Shift4 · Financials
FOUR
$50.31
Shift4 Payments, Inc. is an American payment processing company based in Allentown, Pennsylvania.Shift4Payments,Inc.是一家美国支付处理公司，总部位于宾夕法尼亚州阿伦敦。
Financial金融股
Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Extended — don't chase; wait for a pullback过度拉升 — 勿追高；等待回撤
You missed the bottoming entry — the low already formed and price is now extended (momentum is fading — the daily moment已错过筑底入场——低点已经形成，目前价格已拉伸（动量正在衰竭——日线动量已开始掉头向下）。不要追高；等待回调至 10 日均线或下一个周期低点。若已持有则继续持有。
Key Statistics关键统计
Price价格
$50.31
52.9% below 52-week high低于52周高点 52.9%
Beta贝塔
1.45
Moves about 1.5x the market波动幅度约为市场的 1.5 倍
RSI (14)RSI（14）
59
Neutral zone中性区域
Next Earnings下次财报
2026-08-04 (16d)
Volatility Rank波动率分位
69th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Performance价格表现
| Period周期 | FOUR | S&P 500 | vs Index对比指数 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Week近1周 | -1.0% | -1.5% | In line with the index与指数基本持平 |
| 1 Month近1月 | +28.4% | +0.6% | Beat the index by 27.8 points跑赢指数 27.8 个百分点 |
| 3 Months近3月 | +1.3% | +4.7% | Lagged the index by 3.4 points落后指数 3.4 个百分点 |
| 6 Months近6月 | -21.9% | +7.8% | Lagged the index by 29.7 points落后指数 29.7 个百分点 |
| Year to date年初至今 | -19.7% | +9.1% | Lagged the index by 28.8 points落后指数 28.8 个百分点 |
| 1 Year近1年 | -52.6% | +19.4% | Lagged the index by 72.0 points落后指数 72.0 个百分点 |
| 3 Years近3年 | -26.9% | +69.4% | Lagged the index by 96.3 points落后指数 96.3 个百分点 |
Technicals技术面
RSI (14)RSI（14）
59
Neutral zone中性区域
vs 50-day相对50日均线
+14.5% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线
-10.6% vs 200-day avg
Volatility rank波动率分位
69th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Buy zone买入区间
$47.62
Don't chase above不追高于
$50.31
Stop止损
$38.57
Extended — wait for a pullback过度拉伸 — 等待回撤
Earnings财务业绩
16
days until next report天后公布财报
2026-08-04
Estimates being cut预期下调
Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线
Financials财务数据
Revenue营业收入
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 40.4%
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
Margins利润率
10.2%Return on Equity股本回报率
1.7%Return on Assets资产回报率
Leverage杠杆
| Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA | 4.57 |
Capital Allocation资本配置
| Buybacks (TTM)回购（TTM） | $453.0M |
| Stock-based comp股权薪酬 | $82.0M |
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 4/7
Watch关注
Snapshot Gauges综合指标
Beta市场敏感度
1.45×
0.21×3×
Moves about 1.5× the market波动幅度约为市场的 1.5 倍
Financial Health财务健康
4/7
Weak financial health财务健康状况偏弱
Dividend分红
—
Does not pay a dividend不派发股息
Why Is It Moving为何波动
Sector / Theme行业/主题
Payments & Fintech theme — #9 of 46 themes「支付与金融科技」主题 — 46 个主题中第 9 位
Macro宏观
Short-duration name into a restrictive, rising-real-rate regime → rate tailwind.短久期标的进入偏紧、实际利率上行的环境→利率顺风。
Positioning持仓
Insider cluster activity内部人集中交易
Technical技术面
NEARING A HIGH → BOTTOMING接近高点 → 筑底中
Options Positioning期权持仓
Market makers are net long gamma — price pinned near current level做市商净持有正伽玛，价格倾向于在当前水平附近震荡
Expected daily move预期日波动
±4.39%
Expected weekly move预期周波动
±9.82%
Call wall看涨密集区
$55
Put wall看跌密集区
$45
25d risk reversal25d风险逆转
-3.2%
Flow资金流向
$2M premium traded; 0% 0DTE; 1 fresh positions; P/C 0.11; ~leans bullish (direction approx)成交权利金 $2M；0DTE占0%；1个新建仓；看跌看涨比 0.11；≈偏看涨（方向近似）
Skew: 偏斜：fear
Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱
Insider activity内部人员活动: +$16.4M net (1 buyers, 3 sellers)+$16.4M 净值（1 买家，3 卖家）
Concentrated ownership集中持仓
| Fund基金 | Grade评级 | Activity动作 | % of portfolio组合占比 | As of截至 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Durable Capital Partners | B | Holding持有 | 2.8% | 2026-03-31 |
Signal History信号历史
TOP WATCH
NEARING A HIGH
Jul 13, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → BOTTOMING接近高点 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jul 9, 2026
BOTTOMING → NEARING A HIGH筑底中 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Jul 7, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → BOTTOMING接近高点 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jul 6, 2026
BOTTOMING → NEARING A HIGH筑底中 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Jul 6, 2026
FOUR RSI reached overboughtFOUR RSI进入超买
RSI(14) crossed above 70 — stretched to the upside; context, not a timing trigger alone. $51.38.RSI(14)上穿70 — 上行过度；仅作背景，单独不构成择时。$51.38。
Jul 2, 2026
UPTREND → BOTTOMING上涨趋势 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jun 30, 2026
BOTTOMING → UPTREND筑底中 → 上涨趋势
HOLD持有
Jun 24, 2026
DOWNTREND → BOTTOMING下跌趋势 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Showing last 15 of显示最近15条，共 279 signals条信号
Factor Profile因子特征
Composite factor score综合因子得分: -1.65
Quality质量
-0.7
Investment资本投入
-3.0
Low volatility低波动
-1.3
Low market beta低市场敏感度
-0.8
Earnings quality盈利质量
+0.4
Short interest空头兴趣
-2.6
Company Profile公司档案
Shift4 Payments, Inc. is an American payment processing company based in Allentown, Pennsylvania.Shift4Payments,Inc.是一家美国支付处理公司，总部位于宾夕法尼亚州阿伦敦。
Watch items — what could change the thesis关注项 — 可能改变论点的因素
- Margin compression despite revenue growth
- Receivables stretch
- Inventory build
Get the full picture获取完整视图
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