HLI Houlihan Lokey · $140.01 Extended — don't chase; wait for a pullback过度拉升 — 勿追高；等待回撤 Terminal终端 ↗

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Houlihan Lokey · Financials

HLI

$140.01
Houlihan Lokey, Inc. is an American multinational independent investment bank and financial services company, and the No.侯利汉·洛基公司是一家美国跨国独立投资银行和金融服务公司，排名第一。
Financial金融股
Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Extended — don't chase; wait for a pullback过度拉升 — 勿追高；等待回撤
You missed the bottoming entry — the low already formed and price is now extended (momentum is fading — the daily moment已错过筑底入场——低点已经形成，目前价格已拉伸（动量正在衰竭——日线动量已开始掉头向下）。不要追高；等待回调至 10 日均线或下一个周期低点。若已持有则继续持有。
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Key Statistics关键统计

Price价格
$140.01
32.3% below 52-week high低于52周高点 32.3%
Beta贝塔
0.77
Moves about 0.8x the market波动幅度约为市场的 0.8 倍
RSI (14)RSI（14）
51
Neutral zone中性区域
Next Earnings下次财报
2026-08-04 (16d)
Volatility Rank波动率分位
91th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数

Performance价格表现

Period周期 HLI S&P 500vs Index对比指数
1 Week近1周 +3.5% -1.5% Beat the index by 5.0 points跑赢指数 5.0 个百分点
1 Month近1月 -1.0% +0.6% Lagged the index by 1.6 points落后指数 1.6 个百分点
3 Months近3月 -13.4% +4.7% Lagged the index by 18.1 points落后指数 18.1 个百分点
6 Months近6月 -25.6% +7.8% Lagged the index by 33.4 points落后指数 33.4 个百分点
Year to date年初至今 -19.9% +9.1% Lagged the index by 29.0 points落后指数 29.0 个百分点
1 Year近1年 -28.0% +19.4% Lagged the index by 47.4 points落后指数 47.4 个百分点
3 Years近3年 +41.3% +69.4% Lagged the index by 28.1 points落后指数 28.1 个百分点

Technicals技术面

RSI (14)RSI（14） 51 Neutral zone中性区域
vs 50-day相对50日均线 -1.4% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线 -14.0% vs 200-day avg
Volatility rank波动率分位 91th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Buy zone买入区间
$138.25
Don't chase above不追高于
$140.00
Stop止损
$132.50
Extended — wait for a pullback过度拉伸 — 等待回撤

Earnings财务业绩

16
days until next report天后公布财报
2026-08-04

Estimates being cut预期下调

Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线

Financials财务数据

Revenue营业收入
$1.5B
2021
$2.3B
2022
$1.8B
2023
$1.9B
2024
$2.4B
2025
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 11.9%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
$4.55
2021
$6.41
2022
$3.76
2023
$4.11
2024
$5.82
2025
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 6.3%
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
$565.7M
2021
$727.9M
2022
$85.5M
2023
$261.7M
2024
$808.9M
2025
Margins利润率
Operating margin营业利润率
21.0%
Net margin净利率
16.3%
FCF margin自由现金流利润率
26.9%
10.8%Return on Assets资产回报率
Leverage杠杆
Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA-1.79
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 6/6 Clean稳健

Snapshot Gauges综合指标

Beta市场敏感度
0.77×
0.21×3×
Moves about 0.8× the market波动幅度约为市场的 0.8 倍
Financial Health财务健康
6/6
Adequate financial health财务健康状况一般
Dividend分红
—
Does not pay a dividend不派发股息

Why Is It Moving为何波动

Macro宏观 Short-duration name into a restrictive, rising-real-rate regime → rate tailwind.短久期标的进入偏紧、实际利率上行的环境→利率顺风。
Positioning持仓 Short interest changed +10.0%空头仓位变动 +10.0%
Technical技术面 HLI weekly MACD crossed upHLI 周线MACD上穿

Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱

Insider activity内部人员活动: -$0.9M net (0 buyers, 2 sellers)-$0.9M 净值（0 买家，2 卖家）

Signal History信号历史

BOTTOMING → NEARING A HIGH筑底中 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS. A daily bottoming setup did fire (swing low in, momentum turned up), but it's LATE — price is already extended above the cycle low (formed ~4 day(s) ago @ 132.52) and momentum is fading — the daily momentum is already rolling over. A momentum cross is a LAGGING confirmation: after a vertical run it only triggers once the move is mature, so the bottoming entry has already passed. This is a chase, not a fresh buy. Last cycle was left-translated (topped early) — a bearish structural tell止盈。日线筑底形态确实已经触发（摆动低点出现、动量转向上行），但为时已晚——价格已显著高于周期低点（约 4 天前形成 @ 132.52）且动量正在衰竭——日线动量已开始掉头向下。动量交叉属于滞后确认：在垂直拉升之后，只有当走势已经成熟时才会触发，因此筑底入场早已错过。这是追高，而非新的买入。 上一周期为左移结构（见顶偏早）——属于看空的结构性信号
TOP WATCH NEARING A HIGH
Jul 17, 2026
HLI weekly MACD crossed upHLI 周线MACD上穿
The weekly MACD histogram turned positive — the slower, less-whippy momentum read.周线MACD柱状图转正 — 更慢、更少来回的动量信号。
Jul 15, 2026
UNCONFIRMED TURN → BOTTOMING未确认转向 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jul 14, 2026
DOWNTREND → UNCONFIRMED TURN下跌趋势 → 未确认转向
HIGH-RISK · NIMBLE ONLY高风险 · 仅限灵活操作
Jul 14, 2026
HLI daily MACD crossed upHLI 日线MACD上穿
The daily MACD histogram turned positive — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $136.93.日线MACD柱状图转正 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$136.93。
Jul 13, 2026
HLI made a new 52-week lowHLI 创52周新低
Price reached a fresh 52-week low — a momentum / trend extreme the whole market watches. $132.52.价格创出52周新低 — 全市场关注的动量/趋势极值。$132.52。
Jul 13, 2026
HLI daily MACD crossed downHLI 日线MACD下穿
The daily MACD histogram turned negative — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $132.52.日线MACD柱状图转负 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$132.52。
Jul 10, 2026
UNCONFIRMED TURN → DOWNTREND未确认转向 → 下跌趋势
AVOID回避
Jul 9, 2026
DOWNTREND → UNCONFIRMED TURN下跌趋势 → 未确认转向
HIGH-RISK · NIMBLE ONLY高风险 · 仅限灵活操作
Jul 8, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → DOWNTREND接近高点 → 下跌趋势
AVOID回避
Jul 8, 2026
HLI broke down vs the marketHLI 相对市场走弱
Relative strength vs SPY crossed below the 10th percentile of the last 90 days — weakness often leads price. $134.31.相对标普500的强弱下穿近90日的第10百分位 — 走弱常先于价格。$134.31。

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Factor Profile因子特征

Composite factor score综合因子得分: 0.43
Quality质量
+0.8
Investment资本投入
-0.3
Low volatility低波动
+0.7
Low market beta低市场敏感度
+0.1
Earnings quality盈利质量
+0.5
Short interest空头兴趣
+1.0

Company Profile公司档案

Houlihan Lokey, Inc. is an American multinational independent investment bank and financial services company, and the No.侯利汉·洛基公司是一家美国跨国独立投资银行和金融服务公司，排名第一。
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