GPN
Global Payments
·
$77.82
Extended — don't chase; wait for a pullback过度拉升 — 勿追高；等待回撤
Terminal终端 ↗
Global Payments · Financials
GPN
$77.82
Global Payments Inc. is an American multinational financial technology company that provides payment technology to merchants, issuers and consumers.全球支付公司是一家美国跨国金融科技公司，为商户、发卡机构和消费者提供支付技术。
Distressed困境股
Large cap大盘
$18B
Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Extended — don't chase; wait for a pullback过度拉升 — 勿追高；等待回撤
You missed the bottoming entry — the low already formed and price is now extended (momentum is fading — the daily moment已错过筑底入场——低点已经形成，目前价格已拉伸（动量正在衰竭——日线动量已开始掉头向下）。不要追高；等待回调至 10 日均线或下一个周期低点。若已持有则继续持有。
Key Statistics关键统计
Price价格
$77.82
12.7% below 52-week high低于52周高点 12.7%
Market Cap市值
$18B
Normal volume正常成交量
P/E Ratio市盈率
13.2x
15.0x sector median
Beta贝塔
1.25
Moves about 1.3x the market波动幅度约为市场的 1.3 倍
RSI (14)RSI（14）
60
Elevated偏高
Next Earnings下次财报
2026-08-05 (17d)
Volatility Rank波动率分位
73th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Short Interest空头兴趣
8.3% of float
Performance价格表现
| Period周期 | GPN | S&P 500 | vs Index对比指数 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Week近1周 | +2.3% | -1.5% | Beat the index by 3.8 points跑赢指数 3.8 个百分点 |
| 1 Month近1月 | +17.3% | +0.6% | Beat the index by 16.7 points跑赢指数 16.7 个百分点 |
| 3 Months近3月 | +7.5% | +4.7% | Beat the index by 2.8 points跑赢指数 2.8 个百分点 |
| 6 Months近6月 | +5.8% | +7.8% | Lagged the index by 2.0 points落后指数 2.0 个百分点 |
| Year to date年初至今 | +3.4% | +9.1% | Lagged the index by 5.7 points落后指数 5.7 个百分点 |
| 1 Year近1年 | -5.4% | +19.4% | Lagged the index by 24.8 points落后指数 24.8 个百分点 |
Technicals技术面
RSI (14)RSI（14）
60
Elevated偏高
vs 50-day相对50日均线
+10.0% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线
+4.6% vs 200-day avg
Volatility rank波动率分位
73th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Buy zone买入区间
$75.04
Don't chase above不追高于
$77.82
Stop止损
$64.28
Extended — wait for a pullback过度拉伸 — 等待回撤
Earnings财务业绩
17
days until next report天后公布财报
2026-08-05
Estimates being cut预期下调
Post-earnings drift: -6.5% (20d)财报后漂移：-6.5%（20日）
Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线
Valuation估值
| Multiple指标 | GPN | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing)市盈率（历史） | 13.16x | 14.99 | 65% |
| P/B市净率 | 0.80x | 1.52 | 94% |
| P/S市销率 | 2.39x | 2.87 | 56% |
| Earnings yield盈利收益率 | 7.60% | 6.58 | 67% |
| Shareholder yield股东收益率 | 7.76% | 3.91 | 81% |
Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线
Financials财务数据
Revenue营业收入
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 0.7%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 24.3%
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
Margins利润率
6.1%Return on Equity股本回报率
2.6%Return on Assets资产回报率
Leverage杠杆
| Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA | 4.43 |
Capital Allocation资本配置
| Buybacks (TTM)回购（TTM） | $1.2B |
| Stock-based comp股权薪酬 | $153.6M |
| Share count change (1y)股数变化（1年） | -4.8% |
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 6/9
Altman Z阿尔特曼Z: distress (0.9)
Clean稳健
Snapshot Gauges综合指标
Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业
Looks cheap vs sector相对行业偏便宜
Cheaper than 72% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 72% 的公司
Beta市场敏感度
1.25×
0.21×3×
Moves about 1.3× the market波动幅度约为市场的 1.3 倍
Financial Health财务健康
6/9
Altman阿尔特曼: distress
Adequate financial health财务健康状况一般
Dividend分红
—
Does not pay a dividend不派发股息
Why Is It Moving为何波动
Sector / Theme行业/主题
Payments & Fintech theme — #9 of 46 themes「支付与金融科技」主题 — 46 个主题中第 9 位
Macro宏观
Short-duration name into a restrictive, rising-real-rate regime → rate tailwind.短久期标的进入偏紧、实际利率上行的环境→利率顺风。
Positioning持仓
Insider cluster activity内部人集中交易
Technical技术面
GPN took relative-strength leadershipGPN 取得相对强弱领先
Options Positioning期权持仓
Market makers are net long gamma — price pinned near current level做市商净持有正伽玛，价格倾向于在当前水平附近震荡
Expected daily move预期日波动
±3.13%
Expected weekly move预期周波动
±7.01%
Call wall看涨密集区
$85
Gamma flip伽玛翻转
$65
25d risk reversal25d风险逆转
-3.7%
Flow资金流向
$3M premium traded; 0% 0DTE; 8 fresh positions; P/C 0.79; ~leans bullish (direction approx)成交权利金 $3M；0DTE占0%；8个新建仓；看跌看涨比 0.79；≈偏看涨（方向近似）
Skew: 偏斜：fear
Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱
Insider activity内部人员活动: -$0.1M net (3 buyers, 3 sellers)-$0.1M 净值（3 买家，3 卖家）
Signal History信号历史
TOP WATCH
NEARING A HIGH
Jul 16, 2026
GPN took relative-strength leadershipGPN 取得相对强弱领先
Relative strength vs SPY crossed above the 90th percentile of the last 90 days — leadership tends to persist. $80.49.相对标普500的强弱上穿近90日的第90百分位 — 领先往往延续。$80.49。
Jul 15, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → BUY ZONE接近高点 → 买入区
BUY买入
Jul 10, 2026
GPN reclaimed its 200-day averageGPN 收复200日均线
Price closed back above the 200-day moving average — the classic bull dividing line. $76.04.收盘重回200日均线 — 经典的多头分界线。$76.04。
Jul 9, 2026
BOTTOMING → NEARING A HIGH筑底中 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Jul 8, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → BOTTOMING接近高点 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jul 8, 2026
GPN lost its 200-day averageGPN 跌破200日均线
Price closed below the 200-day moving average — the classic bear dividing line. $73.01.收盘跌破200日均线 — 经典的空头分界线。$73.01。
Jul 7, 2026
BUY ZONE → NEARING A HIGH买入区 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Jul 6, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → BUY ZONE接近高点 → 买入区
BUY买入
Showing last 15 of显示最近15条，共 95 signals条信号
Factor Profile因子特征
Composite factor score综合因子得分: 0.31
Value价值
+1.4
Quality质量
-0.4
Investment资本投入
-0.3
Shareholder payout股东回报
+0.9
Low volatility低波动
-0.1
Low market beta低市场敏感度
-0.6
Earnings quality盈利质量
-0.4
Short interest空头兴趣
-0.5
Company Profile公司档案
Global Payments Inc. is an American multinational financial technology company that provides payment technology to merchants, issuers and consumers.全球支付公司是一家美国跨国金融科技公司，为商户、发卡机构和消费者提供支付技术。
Demand chain:需求链： Contracted bookings (RPO) contracting (-76% YoY to ~$1B, 0.1× revenue) — signed demand locked in ahead of recognition已签约订单（RPO）收缩（同比-76%，约 $1B，覆盖营收 0.1 倍）——已锁定、尚未确认的需求
Watch items — what could change the thesis关注项 — 可能改变论点的因素
- Capital intensity rising
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Nightly signals, options flow, and factor analysis across all S&P 500 names.每日更新的信号、期权资金流向和因子分析，覆盖所有标普500成分股。