AIG American International Group · $80.50 Neutral — no clear edge中性 — 无明显优势 Terminal终端
American International Group · Financials

AIG

$80.50
American International Group, Inc. (AIG) is an American multinational finance and insurance corporation with operations in more than 200 countries and jurisdictions.美国国际集团(AIG)是一家业务遍及200多个国家和地区的美国跨国金融与保险公司。
Financial金融股 Large cap大盘 $43B
Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Neutral — no clear edge中性 — 无明显优势
Confirmed cycle low — the entry window is open now, with a clear exit if it closes back below 74.02.周期低点已确认——入场窗口现已开启,若收盘重新跌破 74.02 则明确离场。
Open in Terminal打开终端 All coverage所有股票 Data through数据截至 2026-07-20 · regenerated nightly每日更新

Key Statistics关键统计

Price价格
$80.50
6.5% below 52-week high低于52周高点 6.5%
Market Cap市值
$43B
Normal volume正常成交量
P/E Ratio市盈率
14.0x
15.0x sector median
Beta贝塔
0.10
Moves about 0.1x the market波动幅度约为市场的 0.1 倍
RSI (14)RSI(14)
60
Elevated偏高
Next Earnings下次财报
2026-08-05 (17d)
Volatility Rank波动率分位
90th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Short Interest空头兴趣
1.8% of float

Performance价格表现

Period周期 AIG S&P 500vs Index对比指数
1 Week近1周 +1.7% -1.5% Beat the index by 3.2 points跑赢指数 3.2 个百分点
1 Month近1月 +7.7% +0.6% Beat the index by 7.1 points跑赢指数 7.1 个百分点
3 Months近3月 +2.3% +4.7% Lagged the index by 2.4 points落后指数 2.4 个百分点
6 Months近6月 +11.0% +7.8% Beat the index by 3.2 points跑赢指数 3.2 个百分点
Year to date年初至今 -3.9% +9.1% Lagged the index by 13.0 points落后指数 13.0 个百分点
1 Year近1年 +1.1% +19.4% Lagged the index by 18.3 points落后指数 18.3 个百分点

Technicals技术面

RSI (14)RSI(14) 60 Elevated偏高
vs 50-day相对50日均线 +5.6% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线 +4.2% vs 200-day avg
Volatility rank波动率分位 90th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Buy zone买入区间
$79.55
Don't chase above不追高于
$81.26
Stop止损
$74.02
Cycle turn — awaiting confluence cross周期拐点 — 等待共振交叉确认

Earnings财务业绩

17
days until next report天后公布财报
2026-08-05

Estimates being cut预期下调

Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线

Valuation估值

Multiple指标 AIG Sector median行业中位 Cheaper than相对便宜
P/E (trailing)市盈率(历史) 13.99x 14.99
55%
P/B市净率 1.05x 1.52
86%
P/S市销率 1.62x 2.87
70%
Earnings yield盈利收益率 7.15% 6.58
57%
Shareholder yield股东收益率 15.72% 3.91
97%
Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线

Financials财务数据

Revenue营业收入
$43.7B
2020
$52.1B
2021
$56.4B
2022
$46.8B
2023
$27.3B
2024
$26.8B
2025
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: -9.3%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
$-6.88
2020
$10.82
2021
$13.01
2022
$4.98
2023
$-2.17
2024
$5.43
2025
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
$685.0M
2020
$5.9B
2021
$4.0B
2022
$6.0B
2023
2024
2025
Margins利润率
Net margin净利率
11.6%
FCF margin自由现金流利润率
12.4%
7.5%Return on Equity股本回报率
1.9%Return on Assets资产回报率
Capital Allocation资本配置
Buybacks (TTM)回购(TTM)$5.8B
Stock-based comp股权薪酬$207.0M
Share count change (1y)股数变化(1年)-11.2%
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 5/7 Clean稳健

Snapshot Gauges综合指标

Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业
Looks cheap vs sector相对行业偏便宜
Cheaper than 70% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 70% 的公司
Beta市场敏感度
0.10×
0.2
Moves about 0.1× the market波动幅度约为市场的 0.1 倍
Financial Health财务健康
5/7
Adequate financial health财务健康状况一般
Dividend分红
Does not pay a dividend不派发股息

Why Is It Moving为何波动

Sector / Theme行业/主题 Insurance & Brokers theme — #5 of 46 themes「保险与经纪」主题 — 46 个主题中第 5 位
Macro宏观 Short-duration name into a restrictive, rising-real-rate regime → rate tailwind.短久期标的进入偏紧、实际利率上行的环境→利率顺风。
Positioning持仓 Quiet — no confirmed driver平静 — 无明确驱动
Technical技术面 AIG daily MACD crossed upAIG 日线MACD上穿

Options Positioning期权持仓

Market makers are net long gamma — price pinned near current level做市商净持有正伽玛,价格倾向于在当前水平附近震荡

Expected daily move预期日波动
±2.23%
Expected weekly move预期周波动
±4.98%
Call wall看涨密集区
$85
Put wall看跌密集区
$72
Gamma flip伽玛翻转
$77
25d risk reversal25d风险逆转
-0.5%
Skew: 偏斜:balanced

Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱

Concentrated ownership集中持仓
Fund基金 Grade评级 Activity动作 % of portfolio组合占比 As of截至
Viking Global (Halvorsen) B New position新建仓 0.9% 2026-03-31
Soros Fund Management B trimtrim 0.1% 2026-03-31

Signal History信号历史

BOTTOMING → BUY ZONE筑底中 → 买入区
BUY. A new cycle low likely formed 19 day(s) ago (2026-06-18 @ 74.02): swing low in, price back above the 10-day average — and the weekly timeframe agrees. Last cycle was left-translated (topped early) — a bearish structural tell买入。新的周期低点可能已在 19 天前形成 (2026-06-18 @ 74.02):摆动低点已现,价格重新站上 10 日均线——且周线周期也一致确认。 上一周期为左移结构(见顶偏早)——属于看空的结构性信号
FRESH BUY BUY ZONE
Jul 17, 2026
AIG daily MACD crossed upAIG 日线MACD上穿
The daily MACD histogram turned positive — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $80.50.日线MACD柱状图转正 — 快速且嘈杂,仅作背景。$80.50。
Jul 16, 2026
AIG reclaimed its 200-day averageAIG 收复200日均线
Price closed back above the 200-day moving average — the classic bull dividing line. $78.03.收盘重回200日均线 — 经典的多头分界线。$78.03。
Jul 16, 2026
AIG daily MACD crossed downAIG 日线MACD下穿
The daily MACD histogram turned negative — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $78.03.日线MACD柱状图转负 — 快速且嘈杂,仅作背景。$78.03。
Jul 15, 2026
UPTREND → BOTTOMING上涨趋势 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jul 15, 2026
AIG lost its 200-day averageAIG 跌破200日均线
Price closed below the 200-day moving average — the classic bear dividing line. $76.78.收盘跌破200日均线 — 经典的空头分界线。$76.78。
Jul 10, 2026
BUY ZONE → UPTREND买入区 → 上涨趋势
HOLD持有
Jul 9, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → BUY ZONE接近高点 → 买入区
BUY买入
Jul 8, 2026
BUY ZONE → NEARING A HIGH买入区 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Jul 6, 2026
BOTTOMING → BUY ZONE筑底中 → 买入区
BUY买入

Showing last 15 of显示最近15条,共 120 signals条信号

Factor Profile因子特征

Composite factor score综合因子得分: 0.92
Value价值
+0.9
Quality质量
-0.7
Investment资本投入
+0.5
Shareholder payout股东回报
+3.0
Low volatility低波动
+0.9
Low market beta低市场敏感度
+1.0
Earnings quality盈利质量
-0.8
Short interest空头兴趣
+1.2

Company Profile公司档案

American International Group, Inc. (AIG) is an American multinational finance and insurance corporation with operations in more than 200 countries and jurisdictions.美国国际集团(AIG)是一家业务遍及200多个国家和地区的美国跨国金融与保险公司。
Watch items — what could change the thesis关注项 — 可能改变论点的因素
  • Capital intensity rising
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