Dollar Tree · Staples
DLTR
$125.94
Dollar Tree, Inc., formerly known as Dollar Tree Stores, Inc., is an American multi-price-point chain of discount variety stores. Headquartered in Chesapeake, Virginia, it is a Fortune 500 company and operates 15,115 stores throughout the 48 contiguous U.S. states and...DollarTree,Inc.前身为DollarTreeStores,Inc.，是一家美国多价位折扣杂货连锁店。总部位于弗吉尼亚州切萨皮克，属于财富500强企业，在美国本土48个州和加拿大运营着15,115家门店。
Rate-sensitive利率敏感
Large cap大盘
$25B
Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Extended — don't chase; wait for a pullback过度拉升 — 勿追高；等待回撤
Stretched/late — protect gains and don't start new positions; let the next low set up first.已拉伸／晚期——保护利润，不要新开仓；先等下一个低点构筑成形。
Key Statistics关键统计
Price价格
$125.94
10.8% below 52-week high低于52周高点 10.8%
Market Cap市值
$25B
Normal volume正常成交量
P/E Ratio市盈率
19.5x
24.1x sector median
Beta贝塔
0.74
Moves about 0.7x the market波动幅度约为市场的 0.7 倍
RSI (14)RSI（14）
61
Elevated偏高
Volatility Rank波动率分位
42th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Short Interest空头兴趣
7.8% of float
Performance价格表现
| Period周期 | DLTR | S&P 500 | vs Index对比指数 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Week近1周 | +0.8% | -1.5% | Beat the index by 2.3 points跑赢指数 2.3 个百分点 |
| 1 Month近1月 | +18.4% | +0.6% | Beat the index by 17.8 points跑赢指数 17.8 个百分点 |
| 3 Months近3月 | +18.9% | +4.7% | Beat the index by 14.2 points跑赢指数 14.2 个百分点 |
| 6 Months近6月 | -10.0% | +7.8% | Lagged the index by 17.8 points落后指数 17.8 个百分点 |
| Year to date年初至今 | -1.4% | +9.1% | Lagged the index by 10.5 points落后指数 10.5 个百分点 |
| 1 Year近1年 | +16.4% | +19.4% | Lagged the index by 3.0 points落后指数 3.0 个百分点 |
Technicals技术面
RSI (14)RSI（14）
61
Elevated偏高
vs 50-day相对50日均线
+14.6% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线
+12.7% vs 200-day avg
Volatility rank波动率分位
42th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Buy zone买入区间
$123.20
Don't chase above不追高于
$125.90
Stop止损
$106.40
Extended — wait for a pullback过度拉伸 — 等待回撤
Earnings财务业绩
Estimates roughly stable预期基本稳定
Post-earnings drift: +9.8% (20d)财报后漂移：+9.8%（20日）
Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线
Valuation估值
| Multiple指标 | DLTR | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing)市盈率（历史） | 19.49x | 24.10 | 65% |
| P/B市净率 | 6.66x | 3.38 | 22% |
| P/S市销率 | 1.29x | 1.28 | 48% |
| Earnings yield盈利收益率 | 5.13% | 3.76 | 71% |
| FCF yield自由现金流收益率 | 4.23% | 4.71 | 41% |
| Shareholder yield股东收益率 | 6.19% | 2.48 | 75% |
| EV/EBITDA企业价值/EBITDA | 11.61x | 12.39 | 54% |
| P/FCF市值/自由现金流 | 23.66x | 21.12 | 38% |
Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线
Financials财务数据
Revenue营业收入
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: -5.3%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 1.9%
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
Margins利润率
34.2%Return on Equity股本回报率
9.5%Return on Assets资产回报率
Leverage杠杆
| Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA | 0.74 |
| Current ratio流动比率 | 1.07 |
Capital Allocation资本配置
| Buybacks (TTM)回购（TTM） | $1.5B |
| Stock-based comp股权薪酬 | $58.9M |
| Share count change (1y)股数变化（1年） | -7.7% |
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 8/9
Altman Z阿尔特曼Z: safe (3.8)
Clean稳健
Snapshot Gauges综合指标
Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业
Roughly fair vs sector相对行业估值合理
Cheaper than 46% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 46% 的公司
Beta市场敏感度
0.74×
0.21×3×
Moves about 0.7× the market波动幅度约为市场的 0.7 倍
Financial Health财务健康
8/9
Altman阿尔特曼: safe
Strong financial health财务健康状况良好
Dividend分红
—
Does not pay a dividend不派发股息
Why Is It Moving为何波动
Sector / Theme行业/主题
Consumer Staples (Equal-Weight) theme — #13 of 46 themes「必需消费（等权）」主题 — 46 个主题中第 13 位
Macro宏观
Long-duration name into a restrictive, rising-real-rate regime → rate headwind.长久期标的进入偏紧、实际利率上行的环境→利率逆风。
Positioning持仓
Short interest changed +13.1%空头仓位变动 +13.1%
Technical技术面
DLTR daily MACD crossed downDLTR 日线MACD下穿
Options Positioning期权持仓
Market makers are net long gamma — price pinned near current level做市商净持有正伽玛，价格倾向于在当前水平附近震荡
Expected daily move预期日波动
±2.29%
Expected weekly move预期周波动
±5.12%
Call wall看涨密集区
$135
Put wall看跌密集区
$114
25d risk reversal25d风险逆转
9.8%
Flow资金流向
$2M premium traded; 0% 0DTE; 18 fresh positions; P/C 0.46; ~leans bullish (direction approx)成交权利金 $2M；0DTE占0%；18个新建仓；看跌看涨比 0.46；≈偏看涨（方向近似）
Skew: 偏斜：greed
Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱
Insider activity内部人员活动: -$0.4M net (0 buyers, 2 sellers)-$0.4M 净值（0 买家，2 卖家）
Signal History信号历史
TOP WATCH
NEARING A HIGH
Jul 17, 2026
DLTR daily MACD crossed downDLTR 日线MACD下穿
The daily MACD histogram turned negative — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $125.94.日线MACD柱状图转负 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$125.94。
Jul 16, 2026
DLTR daily MACD crossed upDLTR 日线MACD上穿
The daily MACD histogram turned positive — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $128.45.日线MACD柱状图转正 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$128.45。
Jul 15, 2026
DLTR took relative-strength leadershipDLTR 取得相对强弱领先
Relative strength vs SPY crossed above the 90th percentile of the last 90 days — leadership tends to persist. $127.03.相对标普500的强弱上穿近90日的第90百分位 — 领先往往延续。$127.03。
Jul 14, 2026
BUY ZONE → NEARING A HIGH买入区 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Jul 14, 2026
DLTR daily MACD crossed downDLTR 日线MACD下穿
The daily MACD histogram turned negative — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $124.56.日线MACD柱状图转负 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$124.56。
Jul 13, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → BUY ZONE接近高点 → 买入区
BUY买入
Jul 13, 2026
DLTR took relative-strength leadershipDLTR 取得相对强弱领先
Relative strength vs SPY crossed above the 90th percentile of the last 90 days — leadership tends to persist. $126.38.相对标普500的强弱上穿近90日的第90百分位 — 领先往往延续。$126.38。
Jul 13, 2026
DLTR daily MACD crossed upDLTR 日线MACD上穿
The daily MACD histogram turned positive — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $126.38.日线MACD柱状图转正 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$126.38。
Jul 10, 2026
TOPPING → NEARING A HIGH做顶中 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Jul 9, 2026
UPTREND → TOPPING上涨趋势 → 做顶中
SELL SETUP卖出预备
Jul 9, 2026
DLTR daily MACD crossed downDLTR 日线MACD下穿
The daily MACD histogram turned negative — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $120.92.日线MACD柱状图转负 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$120.92。
Showing last 15 of显示最近15条，共 123 signals条信号
Factor Profile因子特征
Composite factor score综合因子得分: 0.66
Value价值
-0.4
Profitability盈利能力
+1.2
Quality质量
+0.7
Investment资本投入
+2.1
Shareholder payout股东回报
+0.6
Low volatility低波动
-0.1
Low market beta低市场敏感度
+0.1
Short interest空头兴趣
+0.0
Company Profile公司档案
Dollar Tree, Inc., formerly known as Dollar Tree Stores, Inc., is an American multi-price-point chain of discount variety stores. Headquartered in Chesapeake, Virginia, it is a Fortune 500 company and operates 15,115 stores throughout the 48 contiguous U.S. states and...DollarTree,Inc.前身为DollarTreeStores,Inc.，是一家美国多价位折扣杂货连锁店。总部位于弗吉尼亚州切萨皮克，属于财富500强企业，在美国本土48个州和加拿大运营着15,115家门店。
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Nightly signals, options flow, and factor analysis across all S&P 500 names.每日更新的信号、期权资金流向和因子分析，覆盖所有标普500成分股。