Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Neutral — no clear edge中性 — 无明显优势
Setup almost complete — likely buy trigger in ~1–3 trading days if it closes back above its 10-day average.形态接近完成——若收盘重新站上 10 日均线，预计将在约 1–3 个交易日内出现买入触发。
Key Statistics关键统计
Price价格
$20.60
16.1% below 52-week high低于52周高点 16.1%
Market Cap市值
$4B
Normal volume正常成交量
Beta贝塔
0.52
Moves about 0.5x the market波动幅度约为市场的 0.5 倍
RSI (14)RSI（14）
49
Neutral zone中性区域
Next Earnings下次财报
2026-07-29 (10d)
Volatility Rank波动率分位
91th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Short Interest空头兴趣
11.9% of float
Performance价格表现
| Period周期 | ALHC | S&P 500 | vs Index对比指数 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Week近1周 | +3.9% | -1.5% | Beat the index by 5.4 points跑赢指数 5.4 个百分点 |
| 1 Month近1月 | -3.8% | +0.6% | Lagged the index by 4.4 points落后指数 4.4 个百分点 |
| 3 Months近3月 | -2.9% | +4.7% | Lagged the index by 7.6 points落后指数 7.6 个百分点 |
| 6 Months近6月 | -8.4% | +7.8% | Lagged the index by 16.2 points落后指数 16.2 个百分点 |
| Year to date年初至今 | +1.9% | +9.1% | Lagged the index by 7.2 points落后指数 7.2 个百分点 |
| 1 Year近1年 | +56.7% | +19.4% | Beat the index by 37.3 points跑赢指数 37.3 个百分点 |
| 3 Years近3年 | +275.2% | +69.4% | Beat the index by 205.8 points跑赢指数 205.8 个百分点 |
Technicals技术面
RSI (14)RSI（14）
49
Neutral zone中性区域
vs 50-day相对50日均线
+8.0% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线
+7.2% vs 200-day avg
Volatility rank波动率分位
91th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Buy zone买入区间
$20.18
Don't chase above不追高于
$21.06
Stop止损
$19.75
Buy soon — on confirmation即将买入 — 待确认
Earnings财务业绩
10
days until next report天后公布财报
2026-07-29
Post-earnings drift: -29.1% (20d)财报后漂移：-29.1%（20日）
Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线
Valuation估值
| Multiple指标 | ALHC | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/B市净率 | 23.46x | 3.52 | 4% |
| P/S市销率 | 1.07x | 3.02 | 81% |
| Earnings yield盈利收益率 | -0.02% | 2.72 | 24% |
| FCF yield自由现金流收益率 | 2.69% | 3.94 | 32% |
| EV/EBITDA企业价值/EBITDA | 87.54x | 18.21 | 3% |
| P/FCF市值/自由现金流 | 37.17x | 22.42 | 21% |
Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线
Financials财务数据
Revenue营业收入
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 35.6%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
Margins利润率
-0.4%Return on Equity股本回报率
-0.1%Return on Assets资产回报率
Leverage杠杆
| Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA | -5.59 |
| Current ratio流动比率 | 1.71 |
Capital Allocation资本配置
| Stock-based comp股权薪酬 | $62.1M |
| Share count change (1y)股数变化（1年） | +6.5% |
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 5/8
Altman Z阿尔特曼Z: safe (5.7)
Watch关注
Snapshot Gauges综合指标
Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业
Expensive vs sector相对行业偏贵
Cheaper than 30% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 30% 的公司
Beta市场敏感度
0.52×
0.21×3×
Moves about 0.5× the market波动幅度约为市场的 0.5 倍
Financial Health财务健康
5/8
Altman阿尔特曼: safe
Adequate financial health财务健康状况一般
Dividend分红
—
Does not pay a dividend不派发股息
Why Is It Moving为何波动
Sector / Theme行业/主题
Managed Care & Insurers theme — #16 of 46 themes「管理式医疗与保险」主题 — 46 个主题中第 16 位
Macro宏观
Long-duration name into a restrictive, rising-real-rate regime → rate headwind.长久期标的进入偏紧、实际利率上行的环境→利率逆风。
Positioning持仓
Insider cluster activity内部人集中交易
Technical技术面
Death cross on ALHCALHC 死叉
Options Positioning期权持仓
Market makers are net long gamma — price pinned near current level做市商净持有正伽玛，价格倾向于在当前水平附近震荡
Expected daily move预期日波动
±4.26%
Expected weekly move预期周波动
±9.53%
Call wall看涨密集区
$22
25d risk reversal25d风险逆转
-1.5%
Flow资金流向
$0M premium traded; 0% 0DTE; P/C 0.88; ~leans bearish (direction approx)成交权利金 $0M；0DTE占0%；看跌看涨比 0.88；≈偏看跌/对冲（方向近似）
Skew: 偏斜：balanced
Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱
Insider activity内部人员活动: -$474.6M net (0 buyers, 10 sellers)-$474.6M 净值（0 买家，10 卖家）
Signal History信号历史
TURN SIGNALED
BOTTOMING
Jul 9, 2026
Death cross on ALHCALHC 死叉
The 50-day average crossed below the 200-day — a slow, widely-watched bearish trend signal. $21.03.50日均线下穿200日均线 — 一个滞后但广受关注的看空趋势信号。$21.03。
Jul 8, 2026
ALHC daily MACD crossed downALHC 日线MACD下穿
The daily MACD histogram turned negative — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $20.03.日线MACD柱状图转负 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$20.03。
Jul 6, 2026
Golden cross on ALHCALHC 金叉
The 50-day average crossed above the 200-day — a slow, widely-watched bullish trend signal. $24.56.50日均线上穿200日均线 — 一个滞后但广受关注的看多趋势信号。$24.56。
Jul 6, 2026
UPTREND → NEARING A HIGH上涨趋势 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Jul 6, 2026
ALHC made a new 52-week highALHC 创52周新高
Price reached a fresh 52-week high — a momentum / trend extreme the whole market watches. $24.56.价格创出52周新高 — 全市场关注的动量/趋势极值。$24.56。
Jun 30, 2026
ALHC made a new 52-week highALHC 创52周新高
Price reached a fresh 52-week high — a momentum / trend extreme the whole market watches. $23.81.价格创出52周新高 — 全市场关注的动量/趋势极值。$23.81。
Jun 25, 2026
UPTREND → NEARING A HIGH上涨趋势 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Jun 25, 2026
BUY ZONE → UPTREND买入区 → 上涨趋势
HOLD持有
Jun 25, 2026
ALHC took relative-strength leadershipALHC 取得相对强弱领先
Relative strength vs SPY crossed above the 90th percentile of the last 90 days — leadership tends to persist. $22.71.相对标普500的强弱上穿近90日的第90百分位 — 领先往往延续。$22.71。
Jun 25, 2026
ALHC RSI reached overboughtALHC RSI进入超买
RSI(14) crossed above 70 — stretched to the upside; context, not a timing trigger alone. $22.71.RSI(14)上穿70 — 上行过度；仅作背景，单独不构成择时。$22.71。
Jun 19, 2026
ALHC weekly MACD crossed upALHC 周线MACD上穿
The weekly MACD histogram turned positive — the slower, less-whippy momentum read.周线MACD柱状图转正 — 更慢、更少来回的动量信号。
Jun 18, 2026
BUY ZONE → UPTREND买入区 → 上涨趋势
HOLD持有
Showing last 15 of显示最近15条，共 230 signals条信号
Factor Profile因子特征
Composite factor score综合因子得分: -0.72
Value价值
-0.8
Quality质量
+0.8
Investment资本投入
-1.6
Low volatility低波动
-1.3
Low market beta低市场敏感度
+0.5
Earnings quality盈利质量
+1.8
Short interest空头兴趣
-0.9
Company Profile公司档案
Watch items — what could change the thesis关注项 — 可能改变论点的因素
- Receivables stretch
Get the full picture获取完整视图
Nightly signals, options flow, and factor analysis across all S&P 500 names.每日更新的信号、期权资金流向和因子分析，覆盖所有标普500成分股。