MGY Magnolia Oil & Gas, Corp. · $27.26 Lagging — relative weakness落后 — 相对弱势 Terminal终端 ↗

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Magnolia Oil & Gas, Corp. · Energy

MGY

$27.26
Rate-sensitive利率敏感
Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Lagging — relative weakness落后 — 相对弱势
Daily low forming, but the bigger trend is still bearish. Small size only; stop below 24.98.日线低点正在形成，但大趋势仍偏空。只适合小仓位；止损设于 24.98 下方。
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Key Statistics关键统计

Price价格
$27.26
15.3% below 52-week high低于52周高点 15.3%
Beta贝塔
-0.19
Moves about -0.2x the market波动幅度约为市场的 -0.2 倍
RSI (14)RSI（14）
56
Neutral zone中性区域
Next Earnings下次财报
2026-07-29 (10d)
Volatility Rank波动率分位
54th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数

Performance价格表现

Period周期 MGY S&P 500vs Index对比指数
1 Week近1周 +5.7% -1.5% Beat the index by 7.2 points跑赢指数 7.2 个百分点
1 Month近1月 +1.5% +0.6% In line with the index与指数基本持平
3 Months近3月 -0.7% +4.7% Lagged the index by 5.4 points落后指数 5.4 个百分点
6 Months近6月 +22.1% +7.8% Beat the index by 14.3 points跑赢指数 14.3 个百分点
Year to date年初至今 +22.7% +9.1% Beat the index by 13.6 points跑赢指数 13.6 个百分点
1 Year近1年 +21.0% +19.4% Beat the index by 1.6 points跑赢指数 1.6 个百分点
3 Years近3年 +39.4% +69.4% Lagged the index by 30.0 points落后指数 30.0 个百分点

Technicals技术面

RSI (14)RSI（14） 56 Neutral zone中性区域
vs 50-day相对50日均线 -0.6% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线 +5.8% vs 200-day avg
Volatility rank波动率分位 54th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Buy zone买入区间
$26.30
Don't chase above不追高于
$27.26
Stop止损
$24.98
Bounce — turn not confirmed; wait反弹 — 转向未确认，先观望

Earnings财务业绩

10
days until next report天后公布财报
2026-07-29

Estimates being cut预期下调

Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线

Financials财务数据

Revenue营业收入
$534.5M
2020
$1.1B
2021
$1.7B
2022
$1.2B
2023
$1.3B
2024
$1.3B
2025
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 19.7%
Margins利润率
Operating margin营业利润率
33.5%
Net margin净利率
24.8%
FCF margin自由现金流利润率
67.0%
11.2%Return on Assets资产回报率
Leverage杠杆
Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA0.14
Current ratio流动比率1.54
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 5/7 Clean稳健

Snapshot Gauges综合指标

Beta市场敏感度
-0.19×
0.21×3×
Has tended to move opposite the market (factor-adjusted)经因子调整后常与大盘反向波动
Financial Health财务健康
5/7
Adequate financial health财务健康状况一般
Dividend分红
—
Does not pay a dividend不派发股息

Why Is It Moving为何波动

Macro宏观 Short-duration name into a restrictive, rising-real-rate regime → rate tailwind.短久期标的进入偏紧、实际利率上行的环境→利率顺风。
Positioning持仓 Insider cluster activity内部人集中交易
Technical技术面 MGY daily MACD crossed upMGY 日线MACD上穿

Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱

Insider activity内部人员活动: -$10.7M net (1 buyers, 7 sellers)-$10.7M 净值（1 买家，7 卖家）

Signal History信号历史

DOWNTREND → UNCONFIRMED TURN下跌趋势 → 未确认转向
HIGH-RISK · NIMBLE ONLY. A daily bottoming setup is forming (swing low in, momentum turned up) — but the higher timeframes haven't confirmed it: the bigger picture is still bearish (weekly momentum negative; investor cycle overdue; last cycle left-translated (topped early)). This is an UNCONFIRMED TURN, not a confirmed buy. Weekly confirmation lags price, so this exact reading covers BOTH bounces that fail AND the first leg of a genuine new cycle — you can't tell which in real time, so treat it as a risk/size signal, not a direction call. Measured: weekly-unconfirmed bottoming setups held the low ~49% of the time vs ~68% once the weekly turns up. Last cycle was left-translated (topped early) — a bearish structural tell高风险 · 仅限灵活操作。正在形成日线筑底形态（摆动低点已现、动量转向上行）——但更高周期尚未确认：大局仍偏空（周线动量为负；投资者周期已逾期；上一周期左移（见顶偏早））。这是「未确认转向」，并非已确认的买入。周线确认滞后于价格，因此同样的读数既涵盖最终失败的反弹，也涵盖真正新周期的第一段——实时无法判定属于哪一种，故应将其视为风险/仓位信号，而非方向判断。实测：周线未确认的筑底形态约 49% 守住低点，周线转向后升至约 68%。 上一周期为左移结构（见顶偏早）——属于看空的结构性信号
COUNTERTREND BOUNCE UNCONFIRMED TURN
Jul 9, 2026
MGY daily MACD crossed upMGY 日线MACD上穿
The daily MACD histogram turned positive — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $25.87.日线MACD柱状图转正 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$25.87。
Jul 7, 2026
MGY reclaimed its 200-day averageMGY 收复200日均线
Price closed back above the 200-day moving average — the classic bull dividing line. $25.79.收盘重回200日均线 — 经典的多头分界线。$25.79。
Jul 7, 2026
MGY StochRSI turned up from oversoldMGY StochRSI自超卖区上行
StochRSI popped back above 20 — the earliest oscillator heads-up that downside momentum is easing. $25.79.StochRSI重回20上方 — 下行动量趋缓的最早预警。$25.79。
Jul 1, 2026
MGY printed a daily-cycle lowMGY 打出日线周期低点
A confirmed local low — in this cycle framework the highest-odds long-entry window. $24.98.一个已确认的局部低点 — 在本周期框架中做多胜率最高的入场窗口。$24.98。
Jun 30, 2026
MGY lost its 200-day averageMGY 跌破200日均线
Price closed below the 200-day moving average — the classic bear dividing line. $25.58.收盘跌破200日均线 — 经典的空头分界线。$25.58。
Jun 29, 2026
MGY broke down vs the marketMGY 相对市场走弱
Relative strength vs SPY crossed below the 10th percentile of the last 90 days — weakness often leads price. $25.73.相对标普500的强弱下穿近90日的第10百分位 — 走弱常先于价格。$25.73。
Jun 29, 2026
MGY daily MACD crossed downMGY 日线MACD下穿
The daily MACD histogram turned negative — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $25.73.日线MACD柱状图转负 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$25.73。
Jun 26, 2026
UNCONFIRMED TURN → DOWNTREND未确认转向 → 下跌趋势
AVOID回避
Jun 25, 2026
DOWNTREND → UNCONFIRMED TURN下跌趋势 → 未确认转向
HIGH-RISK · NIMBLE ONLY高风险 · 仅限灵活操作
Jun 25, 2026
MGY daily MACD crossed upMGY 日线MACD上穿
The daily MACD histogram turned positive — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $27.20.日线MACD柱状图转正 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$27.20。

Showing last 15 of显示最近15条，共 265 signals条信号

Factor Profile因子特征

Composite factor score综合因子得分: 1.25
Quality质量
+2.9
Investment资本投入
+0.3
Low volatility低波动
+0.5
Low market beta低市场敏感度
+1.4
Earnings quality盈利质量
+2.5
Short interest空头兴趣
-0.5

Company Profile公司档案

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