KHC Kraft Heinz · $25.88 Extended — don't chase; wait for a pullback过度拉升 — 勿追高;等待回撤 Terminal终端
Kraft Heinz · Staples

KHC

$25.88
The Kraft Heinz Company (KHC), commonly known as Kraft Heinz, is an American multinational food company formed by the merger of Kraft Foods Group, Inc. and the H.J. Heinz Company co-headquartered in Chicago and Pittsburgh.卡夫亨氏公司(KHC),通常称为卡夫亨氏,是一家美国跨国食品公司,由卡夫食品集团有限公司和H.J.亨氏公司合并而成,联合总部设在芝加哥和匹兹堡。
Speculative / unprofitable投机/未盈利 Large cap大盘 $31B
Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Extended — don't chase; wait for a pullback过度拉升 — 勿追高;等待回撤
You missed the bottoming entry — the low already formed and price is now extended (momentum is fading — the daily moment已错过筑底入场——低点已经形成,目前价格已拉伸(动量正在衰竭——日线动量已开始掉头向下)。不要追高;等待回调至 10 日均线或下一个周期低点。若已持有则继续持有。
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Key Statistics关键统计

Price价格
$25.88
4.6% below 52-week high低于52周高点 4.6%
Market Cap市值
$31B
Normal volume正常成交量
Beta贝塔
-0.06
Moves about -0.1x the market波动幅度约为市场的 -0.1 倍
RSI (14)RSI(14)
63
Elevated偏高
Next Earnings下次财报
2026-07-29 (10d)
Volatility Rank波动率分位
94th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Short Interest空头兴趣
7.8% of float

Performance价格表现

Period周期 KHC S&P 500vs Index对比指数
1 Week近1周 +4.1% -1.5% Beat the index by 5.6 points跑赢指数 5.6 个百分点
1 Month近1月 +11.6% +0.6% Beat the index by 11.0 points跑赢指数 11.0 个百分点
3 Months近3月 +17.3% +4.7% Beat the index by 12.6 points跑赢指数 12.6 个百分点
6 Months近6月 +13.9% +7.8% Beat the index by 6.1 points跑赢指数 6.1 个百分点
Year to date年初至今 +9.8% +9.1% In line with the index与指数基本持平
1 Year近1年 -1.8% +19.4% Lagged the index by 21.2 points落后指数 21.2 个百分点

Technicals技术面

RSI (14)RSI(14) 63 Elevated偏高
vs 50-day相对50日均线 +9.2% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线 +11.2% vs 200-day avg
Volatility rank波动率分位 94th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Buy zone买入区间
$24.82
Don't chase above不追高于
$25.88
Stop止损
$22.03
Extended — wait for a pullback过度拉伸 — 等待回撤

Earnings财务业绩

10
days until next report天后公布财报
2026-07-29

Estimates being cut预期下调

Post-earnings drift: -8.2% (20d)财报后漂移:-8.2%(20日)

Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线

Valuation估值

Multiple指标 KHC Sector median行业中位 Cheaper than相对便宜
P/B市净率 0.74x 3.38
93%
Earnings yield盈利收益率 -19.08% 3.76
3%
FCF yield自由现金流收益率 11.95% 4.71
90%
Shareholder yield股东收益率 1.42% 2.48
38%
P/FCF市值/自由现金流 8.37x 21.12
89%
Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线

Financials财务数据

Revenue营业收入
$26.2B
2020
$26.0B
2021
$26.5B
2022
$26.6B
2023
$25.8B
2024
$24.9B
2025
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: -1.0%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
$0.29
2020
$0.82
2021
$1.91
2022
$2.31
2023
$2.26
2024
$-4.93
2025
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
$4.3B
2020
$4.5B
2021
$1.6B
2022
$3.0B
2023
$3.2B
2024
$3.7B
2025
Margins利润率
Operating margin营业利润率
-18.7%
-14.0%Return on Equity股本回报率
-7.1%Return on Assets资产回报率
Leverage杠杆
Current ratio流动比率1.15
Capital Allocation资本配置
Buybacks (TTM)回购(TTM)$436.0M
Stock-based comp股权薪酬$95.0M
Share count change (1y)股数变化(1年)-0.9%
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 4/8 Altman Z阿尔特曼Z: distress (0.5) Warning警示

Snapshot Gauges综合指标

Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业
Looks cheap vs sector相对行业偏便宜
Cheaper than 92% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 92% 的公司
Beta市场敏感度
-0.06×
0.2
Has tended to move opposite the market (factor-adjusted)经因子调整后常与大盘反向波动
Financial Health财务健康
4/8
Altman阿尔特曼: distress
Weak financial health财务健康状况偏弱
Dividend分红
Does not pay a dividend不派发股息

Why Is It Moving为何波动

Sector / Theme行业/主题 Consumer Staples (Equal-Weight) theme — #13 of 46 themes「必需消费(等权)」主题 — 46 个主题中第 13 位
Macro宏观 Long-duration name into a restrictive, rising-real-rate regime → rate headwind.长久期标的进入偏紧、实际利率上行的环境→利率逆风。
Positioning持仓 Insider cluster activity内部人集中交易
Technical技术面 KHC took relative-strength leadershipKHC 取得相对强弱领先

Options Positioning期权持仓

Market makers are net long gamma — price pinned near current level做市商净持有正伽玛,价格倾向于在当前水平附近震荡

Expected daily move预期日波动
±2.02%
Expected weekly move预期周波动
±4.53%
Call wall看涨密集区
$26
Put wall看跌密集区
$24
Gamma flip伽玛翻转
$22
25d risk reversal25d风险逆转
-3.9%
Skew: 偏斜:fear

Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱

Insider activity内部人员活动: -$6.5M net (0 buyers, 2 sellers)-$6.5M 净值(0 买家,2 卖家)
Concentrated ownership集中持仓
Fund基金 Grade评级 Activity动作 % of portfolio组合占比 As of截至
Fairholme Capital (Berkowitz) A New position新建仓 0.2% 2026-03-31
Berkshire Hathaway (Buffett) B Holding持有 2.8% 2026-03-31
Gates Foundation Trust D Holding持有 0.2% 2026-03-31

Signal History信号历史

BOTTOMING → NEARING A HIGH筑底中 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS. A daily bottoming setup did fire (swing low in, momentum turned up), but it's LATE — price is already extended above the cycle low (formed ~18 day(s) ago @ 22.03) and momentum is fading — the daily momentum is already rolling over. A momentum cross is a LAGGING confirmation: after a vertical run it only triggers once the move is mature, so the bottoming entry has already passed. This is a chase, not a fresh buy止盈。日线筑底形态确实已经触发(摆动低点出现、动量转向上行),但为时已晚——价格已显著高于周期低点(约 18 天前形成 @ 22.03)且动量正在衰竭——日线动量已开始掉头向下。动量交叉属于滞后确认:在垂直拉升之后,只有当走势已经成熟时才会触发,因此筑底入场早已错过。这是追高,而非新的买入
TOP WATCH NEARING A HIGH
Jul 16, 2026
KHC took relative-strength leadershipKHC 取得相对强弱领先
Relative strength vs SPY crossed above the 90th percentile of the last 90 days — leadership tends to persist. $26.23.相对标普500的强弱上穿近90日的第90百分位 — 领先往往延续。$26.23。
Jul 15, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → BOTTOMING接近高点 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jul 14, 2026
UPTREND → NEARING A HIGH上涨趋势 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Jul 10, 2026
BOTTOMING → UPTREND筑底中 → 上涨趋势
HOLD持有
Jul 9, 2026
Golden cross on KHCKHC 金叉
The 50-day average crossed above the 200-day — a slow, widely-watched bullish trend signal. $24.68.50日均线上穿200日均线 — 一个滞后但广受关注的看多趋势信号。$24.68。
Jul 7, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → BOTTOMING接近高点 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jul 6, 2026
BOTTOMING → NEARING A HIGH筑底中 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈

Showing last 15 of显示最近15条,共 117 signals条信号

Factor Profile因子特征

Composite factor score综合因子得分: 0.18
Value价值
+0.4
Profitability盈利能力
-1.2
Quality质量
+0.8
Investment资本投入
+0.9
Shareholder payout股东回报
-0.7
Low volatility低波动
+0.8
Low market beta低市场敏感度
+1.2
Earnings quality盈利质量
+1.2
Short interest空头兴趣
-1.0

Company Profile公司档案

The Kraft Heinz Company (KHC), commonly known as Kraft Heinz, is an American multinational food company formed by the merger of Kraft Foods Group, Inc. and the H.J. Heinz Company co-headquartered in Chicago and Pittsburgh.卡夫亨氏公司(KHC),通常称为卡夫亨氏,是一家美国跨国食品公司,由卡夫食品集团有限公司和H.J.亨氏公司合并而成,联合总部设在芝加哥和匹兹堡。
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