Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Extended — don't chase; wait for a pullback过度拉升 — 勿追高；等待回撤
Setup almost complete — likely buy trigger in ~1–3 trading days if it closes back above its 10-day average.形态接近完成——若收盘重新站上 10 日均线，预计将在约 1–3 个交易日内出现买入触发。
Key Statistics关键统计
Price价格
$51.19
30.7% below 52-week high低于52周高点 30.7%
Market Cap市值
$3B
Normal volume正常成交量
Beta贝塔
2.44
Moves about 2.4x the market波动幅度约为市场的 2.4 倍
RSI (14)RSI（14）
42
Neutral zone中性区域
Next Earnings下次财报
2026-07-30 (11d)
Volatility Rank波动率分位
97th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Short Interest空头兴趣
16.1% of float
Performance价格表现
| Period周期 | COHU | S&P 500 | vs Index对比指数 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Week近1周 | -8.9% | -1.5% | Lagged the index by 7.4 points落后指数 7.4 个百分点 |
| 1 Month近1月 | -21.8% | +0.6% | Lagged the index by 22.4 points落后指数 22.4 个百分点 |
| 3 Months近3月 | +24.1% | +4.7% | Beat the index by 19.4 points跑赢指数 19.4 个百分点 |
| 6 Months近6月 | +81.2% | +7.8% | Beat the index by 73.4 points跑赢指数 73.4 个百分点 |
| Year to date年初至今 | +108.0% | +9.1% | Beat the index by 98.9 points跑赢指数 98.9 个百分点 |
| 1 Year近1年 | +155.6% | +19.4% | Beat the index by 136.2 points跑赢指数 136.2 个百分点 |
| 3 Years近3年 | +23.6% | +69.4% | Lagged the index by 45.8 points落后指数 45.8 个百分点 |
Technicals技术面
RSI (14)RSI（14）
42
Neutral zone中性区域
vs 50-day相对50日均线
-8.1% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线
+45.3% vs 200-day avg
Volatility rank波动率分位
97th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Buy zone买入区间
$51.08
Don't chase above不追高于
$52.93
Stop止损
$50.97
Buy soon — on confirmation即将买入 — 待确认
Earnings财务业绩
11
days until next report天后公布财报
2026-07-30
Estimates being raised — 1 analysts预期上调 — 1 位分析师
Post-earnings drift: +11.0% (20d)财报后漂移：+11.0%（20日）
Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线
Valuation估值
| Multiple指标 | COHU | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/B市净率 | 3.25x | 5.85 | 71% |
| Earnings yield盈利收益率 | -2.91% | 2.19 | 4% |
| FCF yield自由现金流收益率 | 0.42% | 3.05 | 13% |
| Shareholder yield股东收益率 | 0.34% | 2.16 | 18% |
| P/FCF市值/自由现金流 | 237.85x | 30.46 | 5% |
Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线
Financials财务数据
Revenue营业收入
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: -6.6%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
Margins利润率
-9.5%Return on Equity股本回报率
-6.0%Return on Assets资产回报率
Leverage杠杆
| Current ratio流动比率 | 6.88 |
Capital Allocation资本配置
| Buybacks (TTM)回购（TTM） | $8.6M |
| Stock-based comp股权薪酬 | $23.0M |
| Share count change (1y)股数变化（1年） | +0.6% |
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 4/8
Altman Z阿尔特曼Z: safe (4.3)
Clean稳健
Snapshot Gauges综合指标
Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业
Roughly fair vs sector相对行业估值合理
Cheaper than 42% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 42% 的公司
Beta市场敏感度
2.44×
0.21×3×
Moves about 2.4× the market波动幅度约为市场的 2.4 倍
Financial Health财务健康
4/8
Altman阿尔特曼: safe
Weak financial health财务健康状况偏弱
Dividend分红
—
Does not pay a dividend不派发股息
Why Is It Moving为何波动
Sector / Theme行业/主题
Semiconductor Equipment (WFE) theme — #38 of 46 themes「半导体设备（晶圆厂设备）」主题 — 46 个主题中第 38 位
Macro宏观
Rate risk runs through its market / growth beta, not a distinct duration leg.其利率风险通过市场／成长beta体现，并无独立的久期暴露。
Positioning持仓
Insider cluster activity内部人集中交易
Technical技术面
COHU daily MACD crossed downCOHU 日线MACD下穿
Options Positioning期权持仓
Market makers are net long gamma — price pinned near current level做市商净持有正伽玛，价格倾向于在当前水平附近震荡
Expected daily move预期日波动
±6.65%
Expected weekly move预期周波动
±14.87%
Call wall看涨密集区
$55
Put wall看跌密集区
$50
25d risk reversal25d风险逆转
5.7%
Flow资金流向
$0M premium traded; 0% 0DTE; 3 fresh positions; P/C 0.72; net new PUT positioning (defensive / hedging) (ΔOI +1,230); ~leans bullish (direction approx)成交权利金 $0M；0DTE占0%；3个新建仓；看跌看涨比 0.72；净新增看跌持仓（防御/对冲）（ΔOI +1,230）；≈偏看涨（方向近似）
Skew: 偏斜：greed
Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱
Insider activity内部人员活动: -$0.4M net (0 buyers, 2 sellers)-$0.4M 净值（0 买家，2 卖家）
Signal History信号历史
TURN SIGNALED
BOTTOMING
Jul 2, 2026
COHU daily MACD crossed downCOHU 日线MACD下穿
The daily MACD histogram turned negative — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $59.27.日线MACD柱状图转负 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$59.27。
Jun 30, 2026
UPTREND → NEARING A HIGH上涨趋势 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Jun 30, 2026
COHU made a new 52-week highCOHU 创52周新高
Price reached a fresh 52-week high — a momentum / trend extreme the whole market watches. $73.91.价格创出52周新高 — 全市场关注的动量/趋势极值。$73.91。
Jun 29, 2026
NEARING A LOW → UPTREND接近低点 → 上涨趋势
HOLD持有
Jun 26, 2026
UPTREND → NEARING A LOW上涨趋势 → 接近低点
GET READY准备
Jun 23, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → UPTREND接近高点 → 上涨趋势
HOLD持有
Jun 18, 2026
UPTREND → NEARING A HIGH上涨趋势 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Jun 18, 2026
COHU RSI reached overboughtCOHU RSI进入超买
RSI(14) crossed above 70 — stretched to the upside; context, not a timing trigger alone. $69.40.RSI(14)上穿70 — 上行过度；仅作背景，单独不构成择时。$69.40。
Jun 17, 2026
COHU made a new 52-week highCOHU 创52周新高
Price reached a fresh 52-week high — a momentum / trend extreme the whole market watches. $65.45.价格创出52周新高 — 全市场关注的动量/趋势极值。$65.45。
Showing last 15 of显示最近15条，共 254 signals条信号
Factor Profile因子特征
Composite factor score综合因子得分: -0.70
Value价值
-0.8
Quality质量
+0.5
Investment资本投入
-0.9
Shareholder payout股东回报
-0.9
Low volatility低波动
-1.3
Low market beta低市场敏感度
-2.1
Earnings quality盈利质量
+0.8
Short interest空头兴趣
-1.4
Company Profile公司档案
Demand chain:需求链： Hyperscaler capex accelerating (+69% YoY to ~$379B) — the demand pool for wafer-fab equipment (one step back, longer lead)云厂商资本开支加速（同比+69%，约 $379B）——晶圆制造设备（上游一环，前置更长）的需求来源
Watch items — what could change the thesis关注项 — 可能改变论点的因素
- Capital intensity rising
Get the full picture获取完整视图
Nightly signals, options flow, and factor analysis across all S&P 500 names.每日更新的信号、期权资金流向和因子分析，覆盖所有标普500成分股。