MA Mastercard · $543.60 Extended — don't chase; wait for a pullback过度拉升 — 勿追高;等待回撤 Terminal终端
Mastercard · Financials

MA

$543.60
Mastercard Inc. is an American multinational payment card services corporation headquartered in Purchase, New York.万事达卡公司是一家美国跨国支付卡服务公司,总部位于纽约州Purchase。
Financial金融股
Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Extended — don't chase; wait for a pullback过度拉升 — 勿追高;等待回撤
You missed the bottoming entry — the low already formed and price is now extended (momentum is fading — the daily moment已错过筑底入场——低点已经形成,目前价格已拉伸(动量正在衰竭——日线动量已开始掉头向下)。不要追高;等待回调至 10 日均线或下一个周期低点。若已持有则继续持有。
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Price Chart价格图表

MASTERCARD 460.00 480.00 500.00 520.00 540.00 543.60 2026-03-10 2026-04-06 2026-04-30 2026-05-26 2026-06-22 2026-07-17 50 SMA VOLUME 9.2MVOL MACD 12.572 MASTERMIND MADAILY mastermind-x.comResearch dossier · regenerated nightly© 2026 Mastermind
Full chart in Terminal终端完整图表

Key Statistics关键统计

Price价格
$543.60
8.8% below 52-week high低于52周高点 8.8%
Forward P/E预测市盈率
23.9x
Beta贝塔
0.37
Moves about 0.4x the market波动幅度约为市场的 0.4 倍
Dividend Yield股息收益率
0.64%
RSI (14)RSI(14)
64
Elevated偏高
Next Earnings下次财报
2026-07-30 (11d)
Volatility Rank波动率分位
72th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数

Performance价格表现

Period周期 MA S&P 500vs Index对比指数
1 Week近1周 +3.2% -1.5% Beat the index by 4.7 points跑赢指数 4.7 个百分点
1 Month近1月 +10.5% +0.6% Beat the index by 9.9 points跑赢指数 9.9 个百分点
3 Months近3月 +4.3% +4.7% In line with the index与指数基本持平
6 Months近6月 +0.9% +7.8% Lagged the index by 6.9 points落后指数 6.9 个百分点
Year to date年初至今 -3.2% +9.1% Lagged the index by 12.3 points落后指数 12.3 个百分点
1 Year近1年 -1.7% +19.4% Lagged the index by 21.1 points落后指数 21.1 个百分点
3 Years近3年 +38.8% +69.4% Lagged the index by 30.6 points落后指数 30.6 个百分点
5 Years近5年 +44.4% +83.9% Lagged the index by 39.5 points落后指数 39.5 个百分点

Technicals技术面

Active signals活跃信号
1-Day Return (cross-sectional rank → top/bottom gainers)Insider Power (0–100) — quality-weighted Form-4 open-market trades (role × size × recency); 50 = neutralInsider Sell signal — fires when Insider Power ≤ 40 (net selling on quality-weighted basis)Ichimoku — Price Above CloudTrend Ribbon — Uptrend State
RSI (14)RSI(14) 64 Elevated偏高
vs 50-day相对50日均线 +8.1% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线 +3.0% vs 200-day avg
Trend strength (ADX)趋势强度(ADX) 28 Trending趋势中
Volatility rank波动率分位 72th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Buy zone买入区间
$525.85
Don't chase above不追高于
$543.60
Stop止损
$483.30
Extended — wait for a pullback过度拉伸 — 等待回撤

Earnings财务业绩

11
days until next report天后公布财报
2026-07-30

Estimates being raised — 4 analysts预期上调 — 4 位分析师

Post-earnings drift: -5.0% (20d)财报后漂移:-5.0%(20日)

Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线

Financials财务数据

Revenue营业收入
$15.3B
2020
$18.9B
2021
$22.2B
2022
$25.1B
2023
$28.2B
2024
$32.8B
2025
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 16.5%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
$6.37
2020
$8.76
2021
$10.22
2022
$11.83
2023
$13.89
2024
$16.52
2025
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 21.0%
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
$6.9B
2020
$9.1B
2021
$10.8B
2022
$11.6B
2023
$14.3B
2024
$17.2B
2025
Margins利润率
Operating margin营业利润率
57.6%
Net margin净利率
45.6%
FCF margin自由现金流利润率
53.8%
193.5%Return on Equity股本回报率
27.6%Return on Assets资产回报率
Leverage杠杆
Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA0.42
Capital Allocation资本配置
Buybacks (TTM)回购(TTM)$11.7B
Stock-based comp股权薪酬$597.0M
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 7/7 Clean稳健

Snapshot Gauges综合指标

Beta市场敏感度
0.37×
0.2
Moves about 0.4× the market波动幅度约为市场的 0.4 倍
Financial Health财务健康
7/7
Strong financial health财务健康状况良好
Dividend分红
0.64%
Pays a dividend (0.64% yield)有分红(收益率 0.64%)

Why Is It Moving为何波动

Sector / Theme行业/主题 Payments & Fintech theme — #9 of 46 themes「支付与金融科技」主题 — 46 个主题中第 9 位
Macro宏观 Short-duration name into a restrictive, rising-real-rate regime → rate tailwind.短久期标的进入偏紧、实际利率上行的环境→利率顺风。
Positioning持仓 Short interest changed +16.3%空头仓位变动 +16.3%
Technical技术面 NEARING A HIGH → BOTTOMING接近高点 → 筑底中

Options Positioning期权持仓

Market makers are net long gamma — price pinned near current level做市商净持有正伽玛,价格倾向于在当前水平附近震荡

Expected daily move预期日波动
±1.73%
Expected weekly move预期周波动
±3.88%
Call wall看涨密集区
$550
Put wall看跌密集区
$532
Gamma flip伽玛翻转
$512
25d risk reversal25d风险逆转
-1.9%
Flow资金流向

$8M premium traded; 0% 0DTE; 43 fresh positions; P/C 0.92; net new CALL positioning (bullish lean) (ΔOI +4,920); ~leans bullish (direction approx)成交权利金 $8M;0DTE占0%;43个新建仓;看跌看涨比 0.92;净新增看涨持仓(偏多)(ΔOI +4,920);≈偏看涨(方向近似)

Skew: 偏斜:balanced

Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱

Insider activity内部人员活动: -$4.5M net (0 buyers, 1 sellers)-$4.5M 净值(0 买家,1 卖家)
Concentrated ownership集中持仓
Fund基金 Grade评级 Activity动作 % of portfolio组合占比 As of截至
Soros Fund Management B New position新建仓 0.2% 2026-03-31
AKO Capital B Adding加仓 1.5% 2026-03-31
Aquamarine Zurich AG (Spier) D Holding持有 14.3% 2026-06-30
AltaRock Partners C Holding持有 6.3% 2026-03-31
Egerton Capital C Holding持有 2.5% 2026-03-31
Giverny Capital C Holding持有 0.5% 2026-03-31
Akre Capital Management C trimtrim 18.6% 2026-03-31
Polen Capital Management B trimtrim 5.3% 2026-03-31

Signal History信号历史

BOTTOMING → NEARING A HIGH筑底中 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS. A daily bottoming setup did fire (swing low in, momentum turned up), but it's LATE — price is already extended above the cycle low (formed ~18 day(s) ago @ 483.28) and momentum is fading — the daily momentum is already rolling over. A momentum cross is a LAGGING confirmation: after a vertical run it only triggers once the move is mature, so the bottoming entry has already passed. This is a chase, not a fresh buy止盈。日线筑底形态确实已经触发(摆动低点出现、动量转向上行),但为时已晚——价格已显著高于周期低点(约 18 天前形成 @ 483.28)且动量正在衰竭——日线动量已开始掉头向下。动量交叉属于滞后确认:在垂直拉升之后,只有当走势已经成熟时才会触发,因此筑底入场早已错过。这是追高,而非新的买入
TOP WATCH NEARING A HIGH
Jul 15, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → BOTTOMING接近高点 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jul 13, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → BOTTOMING接近高点 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jul 13, 2026
MA reclaimed its 200-day averageMA 收复200日均线
Price closed back above the 200-day moving average — the classic bull dividing line. $537.70.收盘重回200日均线 — 经典的多头分界线。$537.70。
Jul 9, 2026
BOTTOMING → NEARING A HIGH筑底中 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Jul 8, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → BOTTOMING接近高点 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jul 8, 2026
MA lost its 200-day averageMA 跌破200日均线
Price closed below the 200-day moving average — the classic bear dividing line. $518.99.收盘跌破200日均线 — 经典的空头分界线。$518.99。
Jul 7, 2026
BOTTOMING → NEARING A HIGH筑底中 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Jul 6, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → BOTTOMING接近高点 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jul 2, 2026
BOTTOMING → NEARING A HIGH筑底中 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Jul 2, 2026
MA reclaimed its 200-day averageMA 收复200日均线
Price closed back above the 200-day moving average — the classic bull dividing line. $538.49.收盘重回200日均线 — 经典的多头分界线。$538.49。
Jul 2, 2026
MA RSI reached overboughtMA RSI进入超买
RSI(14) crossed above 70 — stretched to the upside; context, not a timing trigger alone. $538.49.RSI(14)上穿70 — 上行过度;仅作背景,单独不构成择时。$538.49。

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Factor Profile因子特征

Composite factor score综合因子得分: 0.57
Quality质量
+0.8
Investment资本投入
-0.2
Low volatility低波动
+1.1
Low market beta低市场敏感度
+0.6
Earnings quality盈利质量
+0.1
Short interest空头兴趣
+1.5

Company Profile公司档案

Mastercard Inc. is an American multinational payment card services corporation headquartered in Purchase, New York.万事达卡公司是一家美国跨国支付卡服务公司,总部位于纽约州Purchase。
Demand chain:需求链: Contracted bookings (RPO) flat (+0% YoY to ~$1B, 0.1× revenue) — signed demand locked in ahead of recognition已签约订单(RPO)持平(同比+0%,约 $1B,覆盖营收 0.1 倍)——已锁定、尚未确认的需求
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