Erie Indemnity · Financials
ERIE
$227.31
Erie Insurance Group, based in Erie, Pennsylvania, is a property and casualty insurance company offering auto, home, business and life insurance through a network of independent insurance agents.伊利保险集团总部位于宾夕法尼亚州伊利，是一家财产意外伤害保险公司，通过独立保险代理商网络提供汽车、房屋、商业和人寿保险。
Financial金融股
Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Neutral — no clear edge中性 — 无明显优势
The bottoming setup is not yet confirmed (price still below the 10-day average) and the 3-day/weekly momentum is rolling筑底形态尚未确认（价格仍位于 10 日均线下方），且3 日/周线动量已开始掉头向下——动量在形态完成前已开始衰竭。等待价格收复 10 日均线且动量趋于稳定后再考虑建仓。
Key Statistics关键统计
Price价格
$227.31
37.4% below 52-week high低于52周高点 37.4%
Beta贝塔
-0.31
Moves about -0.3x the market波动幅度约为市场的 -0.3 倍
RSI (14)RSI（14）
46
Neutral zone中性区域
Next Earnings下次财报
2026-08-06 (18d)
Volatility Rank波动率分位
100th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Performance价格表现
| Period周期 | ERIE | S&P 500 | vs Index对比指数 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Week近1周 | -9.7% | -1.5% | Lagged the index by 8.2 points落后指数 8.2 个百分点 |
| 1 Month近1月 | +3.1% | +0.6% | Beat the index by 2.5 points跑赢指数 2.5 个百分点 |
| 3 Months近3月 | -7.1% | +4.7% | Lagged the index by 11.8 points落后指数 11.8 个百分点 |
| 6 Months近6月 | -19.3% | +7.8% | Lagged the index by 27.1 points落后指数 27.1 个百分点 |
| Year to date年初至今 | -17.3% | +9.1% | Lagged the index by 26.4 points落后指数 26.4 个百分点 |
| 1 Year近1年 | -34.8% | +19.4% | Lagged the index by 54.2 points落后指数 54.2 个百分点 |
Technicals技术面
RSI (14)RSI（14）
46
Neutral zone中性区域
vs 50-day相对50日均线
+0.4% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线
-13.6% vs 200-day avg
Volatility rank波动率分位
100th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Buy zone买入区间
$217.35
Don't chase above不追高于
$227.30
Stop止损
$210.20
Extended — wait for a pullback过度拉伸 — 等待回撤
Earnings财务业绩
18
days until next report天后公布财报
2026-08-06
Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线
Financials财务数据
Revenue营业收入
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 9.9%
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
Margins利润率
24.5%Return on Equity股本回报率
16.7%Return on Assets资产回报率
Leverage杠杆
| Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA | -0.44 |
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 3/6
Watch关注
Snapshot Gauges综合指标
Beta市场敏感度
-0.31×
0.21×3×
Has tended to move opposite the market (factor-adjusted)经因子调整后常与大盘反向波动
Financial Health财务健康
3/6
Weak financial health财务健康状况偏弱
Dividend分红
—
Does not pay a dividend不派发股息
Why Is It Moving为何波动
Sector / Theme行业/主题
Financials (Equal-Weight) theme — #10 of 46 themes「金融（等权）」主题 — 46 个主题中第 10 位
Macro宏观
Short-duration name into a restrictive, rising-real-rate regime → rate tailwind.短久期标的进入偏紧、实际利率上行的环境→利率顺风。
Positioning持仓
Quiet — no confirmed driver平静 — 无明确驱动
Technical技术面
BOTTOMING → NEARING A LOW筑底中 → 接近低点
Options Positioning期权持仓
Market makers are net long gamma — price pinned near current level做市商净持有正伽玛，价格倾向于在当前水平附近震荡
Expected daily move预期日波动
±2.98%
Expected weekly move预期周波动
±6.67%
Call wall看涨密集区
$230
25d risk reversal25d风险逆转
-9.2%
Skew: 偏斜：fear
Signal History信号历史
TURN SIGNALED
BOTTOMING
Jul 15, 2026
BOTTOMING → NEARING A LOW筑底中 → 接近低点
GET READY准备
Jul 15, 2026
ERIE broke down vs the marketERIE 相对市场走弱
Relative strength vs SPY crossed below the 10th percentile of the last 90 days — weakness often leads price. $210.19.相对标普500的强弱下穿近90日的第10百分位 — 走弱常先于价格。$210.19。
Jul 15, 2026
ERIE daily MACD crossed downERIE 日线MACD下穿
The daily MACD histogram turned negative — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $210.19.日线MACD柱状图转负 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$210.19。
Jul 13, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → BOTTOMING接近高点 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jul 9, 2026
BUY ZONE → NEARING A HIGH买入区 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Jul 8, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → BUY ZONE接近高点 → 买入区
BUY买入
Jul 7, 2026
BUY ZONE → NEARING A HIGH买入区 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Jul 7, 2026
ERIE RSI reached overboughtERIE RSI进入超买
RSI(14) crossed above 70 — stretched to the upside; context, not a timing trigger alone. $256.37.RSI(14)上穿70 — 上行过度；仅作背景，单独不构成择时。$256.37。
Jul 6, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → BUY ZONE接近高点 → 买入区
BUY买入
Jul 2, 2026
BUY ZONE → NEARING A HIGH买入区 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Jul 2, 2026
ERIE RSI reached overboughtERIE RSI进入超买
RSI(14) crossed above 70 — stretched to the upside; context, not a timing trigger alone. $257.77.RSI(14)上穿70 — 上行过度；仅作背景，单独不构成择时。$257.77。
Showing last 15 of显示最近15条，共 104 signals条信号
Factor Profile因子特征
Composite factor score综合因子得分: -0.08
Quality质量
-0.0
Investment资本投入
-0.5
Low volatility低波动
+0.2
Low market beta低市场敏感度
+1.5
Earnings quality盈利质量
-0.1
Short interest空头兴趣
-3.0
Company Profile公司档案
Erie Insurance Group, based in Erie, Pennsylvania, is a property and casualty insurance company offering auto, home, business and life insurance through a network of independent insurance agents.伊利保险集团总部位于宾夕法尼亚州伊利，是一家财产意外伤害保险公司，通过独立保险代理商网络提供汽车、房屋、商业和人寿保险。
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