CRGY Crescent Energy Company · $10.75 Lagging — relative weakness落后 — 相对弱势 Terminal终端 ↗

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Crescent Energy Company · Energy

CRGY

$10.75
Distressed困境股 Mid cap中盘 $4B
Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Lagging — relative weakness落后 — 相对弱势
Daily low forming, but the bigger trend is still bearish. Small size only; stop below 9.14.日线低点正在形成，但大趋势仍偏空。只适合小仓位；止损设于 9.14 下方。
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Key Statistics关键统计

Price价格
$10.75
22.1% below 52-week high低于52周高点 22.1%
Market Cap市值
$4B
Normal volume正常成交量
P/E Ratio市盈率
26.5x
20.8x sector median
Beta贝塔
0.05
Moves about 0.1x the market波动幅度约为市场的 0.1 倍
RSI (14)RSI（14）
56
Neutral zone中性区域
Next Earnings下次财报
2026-08-03 (15d)
Volatility Rank波动率分位
8th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Short Interest空头兴趣
13.4% of float

Performance价格表现

Period周期 CRGY S&P 500vs Index对比指数
1 Week近1周 +13.5% -1.5% Beat the index by 15.0 points跑赢指数 15.0 个百分点
1 Month近1月 -0.3% +0.6% In line with the index与指数基本持平
3 Months近3月 -8.1% +4.7% Lagged the index by 12.8 points落后指数 12.8 个百分点
6 Months近6月 +30.8% +7.8% Beat the index by 23.0 points跑赢指数 23.0 个百分点
Year to date年初至今 +28.8% +9.1% Beat the index by 19.7 points跑赢指数 19.7 个百分点
1 Year近1年 +33.4% +19.4% Beat the index by 14.0 points跑赢指数 14.0 个百分点
3 Years近3年 +7.7% +69.4% Lagged the index by 61.7 points落后指数 61.7 个百分点

Technicals技术面

RSI (14)RSI（14） 56 Neutral zone中性区域
vs 50-day相对50日均线 -4.8% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线 +4.6% vs 200-day avg
Volatility rank波动率分位 8th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Buy zone买入区间
$9.89
Don't chase above不追高于
$10.75
Stop止损
$9.14
Bounce — turn not confirmed; wait反弹 — 转向未确认，先观望

Earnings财务业绩

15
days until next report天后公布财报
2026-08-03

Estimates being cut预期下调

Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线

Valuation估值

Multiple指标 CRGY Sector median行业中位 Cheaper than相对便宜
P/E (trailing)市盈率（历史） 26.52x 20.82
36%
P/S市销率 0.98x 1.93
77%
Earnings yield盈利收益率 3.77% 4.36
44%
Shareholder yield股东收益率 4.22% 3.25
68%
EV/EBITDA企业价值/EBITDA 6.47x 8.28
73%
Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线

Financials财务数据

Revenue营业收入
$1.5B
2021
$3.1B
2022
$2.4B
2023
$2.9B
2024
$3.6B
2025
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 24.8%
Margins利润率
Operating margin营业利润率
6.4%
Net margin净利率
3.7%
FCF margin自由现金流利润率
46.9%
1.1%Return on Assets资产回报率
Leverage杠杆
Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA3.95
Current ratio流动比率1.48
Capital Allocation资本配置
Buybacks (TTM)回购（TTM）$33.5M
Stock-based comp股权薪酬$245.5M
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 5/7 Altman Z阿尔特曼Z: distress (0.7) Watch关注

Snapshot Gauges综合指标

Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业
Looks cheap vs sector相对行业偏便宜
Cheaper than 62% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 62% 的公司
Beta市场敏感度
0.05×
0.21×3×
Moves about 0.1× the market波动幅度约为市场的 0.1 倍
Financial Health财务健康
5/7
Altman阿尔特曼: distress
Adequate financial health财务健康状况一般
Dividend分红
—
Does not pay a dividend不派发股息

Why Is It Moving为何波动

Macro宏观 Short-duration name into a restrictive, rising-real-rate regime → rate tailwind.短久期标的进入偏紧、实际利率上行的环境→利率顺风。
Positioning持仓 Short interest changed +18.6%空头仓位变动 +18.6%
Technical技术面 CRGY reclaimed its 200-day averageCRGY 收复200日均线

Signal History信号历史

DOWNTREND → UNCONFIRMED TURN下跌趋势 → 未确认转向
HIGH-RISK · NIMBLE ONLY. A daily bottoming setup is forming (swing low in, momentum turned up) — but the higher timeframes haven't confirmed it: the bigger picture is still bearish (weekly momentum negative; investor cycle overdue). This is an UNCONFIRMED TURN, not a confirmed buy. Weekly confirmation lags price, so this exact reading covers BOTH bounces that fail AND the first leg of a genuine new cycle — you can't tell which in real time, so treat it as a risk/size signal, not a direction call. Measured: weekly-unconfirmed bottoming setups held the low ~49% of the time vs ~68% once the weekly turns up. The daily cycle has also failed (broke its own start low), which tilts the odds toward failure here高风险 · 仅限灵活操作。正在形成日线筑底形态（摆动低点已现、动量转向上行）——但更高周期尚未确认：大局仍偏空（周线动量为负；投资者周期已逾期）。这是「未确认转向」，并非已确认的买入。周线确认滞后于价格，因此同样的读数既涵盖最终失败的反弹，也涵盖真正新周期的第一段——实时无法判定属于哪一种，故应将其视为风险/仓位信号，而非方向判断。实测：周线未确认的筑底形态约 49% 守住低点，周线转向后升至约 68%。日线周期同样已经失败（跌破其自身起始低点），此处概率更偏向失败
COUNTERTREND BOUNCE UNCONFIRMED TURN
Jul 16, 2026
CRGY reclaimed its 200-day averageCRGY 收复200日均线
Price closed back above the 200-day moving average — the classic bull dividing line. $10.38.收盘重回200日均线 — 经典的多头分界线。$10.38。
Jul 10, 2026
CRGY daily MACD crossed upCRGY 日线MACD上穿
The daily MACD histogram turned positive — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $9.47.日线MACD柱状图转正 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$9.47。
Jul 8, 2026
CRGY StochRSI turned up from oversoldCRGY StochRSI自超卖区上行
StochRSI popped back above 20 — the earliest oscillator heads-up that downside momentum is easing. $9.59.StochRSI重回20上方 — 下行动量趋缓的最早预警。$9.59。
Jun 24, 2026
CRGY lost its 200-day averageCRGY 跌破200日均线
Price closed below the 200-day moving average — the classic bear dividing line. $10.17.收盘跌破200日均线 — 经典的空头分界线。$10.17。
Jun 24, 2026
CRGY RSI reached oversoldCRGY RSI进入超卖
RSI(14) crossed below 30 — washed out; context, not a timing trigger alone. $10.17.RSI(14)下穿30 — 超卖；仅作背景，单独不构成择时。$10.17。
Jun 15, 2026
CRGY broke down vs the marketCRGY 相对市场走弱
Relative strength vs SPY crossed below the 10th percentile of the last 90 days — weakness often leads price. $11.02.相对标普500的强弱下穿近90日的第10百分位 — 走弱常先于价格。$11.02。
Jun 11, 2026
UNCONFIRMED TURN → DOWNTREND未确认转向 → 下跌趋势
AVOID回避
Jun 10, 2026
CRGY StochRSI turned up from oversoldCRGY StochRSI自超卖区上行
StochRSI popped back above 20 — the earliest oscillator heads-up that downside momentum is easing. $11.71.StochRSI重回20上方 — 下行动量趋缓的最早预警。$11.71。

Showing last 15 of显示最近15条，共 228 signals条信号

Factor Profile因子特征

Composite factor score综合因子得分: -0.17
Value价值
+0.9
Quality质量
+0.6
Investment资本投入
-1.6
Shareholder payout股东回报
+0.1
Low volatility低波动
-0.7
Low market beta低市场敏感度
+1.0
Earnings quality盈利质量
+1.6
Short interest空头兴趣
-1.5

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