EXE Expand Energy · $88.13 Lagging — relative weakness落后 — 相对弱势 Terminal终端
Expand Energy · Energy

EXE

$88.13
Expand Energy Corporation is the largest independent natural gas producer in the U.S., based on net daily production. Headquartered in Spring, Texas, the company operates in the Appalachian Basin of the Marcellus Formation in Pennsylvania and West Virginia, as well...ExpandEnergyCorporation是美国按日均产量计算最大的独立天然气生产商。公司总部位于德克萨斯州斯普林,运营区域包括宾夕法尼亚州和西弗吉尼亚州马塞勒斯页岩的阿巴拉契亚盆地,以及路易斯安那州西北部的海恩斯维尔页岩。
Rate-sensitive利率敏感 Large cap大盘 $21B
Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Lagging — relative weakness落后 — 相对弱势
Daily low forming, but the bigger trend is still bearish. Small size only; stop below 86.98.日线低点正在形成,但大趋势仍偏空。只适合小仓位;止损设于 86.98 下方。
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Price Chart价格图表

EXPAND ENERGY 85.00 90.00 95.00 100.00 105.00 110.00 115.00 88.13 2026-03-10 2026-04-06 2026-04-30 2026-05-26 2026-06-22 2026-07-17 50 SMA VOLUME 9.8MVOL MACD -0.929 MASTERMIND EXEDAILY mastermind-x.comResearch dossier · regenerated nightly© 2026 Mastermind
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Key Statistics关键统计

Price价格
$88.13
27.5% below 52-week high低于52周高点 27.5%
Market Cap市值
$21B
Normal volume正常成交量
P/E Ratio市盈率
11.7x
20.8x sector median
Forward P/E预测市盈率
10.4x
EPS每股收益 $7.57
Beta贝塔
0.02
Moves about 0.0x the market波动幅度约为市场的 0.0 倍
Dividend Yield股息收益率
3.62%
RSI (14)RSI(14)
45
Neutral zone中性区域
Next Earnings下次财报
2026-08-04 (16d)
Volatility Rank波动率分位
15th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Short Interest空头兴趣
3.2% of float

Performance价格表现

Period周期 EXE S&P 500vs Index对比指数
1 Week近1周 +1.0% -1.5% Beat the index by 2.5 points跑赢指数 2.5 个百分点
1 Month近1月 +0.8% +0.6% In line with the index与指数基本持平
3 Months近3月 -7.5% +4.7% Lagged the index by 12.2 points落后指数 12.2 个百分点
6 Months近6月 -10.7% +7.8% Lagged the index by 18.5 points落后指数 18.5 个百分点
Year to date年初至今 -18.8% +9.1% Lagged the index by 27.9 points落后指数 27.9 个百分点
1 Year近1年 -15.9% +19.4% Lagged the index by 35.3 points落后指数 35.3 个百分点
3 Years近3年 +17.8% +69.4% Lagged the index by 51.6 points落后指数 51.6 个百分点
5 Years近5年 +122.1% +83.9% Beat the index by 38.2 points跑赢指数 38.2 个百分点

Technicals技术面

Active signals活跃信号
1-Day Return (cross-sectional rank → top/bottom gainers)Valuation cheapness percentile (0–1, higher = cheaper vs peers)Insider Power (0–100) — quality-weighted Form-4 open-market trades (role × size × recency); 50 = neutralInsider Buy signal — fires when Insider Power ≥ 60 (net buying on quality-weighted basis)Ichimoku — Price Below Cloud
RSI (14)RSI(14) 45 Neutral zone中性区域
vs 50-day相对50日均线 -3.7% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线 -14.0% vs 200-day avg
Trend strength (ADX)趋势强度(ADX) 17 No clear trend无明显趋势
Volatility rank波动率分位 15th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Buy zone买入区间
$86.56
Don't chase above不追高于
$88.13
Stop止损
$86.98
Bounce — turn not confirmed; wait反弹 — 转向未确认,先观望

Earnings财务业绩

16
days until next report天后公布财报
2026-08-04

Estimates being cut预期下调

Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线

Valuation估值

Multiple指标 EXE Sector median行业中位 Cheaper than相对便宜
P/E (trailing)市盈率(历史) 11.65x 20.82
75%
P/E (forward)市盈率(预测) 10.4x
P/B市净率 1.14x 1.68
85%
P/S市销率 1.75x 1.93
58%
Earnings yield盈利收益率 8.59% 4.36
80%
FCF yield自由现金流收益率 8.68% 5.01
78%
Shareholder yield股东收益率 4.08% 3.25
64%
EV/EBITDA企业价值/EBITDA 4.69x 8.28
93%
P/FCF市值/自由现金流 11.52x 19.68
73%
Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线

Financials财务数据

Revenue营业收入
$5.3B
2020
$5.5B
2021
$11.7B
2022
$8.7B
2023
$4.2B
2024
$12.1B
2025
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 18.0%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
$-998.26
2020
$8.12
2021
$33.36
2022
$16.92
2023
$-4.55
2024
$7.57
2025
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
2020
2021
$2.3B
2022
$551.0M
2023
$8.0M
2024
$1.8B
2025
Margins利润率
Operating margin营业利润率
20.4%
Net margin净利率
15.0%
FCF margin自由现金流利润率
37.7%
9.8%Return on Equity股本回报率
6.4%Return on Assets资产回报率
Leverage杠杆
Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA0.81
Current ratio流动比率1.01
Capital Allocation资本配置
Buybacks (TTM)回购(TTM)$100.0M
Stock-based comp股权薪酬$46.0M
Share count change (1y)股数变化(1年)+4.1%
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 7/7 Altman Z阿尔特曼Z: grey (2.3) Clean稳健

Snapshot Gauges综合指标

Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业
Looks cheap vs sector相对行业偏便宜
Cheaper than 78% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 78% 的公司
Beta市场敏感度
0.02×
0.2
Moves about 0.0× the market波动幅度约为市场的 0.0 倍
Financial Health财务健康
7/7
Altman阿尔特曼: grey
Strong financial health财务健康状况良好
Dividend分红
3.62%
Pays a dividend (3.62% yield)有分红(收益率 3.62%)

Why Is It Moving为何波动

Sector / Theme行业/主题 Energy (Equal-Weight) theme — #7 of 46 themes「能源(等权)」主题 — 46 个主题中第 7 位
Macro宏观 Short-duration name into a restrictive, rising-real-rate regime → rate tailwind.短久期标的进入偏紧、实际利率上行的环境→利率顺风。
Positioning持仓 Insider cluster activity内部人集中交易
Technical技术面 UNCONFIRMED TURN → NEARING A LOW未确认转向 → 接近低点

Options Positioning期权持仓

Market makers are net short gamma — price moves may amplify做市商净持有负伽玛,价格波动可能被放大

Expected daily move预期日波动
±2.11%
Expected weekly move预期周波动
±4.71%
Call wall看涨密集区
$95
Put wall看跌密集区
$80
Gamma flip伽玛翻转
$92
25d risk reversal25d风险逆转
0.8%
Skew: 偏斜:balanced

Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱

Insider activity内部人员活动: +$0.3M net (2 buyers, 0 sellers)+$0.3M 净值(2 买家,0 卖家)
Concentrated ownership集中持仓
Fund基金 Grade评级 Activity动作 % of portfolio组合占比 As of截至
Oaktree Capital Management B Holding持有 12.2% 2026-03-31
Dragoneer Investment Group C exitexit 0.0% 2026-03-31

Signal History信号历史

NEARING A LOW → UNCONFIRMED TURN接近低点 → 未确认转向
HIGH-RISK · NIMBLE ONLY. A daily bottoming setup is forming (swing low in, momentum turned up) — but the higher timeframes haven't confirmed it: the bigger picture is still bearish (weekly momentum curling up; 3-day crossed up; investor cycle failed (broke its start low); investor cycle overdue; last cycle left-translated (topped early)). This is an UNCONFIRMED TURN, not a confirmed buy. Weekly confirmation lags price, so this exact reading covers BOTH bounces that fail AND the first leg of a genuine new cycle — you can't tell which in real time, so treat it as a risk/size signal, not a direction call. Measured: weekly-unconfirmed bottoming setups held the low ~49% of the time vs ~68% once the weekly turns up. Last cycle was left-translated (topped early) — a bearish structural tell高风险 · 仅限灵活操作。正在形成日线筑底形态(摆动低点已现、动量转向上行)——但更高周期尚未确认:大局仍偏空(周线动量开始上翘;3 日线向上交叉;投资者周期失败(跌破起始低点);投资者周期已逾期;上一周期左移(见顶偏早))。这是「未确认转向」,并非已确认的买入。周线确认滞后于价格,因此同样的读数既涵盖最终失败的反弹,也涵盖真正新周期的第一段——实时无法判定属于哪一种,故应将其视为风险/仓位信号,而非方向判断。实测:周线未确认的筑底形态约 49% 守住低点,周线转向后升至约 68%。 上一周期为左移结构(见顶偏早)——属于看空的结构性信号
COUNTERTREND BOUNCE UNCONFIRMED TURN
Jul 9, 2026
UNCONFIRMED TURN → NEARING A LOW未确认转向 → 接近低点
GET READY准备
Jul 9, 2026
EXE broke down vs the marketEXE 相对市场走弱
Relative strength vs SPY crossed below the 10th percentile of the last 90 days — weakness often leads price. $88.97.相对标普500的强弱下穿近90日的第10百分位 — 走弱常先于价格。$88.97。
Jul 7, 2026
NEARING A LOW → UNCONFIRMED TURN接近低点 → 未确认转向
HIGH-RISK · NIMBLE ONLY高风险 · 仅限灵活操作
Jul 6, 2026
UNCONFIRMED TURN → NEARING A LOW未确认转向 → 接近低点
GET READY准备
Jul 6, 2026
EXE broke down vs the marketEXE 相对市场走弱
Relative strength vs SPY crossed below the 10th percentile of the last 90 days — weakness often leads price. $88.89.相对标普500的强弱下穿近90日的第10百分位 — 走弱常先于价格。$88.89。
Jul 1, 2026
EXE broke down vs the marketEXE 相对市场走弱
Relative strength vs SPY crossed below the 10th percentile of the last 90 days — weakness often leads price. $89.57.相对标普500的强弱下穿近90日的第10百分位 — 走弱常先于价格。$89.57。
Jun 30, 2026
DOWNTREND → UNCONFIRMED TURN下跌趋势 → 未确认转向
HIGH-RISK · NIMBLE ONLY高风险 · 仅限灵活操作
Jun 29, 2026
UNCONFIRMED TURN → DOWNTREND未确认转向 → 下跌趋势
AVOID回避
Jun 29, 2026
EXE broke down vs the marketEXE 相对市场走弱
Relative strength vs SPY crossed below the 10th percentile of the last 90 days — weakness often leads price. $87.54.相对标普500的强弱下穿近90日的第10百分位 — 走弱常先于价格。$87.54。
Jun 25, 2026
EXE broke down vs the marketEXE 相对市场走弱
Relative strength vs SPY crossed below the 10th percentile of the last 90 days — weakness often leads price. $88.44.相对标普500的强弱下穿近90日的第10百分位 — 走弱常先于价格。$88.44。

Showing last 15 of显示最近15条,共 489 signals条信号

Factor Profile因子特征

Composite factor score综合因子得分: 0.56
Value价值
+1.1
Quality质量
+0.8
Investment资本投入
+0.4
Shareholder payout股东回报
+0.0
Low volatility低波动
+0.5
Low market beta低市场敏感度
+1.1
Earnings quality盈利质量
+0.8
Short interest空头兴趣
+1.0

Company Profile公司档案

Expand Energy Corporation is the largest independent natural gas producer in the U.S., based on net daily production. Headquartered in Spring, Texas, the company operates in the Appalachian Basin of the Marcellus Formation in Pennsylvania and West Virginia, as well...ExpandEnergyCorporation是美国按日均产量计算最大的独立天然气生产商。公司总部位于德克萨斯州斯普林,运营区域包括宾夕法尼亚州和西弗吉尼亚州马塞勒斯页岩的阿巴拉契亚盆地,以及路易斯安那州西北部的海恩斯维尔页岩。
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