CFR Frost Bank · $161.65 Extended — don't chase; wait for a pullback过度拉升 — 勿追高；等待回撤 Terminal终端 ↗

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Frost Bank · Financials

CFR

$161.65
Frost Bank is an American bank based in San Antonio that is chartered in Texas, with 200 branches and 1,750 automated teller machines in the state. It is the primary subsidiary of Cullen/Frost Bankers, Inc., a bank holding company.FrostBank是一家总部位于圣安东尼奥的美国银行，在德克萨斯州注册，拥有200家分行和1750台自动取款机，是银行控股公司Cullen/FrostBankers,Inc.的主要子公司。
Financial金融股 Large cap大盘 $10B
Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Extended — don't chase; wait for a pullback过度拉升 — 勿追高；等待回撤
You missed the bottoming entry — the low already formed and price is now extended (overbought (daily RSI 70, 3-day 76 & 已错过筑底入场——低点已经形成，目前价格已拉伸（已超买（日线 RSI 70、3 日 76 与周线 72））。不要追高；等待回调至 10 日均线或下一个周期低点。若已持有则继续持有。
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Key Statistics关键统计

Price价格
$161.65
1.1% below 52-week high低于52周高点 1.1%
Market Cap市值
$10B
Normal volume正常成交量
P/E Ratio市盈率
15.8x
15.0x sector median
Beta贝塔
0.46
Moves about 0.5x the market波动幅度约为市场的 0.5 倍
RSI (14)RSI（14）
70
Overbought超买区域
Next Earnings下次财报
2026-07-30 (11d)
Volatility Rank波动率分位
31th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Short Interest空头兴趣
5.7% of float

Performance价格表现

Period周期 CFR S&P 500vs Index对比指数
1 Week近1周 +3.1% -1.5% Beat the index by 4.6 points跑赢指数 4.6 个百分点
1 Month近1月 +11.1% +0.6% Beat the index by 10.5 points跑赢指数 10.5 个百分点
3 Months近3月 +13.6% +4.7% Beat the index by 8.9 points跑赢指数 8.9 个百分点
6 Months近6月 +18.3% +7.8% Beat the index by 10.5 points跑赢指数 10.5 个百分点
Year to date年初至今 +28.0% +9.1% Beat the index by 18.9 points跑赢指数 18.9 个百分点
1 Year近1年 +20.3% +19.4% In line with the index与指数基本持平
3 Years近3年 +57.5% +69.4% Lagged the index by 11.9 points落后指数 11.9 个百分点

Technicals技术面

RSI (14)RSI（14） 70 Overbought超买区域
vs 50-day相对50日均线 +11.3% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线 +19.9% vs 200-day avg
Volatility rank波动率分位 31th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Buy zone买入区间
$156.45
Don't chase above不追高于
$161.60
Stop止损
$145.00
Extended — wait for a pullback过度拉伸 — 等待回撤

Earnings财务业绩

11
days until next report天后公布财报
2026-07-30

Estimates being raised — 3 analysts预期上调 — 3 位分析师

Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线

Valuation估值

Multiple指标 CFR Sector median行业中位 Cheaper than相对便宜
P/E (trailing)市盈率（历史） 15.75x 14.99
45%
P/B市净率 2.23x 1.52
31%
P/S市销率 4.57x 2.87
31%
Earnings yield盈利收益率 6.35% 6.58
48%
Shareholder yield股东收益率 4.04% 3.91
54%
Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线

Financials财务数据

Revenue营业收入
$1.4B
2020
$1.4B
2021
$1.7B
2022
$2.0B
2023
$2.1B
2024
$2.2B
2025
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 9.2%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
$5.10
2020
$6.76
2021
$8.81
2022
$9.10
2023
$8.87
2024
$9.92
2025
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 14.2%
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
$428.8M
2020
$582.4M
2021
$620.1M
2022
$320.2M
2023
$861.8M
2024
$127.3M
2025
Margins利润率
Net margin净利率
29.0%
FCF margin自由现金流利润率
12.3%
14.2%Return on Equity股本回报率
1.2%Return on Assets资产回报率
Capital Allocation资本配置
Buybacks (TTM)回购（TTM）$157.8M
Stock-based comp股权薪酬$24.8M
Share count change (1y)股数变化（1年）-1.6%
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 4/5 Clean稳健

Snapshot Gauges综合指标

Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业
Roughly fair vs sector相对行业估值合理
Cheaper than 36% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 36% 的公司
Beta市场敏感度
0.46×
0.21×3×
Moves about 0.5× the market波动幅度约为市场的 0.5 倍
Financial Health财务健康
4/5
Weak financial health财务健康状况偏弱
Dividend分红
—
Does not pay a dividend不派发股息

Why Is It Moving为何波动

Sector / Theme行业/主题 Regional Banks theme — #4 of 46 themes「区域银行」主题 — 46 个主题中第 4 位
Macro宏观 Short-duration name into a restrictive, rising-real-rate regime → rate tailwind.短久期标的进入偏紧、实际利率上行的环境→利率顺风。
Positioning持仓 Insider cluster activity内部人集中交易
Technical技术面 CFR daily MACD crossed upCFR 日线MACD上穿

Options Positioning期权持仓

Market makers are net long gamma — price pinned near current level做市商净持有正伽玛，价格倾向于在当前水平附近震荡

Expected daily move预期日波动
±1.71%
Expected weekly move预期周波动
±3.82%
Call wall看涨密集区
$165
Put wall看跌密集区
$155
Gamma flip伽玛翻转
$152
25d risk reversal25d风险逆转
-5.5%
Flow资金流向

$0M premium traded; 0% 0DTE; P/C 0.2成交权利金 $0M；0DTE占0%；看跌看涨比 0.2

Skew: 偏斜：fear

Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱

Insider activity内部人员活动: -$0.2M net (0 buyers, 2 sellers)-$0.2M 净值（0 买家，2 卖家）

Signal History信号历史

BOTTOMING → NEARING A HIGH筑底中 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS. A daily bottoming setup did fire (swing low in, momentum turned up), but it's LATE — price is already extended above the cycle low (formed ~22 day(s) ago @ 145.04) and overbought (daily RSI 70, 3-day 76 & weekly 72). A momentum cross is a LAGGING confirmation: after a vertical run it only triggers once the move is mature, so the bottoming entry has already passed. This is a chase, not a fresh buy. Last cycle was left-translated (topped early) — a bearish structural tell止盈。日线筑底形态确实已经触发（摆动低点出现、动量转向上行），但为时已晚——价格已显著高于周期低点（约 22 天前形成 @ 145.04）且已超买（日线 RSI 70、3 日 76 与周线 72）。动量交叉属于滞后确认：在垂直拉升之后，只有当走势已经成熟时才会触发，因此筑底入场早已错过。这是追高，而非新的买入。 上一周期为左移结构（见顶偏早）——属于看空的结构性信号
TOP WATCH NEARING A HIGH
Jul 16, 2026
CFR daily MACD crossed upCFR 日线MACD上穿
The daily MACD histogram turned positive — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $163.52.日线MACD柱状图转正 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$163.52。
Jul 16, 2026
CFR RSI reached overboughtCFR RSI进入超买
RSI(14) crossed above 70 — stretched to the upside; context, not a timing trigger alone. $163.52.RSI(14)上穿70 — 上行过度；仅作背景，单独不构成择时。$163.52。
Jul 15, 2026
CFR took relative-strength leadershipCFR 取得相对强弱领先
Relative strength vs SPY crossed above the 90th percentile of the last 90 days — leadership tends to persist. $158.57.相对标普500的强弱上穿近90日的第90百分位 — 领先往往延续。$158.57。
Jul 15, 2026
CFR made a new 52-week highCFR 创52周新高
Price reached a fresh 52-week high — a momentum / trend extreme the whole market watches. $158.57.价格创出52周新高 — 全市场关注的动量/趋势极值。$158.57。
Jul 14, 2026
CFR daily MACD crossed downCFR 日线MACD下穿
The daily MACD histogram turned negative — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $157.38.日线MACD柱状图转负 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$157.38。
Jul 13, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → BOTTOMING接近高点 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jul 13, 2026
CFR took relative-strength leadershipCFR 取得相对强弱领先
Relative strength vs SPY crossed above the 90th percentile of the last 90 days — leadership tends to persist. $157.90.相对标普500的强弱上穿近90日的第90百分位 — 领先往往延续。$157.90。
Jul 13, 2026
CFR made a new 52-week highCFR 创52周新高
Price reached a fresh 52-week high — a momentum / trend extreme the whole market watches. $157.90.价格创出52周新高 — 全市场关注的动量/趋势极值。$157.90。
Jul 9, 2026
BOTTOMING → NEARING A HIGH筑底中 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Jul 8, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → BOTTOMING接近高点 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jul 7, 2026
CFR took relative-strength leadershipCFR 取得相对强弱领先
Relative strength vs SPY crossed above the 90th percentile of the last 90 days — leadership tends to persist. $157.29.相对标普500的强弱上穿近90日的第90百分位 — 领先往往延续。$157.29。

Showing last 15 of显示最近15条，共 271 signals条信号

Factor Profile因子特征

Composite factor score综合因子得分: 0.13
Value价值
-0.1
Quality质量
-0.8
Investment资本投入
+0.5
Shareholder payout股东回报
+0.0
Low volatility低波动
+1.1
Low market beta低市场敏感度
+0.5
Earnings quality盈利质量
-0.9
Short interest空头兴趣
-0.5

Company Profile公司档案

Frost Bank is an American bank based in San Antonio that is chartered in Texas, with 200 branches and 1,750 automated teller machines in the state. It is the primary subsidiary of Cullen/Frost Bankers, Inc., a bank holding company.FrostBank是一家总部位于圣安东尼奥的美国银行，在德克萨斯州注册，拥有200家分行和1750台自动取款机，是银行控股公司Cullen/FrostBankers,Inc.的主要子公司。
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