Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Constructive — building a base建设性 — 正在筑底
Confirmed cycle low — the entry window is open now, with a clear exit if it closes back below 26.8.周期低点已确认——入场窗口现已开启,若收盘重新跌破 26.8 则明确离场。
Key Statistics关键统计
Price价格
$35.13
11.9% below 52-week high低于52周高点 11.9%
Market Cap市值
$4B
Normal volume正常成交量
P/E Ratio市盈率
130.8x
20.8x sector median
Beta贝塔
-0.21
Moves about -0.2x the market波动幅度约为市场的 -0.2 倍
RSI (14)RSI(14)
68
Elevated偏高
Next Earnings下次财报
2026-07-29 (10d)
Volatility Rank波动率分位
45th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Short Interest空头兴趣
4.7% of float
Performance价格表现
| Period周期 | CVI | S&P 500 | vs Index对比指数 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Week近1周 | +13.4% | -1.5% | Beat the index by 14.9 points跑赢指数 14.9 个百分点 |
| 1 Month近1月 | +26.9% | +0.6% | Beat the index by 26.3 points跑赢指数 26.3 个百分点 |
| 3 Months近3月 | +19.7% | +4.7% | Beat the index by 15.0 points跑赢指数 15.0 个百分点 |
| 6 Months近6月 | +51.2% | +7.8% | Beat the index by 43.4 points跑赢指数 43.4 个百分点 |
| Year to date年初至今 | +39.9% | +9.1% | Beat the index by 30.8 points跑赢指数 30.8 个百分点 |
| 1 Year近1年 | +21.8% | +19.4% | Beat the index by 2.4 points跑赢指数 2.4 个百分点 |
| 3 Years近3年 | +29.6% | +69.4% | Lagged the index by 39.8 points落后指数 39.8 个百分点 |
Technicals技术面
RSI (14)RSI(14)
68
Elevated偏高
vs 50-day相对50日均线
+11.4% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线
+14.9% vs 200-day avg
Volatility rank波动率分位
45th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Buy zone买入区间
$34.34
Don't chase above不追高于
$35.76
Stop止损
$26.80
Buy zone — entry open now买入区 — 入场窗口已开启
Earnings财务业绩
10
days until next report天后公布财报
2026-07-29
Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线
Valuation估值
| Multiple指标 | CVI | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing)市盈率(历史) | 130.80x | 20.82 | 4% |
| P/B市净率 | 4.84x | 1.68 | 10% |
| P/S市销率 | 0.49x | 1.93 | 96% |
| Earnings yield盈利收益率 | 0.76% | 4.36 | 15% |
| FCF yield自由现金流收益率 | -1.16% | 5.01 | 10% |
| EV/EBITDA企业价值/EBITDA | 8.07x | 8.28 | 52% |
Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线
Financials财务数据
Revenue营业收入
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 12.8%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
Margins利润率
3.7%Return on Equity股本回报率
0.7%Return on Assets资产回报率
Leverage杠杆
| Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA | 2.03 |
| Current ratio流动比率 | 1.79 |
Capital Allocation资本配置
| Stock-based comp股权薪酬 | $42.0M |
| Share count change (1y)股数变化(1年) | +0.0% |
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 7/8
Altman Z阿尔特曼Z: grey (2.7)
Clean稳健
Snapshot Gauges综合指标
Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业
Roughly fair vs sector相对行业估值合理
Cheaper than 34% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 34% 的公司
Beta市场敏感度
-0.21×
0.21×3×
Has tended to move opposite the market (factor-adjusted)经因子调整后常与大盘反向波动
Financial Health财务健康
7/8
Altman阿尔特曼: grey
Strong financial health财务健康状况良好
Dividend分红
—
Does not pay a dividend不派发股息
Why Is It Moving为何波动
Macro宏观
Short-duration name into a restrictive, rising-real-rate regime → rate tailwind.短久期标的进入偏紧、实际利率上行的环境→利率顺风。
Positioning持仓
Insider cluster activity内部人集中交易
Technical技术面
CVI weekly MACD crossed upCVI 周线MACD上穿
Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱
Insider activity内部人员活动: +$16.4M net (1 buyers, 0 sellers)+$16.4M 净值(1 买家,0 卖家)
Concentrated ownership集中持仓
| Fund基金 | Grade评级 | Activity动作 | % of portfolio组合占比 | As of截至 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Icahn (Carl Icahn) | C | Holding持有 | 28.0% | 2026-03-31 |
Signal History信号历史
FRESH BUY
BUY ZONE
Jul 17, 2026
CVI weekly MACD crossed upCVI 周线MACD上穿
The weekly MACD histogram turned positive — the slower, less-whippy momentum read.周线MACD柱状图转正 — 更慢、更少来回的动量信号。
Jul 14, 2026
BOTTOMING → UPTREND筑底中 → 上涨趋势
HOLD持有
Jul 13, 2026
UNCONFIRMED TURN → BOTTOMING未确认转向 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jul 8, 2026
CVI reclaimed its 200-day averageCVI 收复200日均线
Price closed back above the 200-day moving average — the classic bull dividing line. $30.76.收盘重回200日均线 — 经典的多头分界线。$30.76。
Jul 2, 2026
CVI daily MACD crossed upCVI 日线MACD上穿
The daily MACD histogram turned positive — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $28.48.日线MACD柱状图转正 — 快速且嘈杂,仅作背景。$28.48。
Jul 1, 2026
DOWNTREND → UNCONFIRMED TURN下跌趋势 → 未确认转向
HIGH-RISK · NIMBLE ONLY高风险 · 仅限灵活操作
Jun 30, 2026
UNCONFIRMED TURN → DOWNTREND未确认转向 → 下跌趋势
AVOID回避
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Factor Profile因子特征
Composite factor score综合因子得分: 0.00
Value价值
-0.0
Quality质量
-0.4
Investment资本投入
+1.3
Low volatility低波动
-0.9
Low market beta低市场敏感度
+1.4
Earnings quality盈利质量
-0.3
Short interest空头兴趣
+0.3
Company Profile公司档案
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