AESI Atlas Energy Solutions, Inc. · $14.07 Neutral — no clear edge中性 — 无明显优势 Terminal终端 ↗

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Atlas Energy Solutions, Inc. · Energy

AESI

$14.07
Speculative / unprofitable投机／未盈利 Small cap小盘 $2B
Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Neutral — no clear edge中性 — 无明显优势
Daily low forming, but the bigger trend is still bearish. Small size only; stop below 13.77.日线低点正在形成，但大趋势仍偏空。只适合小仓位；止损设于 13.77 下方。
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Key Statistics关键统计

Price价格
$14.07
28.8% below 52-week high低于52周高点 28.8%
Market Cap市值
$2B
Normal volume正常成交量
Beta贝塔
0.66
Moves about 0.7x the market波动幅度约为市场的 0.7 倍
RSI (14)RSI（14）
38
Depressed偏低
Next Earnings下次财报
2026-08-03 (15d)
Volatility Rank波动率分位
52th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Short Interest空头兴趣
16.0% of float

Performance价格表现

Period周期 AESI S&P 500vs Index对比指数
1 Week近1周 -2.2% -1.5% In line with the index与指数基本持平
1 Month近1月 -12.5% +0.6% Lagged the index by 13.1 points落后指数 13.1 个百分点
3 Months近3月 +5.9% +4.7% Beat the index by 1.2 points跑赢指数 1.2 个百分点
6 Months近6月 +27.3% +7.8% Beat the index by 19.5 points跑赢指数 19.5 个百分点
Year to date年初至今 +44.8% +9.1% Beat the index by 35.7 points跑赢指数 35.7 个百分点
1 Year近1年 +5.6% +19.4% Lagged the index by 13.8 points落后指数 13.8 个百分点
3 Years近3年 -9.3% +69.4% Lagged the index by 78.7 points落后指数 78.7 个百分点

Technicals技术面

RSI (14)RSI（14） 38 Depressed偏低
vs 50-day相对50日均线 -16.5% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线 +10.0% vs 200-day avg
Volatility rank波动率分位 52th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Buy zone买入区间
$13.51
Don't chase above不追高于
$14.07
Stop止损
$13.77
Bounce — turn not confirmed; wait反弹 — 转向未确认，先观望

Earnings财务业绩

15
days until next report天后公布财报
2026-08-03

Estimates being raised — 1 analysts预期上调 — 1 位分析师

Post-earnings drift: -10.8% (20d)财报后漂移：-10.8%（20日）

Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线

Valuation估值

Multiple指标 AESI Sector median行业中位 Cheaper than相对便宜
P/B市净率 1.44x 1.68
66%
P/S市销率 1.59x 1.93
63%
Earnings yield盈利收益率 -2.88% 4.36
8%
FCF yield自由现金流收益率 -1.77% 5.01
7%
Shareholder yield股东收益率 0.01% 3.25
6%
EV/EBITDA企业价值/EBITDA 15.58x 8.28
11%
Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线

Financials财务数据

Revenue营业收入
$614.0M
2023
$1.1B
2024
$1.1B
2025
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 33.6%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
$1.48
2023
$0.55
2024
$-0.41
2025
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
-$66.5M
2023
-$117.5M
2024
-$30.9M
2025
Margins利润率
Gross margin毛利率
13.8%
Operating margin营业利润率
-1.0%
Net margin净利率
-4.6%
FCF margin自由现金流利润率
10.7%
-4.2%Return on Equity股本回报率
-2.3%Return on Assets资产回报率
Leverage杠杆
Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA3.88
Current ratio流动比率1.46
Capital Allocation资本配置
Stock-based comp股权薪酬$33.2M
Share count change (1y)股数变化（1年）+12.6%
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 3/9 Altman Z阿尔特曼Z: distress (1.5) Warning警示

Snapshot Gauges综合指标

Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业
Roughly fair vs sector相对行业估值合理
Cheaper than 37% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 37% 的公司
Beta市场敏感度
0.66×
0.21×3×
Moves about 0.7× the market波动幅度约为市场的 0.7 倍
Financial Health财务健康
3/9
Altman阿尔特曼: distress
Weak financial health财务健康状况偏弱
Dividend分红
—
Does not pay a dividend不派发股息

Why Is It Moving为何波动

Macro宏观 Short-duration name into a restrictive, rising-real-rate regime → rate tailwind.短久期标的进入偏紧、实际利率上行的环境→利率顺风。
Positioning持仓 Insider cluster activity内部人集中交易
Technical技术面 AESI broke down vs the marketAESI 相对市场走弱

Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱

Insider activity内部人员活动: -$3.3M net (0 buyers, 2 sellers)-$3.3M 净值（0 买家，2 卖家）

Signal History信号历史

NEARING A LOW → UNCONFIRMED TURN接近低点 → 未确认转向
HIGH-RISK · NIMBLE ONLY. A daily bottoming setup is forming (swing low in, momentum turned up) — but the higher timeframes haven't confirmed it: the bigger picture is still bearish (weekly momentum just crossed down). This is an UNCONFIRMED TURN, not a confirmed buy. Weekly confirmation lags price, so this exact reading covers BOTH bounces that fail AND the first leg of a genuine new cycle — you can't tell which in real time, so treat it as a risk/size signal, not a direction call. Measured: weekly-unconfirmed bottoming setups held the low ~49% of the time vs ~68% once the weekly turns up高风险 · 仅限灵活操作。正在形成日线筑底形态（摆动低点已现、动量转向上行）——但更高周期尚未确认：大局仍偏空（周线动量刚刚向下交叉）。这是「未确认转向」，并非已确认的买入。周线确认滞后于价格，因此同样的读数既涵盖最终失败的反弹，也涵盖真正新周期的第一段——实时无法判定属于哪一种，故应将其视为风险/仓位信号，而非方向判断。实测：周线未确认的筑底形态约 49% 守住低点，周线转向后升至约 68%
COUNTERTREND BOUNCE UNCONFIRMED TURN
Jul 16, 2026
AESI broke down vs the marketAESI 相对市场走弱
Relative strength vs SPY crossed below the 10th percentile of the last 90 days — weakness often leads price. $13.77.相对标普500的强弱下穿近90日的第10百分位 — 走弱常先于价格。$13.77。
Jul 10, 2026
AESI StochRSI turned up from oversoldAESI StochRSI自超卖区上行
StochRSI popped back above 20 — the earliest oscillator heads-up that downside momentum is easing. $14.39.StochRSI重回20上方 — 下行动量趋缓的最早预警。$14.39。
Jul 7, 2026
NEARING A LOW → UNCONFIRMED TURN接近低点 → 未确认转向
HIGH-RISK · NIMBLE ONLY高风险 · 仅限灵活操作
Jul 3, 2026
AESI weekly MACD crossed downAESI 周线MACD下穿
The weekly MACD histogram turned negative — the slower, less-whippy momentum read.周线MACD柱状图转负 — 更慢、更少来回的动量信号。
Jul 1, 2026
BOTTOMING → NEARING A LOW筑底中 → 接近低点
GET READY准备
Jul 1, 2026
AESI daily MACD crossed downAESI 日线MACD下穿
The daily MACD histogram turned negative — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $15.62.日线MACD柱状图转负 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$15.62。
Jun 30, 2026
AESI daily MACD crossed upAESI 日线MACD上穿
The daily MACD histogram turned positive — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $16.61.日线MACD柱状图转正 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$16.61。
Jun 26, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → BOTTOMING接近高点 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备

Showing last 15 of显示最近15条，共 268 signals条信号

Factor Profile因子特征

Composite factor score综合因子得分: -0.62
Value价值
-0.0
Profitability盈利能力
-1.4
Quality质量
+0.3
Investment资本投入
-0.3
Shareholder payout股东回报
-1.0
Low volatility低波动
-1.4
Low market beta低市场敏感度
+0.2
Earnings quality盈利质量
+0.5
Short interest空头兴趣
-2.1

Company Profile公司档案

Watch items — what could change the thesis关注项 — 可能改变论点的因素
  • Margin compression despite revenue growth
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