2.6
Investment资本投入
+0.2
Shareholder payout股东回报
+0.7
Low volatility低波动
+0.6
Low market beta低市场敏感度
+0.6
Earnings quality盈利质量
+0.4
Short interest空头兴趣
+1.3

Company Profile公司档案

MSCI Inc. is an American finance company headquartered in New York City.MSCIInc.是一家总部位于纽约市的美国金融公司。
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