MMSI Merit Medical Systems, Inc. · $73.99 Extended — don't chase; wait for a pullback过度拉升 — 勿追高；等待回撤 Terminal终端 ↗

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Merit Medical Systems, Inc. · Health Care

MMSI

$73.99
Mixed profile混合特征 Mid cap中盘 $4B
Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Extended — don't chase; wait for a pullback过度拉升 — 勿追高；等待回撤
You missed the bottoming entry — the low already formed and price is now extended (momentum is fading — the daily moment已错过筑底入场——低点已经形成，目前价格已拉伸（动量正在衰竭——日线动量已开始掉头向下）。不要追高；等待回调至 10 日均线或下一个周期低点。若已持有则继续持有。
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Key Statistics关键统计

Price价格
$73.99
20.6% below 52-week high低于52周高点 20.6%
Market Cap市值
$4B
Normal volume正常成交量
P/E Ratio市盈率
34.2x
28.9x sector median
Beta贝塔
0.52
Moves about 0.5x the market波动幅度约为市场的 0.5 倍
RSI (14)RSI（14）
61
Elevated偏高
Next Earnings下次财报
2026-07-29 (10d)
Volatility Rank波动率分位
68th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Short Interest空头兴趣
5.7% of float

Performance价格表现

Period周期 MMSI S&P 500vs Index对比指数
1 Week近1周 +0.7% -1.5% Beat the index by 2.2 points跑赢指数 2.2 个百分点
1 Month近1月 +13.4% +0.6% Beat the index by 12.8 points跑赢指数 12.8 个百分点
3 Months近3月 +4.3% +4.7% In line with the index与指数基本持平
6 Months近6月 -10.1% +7.8% Lagged the index by 17.9 points落后指数 17.9 个百分点
Year to date年初至今 -14.4% +9.1% Lagged the index by 23.5 points落后指数 23.5 个百分点
1 Year近1年 -12.5% +19.4% Lagged the index by 31.9 points落后指数 31.9 个百分点
3 Years近3年 -11.6% +69.4% Lagged the index by 81.0 points落后指数 81.0 个百分点

Technicals技术面

RSI (14)RSI（14） 61 Elevated偏高
vs 50-day相对50日均线 +11.1% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线 -3.0% vs 200-day avg
Volatility rank波动率分位 68th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Buy zone买入区间
$71.80
Don't chase above不追高于
$73.99
Stop止损
$65.24
Topping — protect gains见顶 — 保护利润

Earnings财务业绩

10
days until next report天后公布财报
2026-07-29

Estimates being cut预期下调

Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线

Valuation估值

Multiple指标 MMSI Sector median行业中位 Cheaper than相对便宜
P/E (trailing)市盈率（历史） 34.22x 28.92
38%
P/B市净率 2.78x 3.52
61%
P/S市销率 2.90x 3.02
51%
Earnings yield盈利收益率 2.92% 2.72
54%
FCF yield自由现金流收益率 4.90% 3.94
62%
EV/EBITDA企业价值/EBITDA 15.21x 18.21
62%
P/FCF市值/自由现金流 20.39x 22.42
56%
Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线

Financials财务数据

Revenue营业收入
$963.9M
2020
$1.1B
2021
$1.2B
2022
$1.3B
2023
$1.4B
2024
$1.5B
2025
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 9.5%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
$-0.18
2020
$0.84
2021
$1.29
2022
$1.62
2023
$2.03
2024
$2.13
2025
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
$119.3M
2020
$119.3M
2021
$69.3M
2022
$110.9M
2023
$185.7M
2024
$215.7M
2025
Margins利润率
Gross margin毛利率
48.7%
Operating margin营业利润率
12.2%
Net margin净利率
8.5%
FCF margin自由现金流利润率
19.6%
8.1%Return on Equity股本回报率
4.8%Return on Assets资产回报率
Leverage杠杆
Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA0.93
Current ratio流动比率4.34
Capital Allocation资本配置
Stock-based comp股权薪酬$43.5M
Share count change (1y)股数变化（1年）+1.2%
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 7/9 Altman Z阿尔特曼Z: safe (4.0) Watch关注

Snapshot Gauges综合指标

Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业
Roughly fair vs sector相对行业估值合理
Cheaper than 55% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 55% 的公司
Beta市场敏感度
0.52×
0.21×3×
Moves about 0.5× the market波动幅度约为市场的 0.5 倍
Financial Health财务健康
7/9
Altman阿尔特曼: safe
Strong financial health财务健康状况良好
Dividend分红
—
Does not pay a dividend不派发股息

Why Is It Moving为何波动

Macro宏观 Long-duration name into a restrictive, rising-real-rate regime → rate headwind.长久期标的进入偏紧、实际利率上行的环境→利率逆风。
Positioning持仓 Short interest changed +13.4%空头仓位变动 +13.4%
Technical技术面 BOTTOMING → BUY ZONE筑底中 → 买入区

Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱

Insider activity内部人员活动: -$5.6M net (0 buyers, 2 sellers)-$5.6M 净值（0 买家，2 卖家）

Signal History信号历史

BUY ZONE → NEARING A HIGH买入区 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS. A daily bottoming setup did fire (swing low in, momentum turned up), but it's LATE — price is already extended above the cycle low (formed ~20 day(s) ago @ 65.24) and momentum is fading — the daily momentum is already rolling over. A momentum cross is a LAGGING confirmation: after a vertical run it only triggers once the move is mature, so the bottoming entry has already passed. This is a chase, not a fresh buy止盈。日线筑底形态确实已经触发（摆动低点出现、动量转向上行），但为时已晚——价格已显著高于周期低点（约 20 天前形成 @ 65.24）且动量正在衰竭——日线动量已开始掉头向下。动量交叉属于滞后确认：在垂直拉升之后，只有当走势已经成熟时才会触发，因此筑底入场早已错过。这是追高，而非新的买入
TOP WATCH NEARING A HIGH
Jul 15, 2026
BOTTOMING → BUY ZONE筑底中 → 买入区
BUY买入
Jul 10, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → BUY ZONE接近高点 → 买入区
BUY买入
Jul 8, 2026
BUY ZONE → NEARING A HIGH买入区 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Jul 2, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → BUY ZONE接近高点 → 买入区
BUY买入
Jul 1, 2026
BUY ZONE → NEARING A HIGH买入区 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Jun 30, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → BUY ZONE接近高点 → 买入区
BUY买入
Jun 29, 2026
BUY ZONE → NEARING A HIGH买入区 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈

Showing last 15 of显示最近15条，共 231 signals条信号

Factor Profile因子特征

Composite factor score综合因子得分: 0.01
Value价值
-0.3
Profitability盈利能力
-0.2
Quality质量
+0.2
Investment资本投入
-0.1
Low volatility低波动
+0.6
Low market beta低市场敏感度
+0.4
Earnings quality盈利质量
+0.3
Short interest空头兴趣
+0.2

Company Profile公司档案

Watch items — what could change the thesis关注项 — 可能改变论点的因素
  • Capital intensity rising
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