Fortive · Industrials
FTV
$61.78
Fortive Corporation is an American industrial technology conglomerate company headquartered in Everett, Washington.福蒂夫公司（FortiveCorporation）是一家美国工业技术综合企业，总部位于华盛顿州埃弗里特。
Mixed profile混合特征
Large cap大盘
$19B
Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Neutral — no clear edge中性 — 无明显优势
The bottoming setup is not yet confirmed (price still below the 10-day average) and the 3-day/weekly momentum has crosse筑底形态尚未确认（价格仍位于 10 日均线下方），且3 日/周线动量已向下交叉——动量在形态完成前已开始衰竭。等待价格收复 10 日均线且动量趋于稳定后再考虑建仓。
Key Statistics关键统计
Price价格
$61.78
2.9% below 52-week high低于52周高点 2.9%
Market Cap市值
$19B
Normal volume正常成交量
P/E Ratio市盈率
36.4x
29.9x sector median
Beta贝塔
0.64
Moves about 0.6x the market波动幅度约为市场的 0.6 倍
RSI (14)RSI（14）
52
Neutral zone中性区域
Next Earnings下次财报
2026-07-29 (10d)
Volatility Rank波动率分位
61th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Short Interest空头兴趣
4.6% of float
Performance价格表现
| Period周期 | FTV | S&P 500 | vs Index对比指数 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Week近1周 | -0.7% | -1.5% | In line with the index与指数基本持平 |
| 1 Month近1月 | +1.9% | +0.6% | Beat the index by 1.3 points跑赢指数 1.3 个百分点 |
| 3 Months近3月 | +2.1% | +4.7% | Lagged the index by 2.6 points落后指数 2.6 个百分点 |
| 6 Months近6月 | +12.5% | +7.8% | Beat the index by 4.7 points跑赢指数 4.7 个百分点 |
| Year to date年初至今 | +11.7% | +9.1% | Beat the index by 2.6 points跑赢指数 2.6 个百分点 |
| 1 Year近1年 | +20.9% | +19.4% | Beat the index by 1.5 points跑赢指数 1.5 个百分点 |
Technicals技术面
RSI (14)RSI（14）
52
Neutral zone中性区域
vs 50-day相对50日均线
+1.9% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线
+9.9% vs 200-day avg
Volatility rank波动率分位
61th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Buy zone买入区间
$61.56
Don't chase above不追高于
$61.78
Stop止损
$59.78
Extended — wait for a pullback过度拉伸 — 等待回撤
Earnings财务业绩
10
days until next report天后公布财报
2026-07-29
Estimates being cut预期下调
Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线
Valuation估值
| Multiple指标 | FTV | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing)市盈率（历史） | 36.35x | 29.89 | 33% |
| P/B市净率 | 3.00x | 3.90 | 62% |
| P/S市销率 | 4.66x | 2.21 | 19% |
| Earnings yield盈利收益率 | 2.75% | 3.10 | 40% |
| FCF yield自由现金流收益率 | 5.05% | 3.81 | 66% |
| Shareholder yield股东收益率 | 8.79% | 2.29 | 94% |
| EV/EBITDA企业价值/EBITDA | 19.17x | 16.39 | 34% |
| P/FCF市值/自由现金流 | 19.80x | 25.50 | 63% |
Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线
Financials财务数据
Revenue营业收入
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: -2.1%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: -17.4%
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
Margins利润率
8.3%Return on Equity股本回报率
4.5%Return on Assets资产回报率
Leverage杠杆
| Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA | 2.44 |
| Current ratio流动比率 | 0.71 |
Capital Allocation资本配置
| Buybacks (TTM)回购（TTM） | $1.6B |
| Stock-based comp股权薪酬 | $116.8M |
| Share count change (1y)股数变化（1年） | -8.1% |
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 6/9
Altman Z阿尔特曼Z: safe (3.3)
Clean稳健
Snapshot Gauges综合指标
Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业
Roughly fair vs sector相对行业估值合理
Cheaper than 43% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 43% 的公司
Beta市场敏感度
0.64×
0.21×3×
Moves about 0.6× the market波动幅度约为市场的 0.6 倍
Financial Health财务健康
6/9
Altman阿尔特曼: safe
Adequate financial health财务健康状况一般
Dividend分红
—
Does not pay a dividend不派发股息
Why Is It Moving为何波动
Sector / Theme行业/主题
Industrials (Equal-Weight) theme — #15 of 46 themes「工业（等权）」主题 — 46 个主题中第 15 位
Macro宏观
Rate risk runs through its market / growth beta, not a distinct duration leg.其利率风险通过市场／成长beta体现，并无独立的久期暴露。
Positioning持仓
Insider cluster activity内部人集中交易
Technical技术面
FTV StochRSI turned up from oversoldFTV StochRSI自超卖区上行
Options Positioning期权持仓
Market makers are net long gamma — price pinned near current level做市商净持有正伽玛，价格倾向于在当前水平附近震荡
Expected daily move预期日波动
±2.57%
Expected weekly move预期周波动
±5.75%
Call wall看涨密集区
$65
Put wall看跌密集区
$55
Gamma flip伽玛翻转
$61
25d risk reversal25d风险逆转
-19.7%
Skew: 偏斜：greed
Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱
Insider activity内部人员活动: -$3.5M net (0 buyers, 3 sellers)-$3.5M 净值（0 买家，3 卖家）
Concentrated ownership集中持仓
| Fund基金 | Grade评级 | Activity动作 | % of portfolio组合占比 | As of截至 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elliott Investment Management | C | New position新建仓 | 0.2% | 2026-03-31 |
| Viking Global (Halvorsen) | B | Adding加仓 | 3.5% | 2026-03-31 |
Signal History信号历史
TURN SIGNALED
BOTTOMING
Jul 17, 2026
FTV StochRSI turned up from oversoldFTV StochRSI自超卖区上行
StochRSI popped back above 20 — the earliest oscillator heads-up that downside momentum is easing. $61.78.StochRSI重回20上方 — 下行动量趋缓的最早预警。$61.78。
Jul 14, 2026
BUY ZONE → BOTTOMING买入区 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jul 14, 2026
FTV daily MACD crossed downFTV 日线MACD下穿
The daily MACD histogram turned negative — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $60.68.日线MACD柱状图转负 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$60.68。
Jul 13, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → BUY ZONE接近高点 → 买入区
BUY买入
Jul 13, 2026
FTV StochRSI turned up from oversoldFTV StochRSI自超卖区上行
StochRSI popped back above 20 — the earliest oscillator heads-up that downside momentum is easing. $62.31.StochRSI重回20上方 — 下行动量趋缓的最早预警。$62.31。
Jul 10, 2026
BOTTOMING → NEARING A HIGH筑底中 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Jul 10, 2026
FTV daily MACD crossed upFTV 日线MACD上穿
The daily MACD histogram turned positive — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $62.20.日线MACD柱状图转正 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$62.20。
Jul 9, 2026
FTV daily MACD crossed downFTV 日线MACD下穿
The daily MACD histogram turned negative — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $61.15.日线MACD柱状图转负 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$61.15。
Jul 8, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → BOTTOMING接近高点 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jul 7, 2026
BUY ZONE → NEARING A HIGH买入区 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Showing last 15 of显示最近15条，共 101 signals条信号
Factor Profile因子特征
Composite factor score综合因子得分: 0.60
Value价值
-0.4
Profitability盈利能力
-0.5
Quality质量
+0.2
Investment资本投入
+2.4
Shareholder payout股东回报
+1.2
Low volatility低波动
+0.8
Low market beta低市场敏感度
+0.3
Earnings quality盈利质量
-0.2
Short interest空头兴趣
-0.1
Company Profile公司档案
Fortive Corporation is an American industrial technology conglomerate company headquartered in Everett, Washington.福蒂夫公司（FortiveCorporation）是一家美国工业技术综合企业，总部位于华盛顿州埃弗里特。
Watch items — what could change the thesis关注项 — 可能改变论点的因素
- Capital intensity rising
Get the full picture获取完整视图
Nightly signals, options flow, and factor analysis across all S&P 500 names.每日更新的信号、期权资金流向和因子分析，覆盖所有标普500成分股。