Generac · Industrials
GNRC
$214.91
Generac Holdings Inc., commonly referred to as Generac, is an American manufacturer of backup power generation products for residential, light commercial, and industrial markets.吉奈拉克控股公司（GeneracHoldingsInc.）通常称为吉奈拉克（Generac），是一家为住宅、商业和工业市场提供备用发电产品的美国制造商。
Broken growth成长受损
Large cap大盘
$13B
Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Hold off — timing against you暂缓 — 时机不利
Downtrend — stand aside until a new cycle low forms and confirms.下跌趋势——观望，直至新的周期低点形成并确认。
Key Statistics关键统计
Price价格
$214.91
27.3% below 52-week high低于52周高点 27.3%
Market Cap市值
$13B
Normal volume正常成交量
P/E Ratio市盈率
78.1x
29.9x sector median
Beta贝塔
1.96
Moves about 2.0x the market波动幅度约为市场的 2.0 倍
RSI (14)RSI（14）
33
Depressed偏低
Next Earnings下次财报
2026-07-29 (10d)
Volatility Rank波动率分位
89th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Short Interest空头兴趣
3.3% of float
Performance价格表现
| Period周期 | GNRC | S&P 500 | vs Index对比指数 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Week近1周 | -8.1% | -1.5% | Lagged the index by 6.6 points落后指数 6.6 个百分点 |
| 1 Month近1月 | -19.9% | +0.6% | Lagged the index by 20.5 points落后指数 20.5 个百分点 |
| 3 Months近3月 | +1.3% | +4.7% | Lagged the index by 3.4 points落后指数 3.4 个百分点 |
| 6 Months近6月 | +33.6% | +7.8% | Beat the index by 25.8 points跑赢指数 25.8 个百分点 |
| Year to date年初至今 | +52.3% | +9.1% | Beat the index by 43.2 points跑赢指数 43.2 个百分点 |
| 1 Year近1年 | +43.5% | +19.4% | Beat the index by 24.1 points跑赢指数 24.1 个百分点 |
Technicals技术面
RSI (14)RSI（14）
33
Depressed偏低
vs 50-day相对50日均线
-18.0% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线
+5.9% vs 200-day avg
Volatility rank波动率分位
89th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Stop止损
$214.90
Blocked — failed cycle受阻 — 失败周期
Earnings财务业绩
10
days until next report天后公布财报
2026-07-29
Estimates being raised — 4 analysts预期上调 — 4 位分析师
Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线
Valuation估值
| Multiple指标 | GNRC | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing)市盈率（历史） | 78.13x | 29.89 | 8% |
| P/B市净率 | 4.79x | 3.90 | 40% |
| P/S市销率 | 3.00x | 2.21 | 38% |
| Earnings yield盈利收益率 | 1.28% | 3.10 | 17% |
| FCF yield自由现金流收益率 | 2.13% | 3.81 | 25% |
| Shareholder yield股东收益率 | 1.18% | 2.29 | 26% |
| EV/EBITDA企业价值/EBITDA | 27.84x | 16.39 | 18% |
| P/FCF市值/自由现金流 | 47.03x | 25.50 | 18% |
Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线
Financials财务数据
Revenue营业收入
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 11.1%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: -13.3%
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
Margins利润率
6.1%Return on Equity股本回报率
2.9%Return on Assets资产回报率
Leverage杠杆
| Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA | 1.79 |
| Current ratio流动比率 | 2.03 |
Capital Allocation资本配置
| Buybacks (TTM)回购（TTM） | $147.9M |
| Stock-based comp股权薪酬 | $49.9M |
| Share count change (1y)股数变化（1年） | -1.6% |
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 5/8
Altman Z阿尔特曼Z: safe (4.5)
Clean稳健
Snapshot Gauges综合指标
Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业
Expensive vs sector相对行业偏贵
Cheaper than 26% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 26% 的公司
Beta市场敏感度
1.96×
0.21×3×
Moves about 2.0× the market波动幅度约为市场的 2.0 倍
Financial Health财务健康
5/8
Altman阿尔特曼: safe
Adequate financial health财务健康状况一般
Dividend分红
—
Does not pay a dividend不派发股息
Why Is It Moving为何波动
Sector / Theme行业/主题
Industrials (Equal-Weight) theme — #15 of 46 themes「工业（等权）」主题 — 46 个主题中第 15 位
Macro宏观
Rate risk runs through its market / growth beta, not a distinct duration leg.其利率风险通过市场／成长beta体现，并无独立的久期暴露。
Positioning持仓
Short interest changed -13.3%空头仓位变动 -13.3%
Technical技术面
GNRC broke down vs the marketGNRC 相对市场走弱
Options Positioning期权持仓
Market makers are net long gamma — price pinned near current level做市商净持有正伽玛，价格倾向于在当前水平附近震荡
Expected daily move预期日波动
±4.80%
Expected weekly move预期周波动
±10.74%
Call wall看涨密集区
$240
Put wall看跌密集区
$215
25d risk reversal25d风险逆转
-4.8%
Flow资金流向
$6M premium traded; 0% 0DTE; 13 fresh positions; P/C 1.15; net new CALL positioning (bullish lean) (ΔOI +1,182); ~leans bearish/hedging (direction approx)成交权利金 $6M；0DTE占0%；13个新建仓；看跌看涨比 1.15；净新增看涨持仓（偏多）（ΔOI +1,182）；≈偏看跌/对冲（方向近似）
Skew: 偏斜：fear
Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱
Insider activity内部人员活动: -$11.2M net (0 buyers, 3 sellers)-$11.2M 净值（0 买家，3 卖家）
Concentrated ownership集中持仓
| Fund基金 | Grade评级 | Activity动作 | % of portfolio组合占比 | As of截至 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coatue Management | A | Holding持有 | 0.3% | 2026-03-31 |
Signal History信号历史
DECLINE
DOWNTREND
Jul 16, 2026
GNRC broke down vs the marketGNRC 相对市场走弱
Relative strength vs SPY crossed below the 10th percentile of the last 90 days — weakness often leads price. $215.38.相对标普500的强弱下穿近90日的第10百分位 — 走弱常先于价格。$215.38。
Jul 14, 2026
GNRC broke down vs the marketGNRC 相对市场走弱
Relative strength vs SPY crossed below the 10th percentile of the last 90 days — weakness often leads price. $225.12.相对标普500的强弱下穿近90日的第10百分位 — 走弱常先于价格。$225.12。
Jul 10, 2026
GNRC weekly MACD crossed downGNRC 周线MACD下穿
The weekly MACD histogram turned negative — the slower, less-whippy momentum read.周线MACD柱状图转负 — 更慢、更少来回的动量信号。
Jul 6, 2026
BOTTOMING → UNCONFIRMED TURN筑底中 → 未确认转向
HIGH-RISK · NIMBLE ONLY高风险 · 仅限灵活操作
Jul 2, 2026
TOPPING → BOTTOMING做顶中 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jul 1, 2026
UPTREND → TOPPING上涨趋势 → 做顶中
SELL SETUP卖出预备
Jul 1, 2026
GNRC daily MACD crossed downGNRC 日线MACD下穿
The daily MACD histogram turned negative — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $270.22.日线MACD柱状图转负 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$270.22。
Jun 30, 2026
BUY ZONE → UPTREND买入区 → 上涨趋势
HOLD持有
Showing last 15 of显示最近15条，共 86 signals条信号
Factor Profile因子特征
Composite factor score综合因子得分: -0.43
Value价值
-0.7
Profitability盈利能力
-0.1
Quality质量
+0.2
Investment资本投入
-0.0
Shareholder payout股东回报
-0.7
Low volatility低波动
-1.2
Low market beta低市场敏感度
-1.5
Earnings quality盈利质量
+0.1
Short interest空头兴趣
+1.0
Company Profile公司档案
Generac Holdings Inc., commonly referred to as Generac, is an American manufacturer of backup power generation products for residential, light commercial, and industrial markets.吉奈拉克控股公司（GeneracHoldingsInc.）通常称为吉奈拉克（Generac），是一家为住宅、商业和工业市场提供备用发电产品的美国制造商。
Demand chain:需求链： Hyperscaler capex accelerating (+69% YoY to ~$379B) — the demand pool for power & grid buildout云厂商资本开支加速（同比+69%，约 $379B）——电力与电网建设的需求来源
Watch items — what could change the thesis关注项 — 可能改变论点的因素
- Inventory build
- Capital intensity rising
Get the full picture获取完整视图
Nightly signals, options flow, and factor analysis across all S&P 500 names.每日更新的信号、期权资金流向和因子分析，覆盖所有标普500成分股。