CCK Crown Holdings · $117.21 Extended — don't chase; wait for a pullback过度拉升 — 勿追高；等待回撤 Terminal终端 ↗

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Crown Holdings · Materials

CCK

$117.21
Crown Holdings, Inc. is an American multinational packaging company headquartered in Tampa, Florida, that designs and manufactures rigid-metal packaging including aluminum beverage cans, metal food cans, aerosol cans, and specialty packaging.CrownHoldings,Inc.是一家美国跨国包装公司，总部位于佛罗里达州坦帕，设计并制造刚性金属包装，包括铝制饮料罐、金属食品罐、气雾罐和特种包装。
Cyclical周期股 Large cap大盘 $13B
Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Extended — don't chase; wait for a pullback过度拉升 — 勿追高；等待回撤
You missed the bottoming entry — the low already formed and price is now extended (overbought (daily RSI 73)). Don't cha已错过筑底入场——低点已经形成，目前价格已拉伸（已超买（日线 RSI 73））。不要追高；等待回调至 10 日均线或下一个周期低点。若已持有则继续持有。
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Key Statistics关键统计

Price价格
$117.21
0.0% below 52-week high0.0% below 52-week high
Market Cap市值
$13B
Normal volume正常成交量
P/E Ratio市盈率
18.0x
28.6x sector median
Beta贝塔
0.44
Moves about 0.4x the market波动幅度约为市场的 0.4 倍
RSI (14)RSI（14）
73
Overbought超买区域
Next Earnings下次财报
2026-07-20 (1d)
Volatility Rank波动率分位
71th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Short Interest空头兴趣
3.3% of float

Performance价格表现

Period周期 CCK S&P 500vs Index对比指数
1 Week近1周 +5.1% -1.5% Beat the index by 6.6 points跑赢指数 6.6 个百分点
1 Month近1月 +15.0% +0.6% Beat the index by 14.4 points跑赢指数 14.4 个百分点
3 Months近3月 +9.8% +4.7% Beat the index by 5.1 points跑赢指数 5.1 个百分点
6 Months近6月 +13.2% +7.8% Beat the index by 5.4 points跑赢指数 5.4 个百分点
Year to date年初至今 +13.3% +9.1% Beat the index by 4.2 points跑赢指数 4.2 个百分点
1 Year近1年 +11.6% +19.4% Lagged the index by 7.8 points落后指数 7.8 个百分点
3 Years近3年 +34.9% +69.4% Lagged the index by 34.5 points落后指数 34.5 个百分点

Technicals技术面

RSI (14)RSI（14） 73 Overbought超买区域
vs 50-day相对50日均线 +14.2% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线 +15.1% vs 200-day avg
Volatility rank波动率分位 71th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Buy zone买入区间
$111.25
Don't chase above不追高于
$117.20
Stop止损
$97.67
Extended — wait for a pullback过度拉伸 — 等待回撤

Earnings财务业绩

1
days until next report天后公布财报
2026-07-20

Estimates being cut预期下调

Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线

Valuation估值

Multiple指标 CCK Sector median行业中位 Cheaper than相对便宜
P/E (trailing)市盈率（历史） 18.01x 28.57
69%
P/B市净率 4.43x 2.82
17%
P/S市销率 1.08x 1.64
66%
Earnings yield盈利收益率 5.55% 2.96
78%
FCF yield自由现金流收益率 8.40% 3.23
91%
Shareholder yield股东收益率 4.70% 2.70
83%
EV/EBITDA企业价值/EBITDA 9.89x 12.20
67%
P/FCF市值/自由现金流 11.90x 25.03
88%
Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线

Financials财务数据

Revenue营业收入
$11.6B
2020
$11.4B
2021
$12.9B
2022
$12.0B
2023
$11.8B
2024
$12.4B
2025
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 1.3%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
$4.30
2020
$-4.30
2021
$5.99
2022
$3.76
2023
$3.55
2024
$6.38
2025
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 8.2%
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
$728.0M
2020
$118.0M
2021
-$36.0M
2022
$660.0M
2023
$789.0M
2024
$1.1B
2025
Margins利润率
Operating margin营业利润率
12.6%
Net margin净利率
6.0%
FCF margin自由现金流利润率
12.4%
24.6%Return on Equity股本回报率
5.2%Return on Assets资产回报率
Leverage杠杆
Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA2.75
Current ratio流动比率1.03
Capital Allocation资本配置
Buybacks (TTM)回购（TTM）$505.0M
Stock-based comp股权薪酬$48.0M
Share count change (1y)股数变化（1年）-4.3%
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 7/8 Altman Z阿尔特曼Z: grey (2.3) Clean稳健

Snapshot Gauges综合指标

Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业
Looks cheap vs sector相对行业偏便宜
Cheaper than 62% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 62% 的公司
Beta市场敏感度
0.44×
0.21×3×
Moves about 0.4× the market波动幅度约为市场的 0.4 倍
Financial Health财务健康
7/8
Altman阿尔特曼: grey
Strong financial health财务健康状况良好
Dividend分红
—
Does not pay a dividend不派发股息

Why Is It Moving为何波动

Macro宏观 Long-duration name into a restrictive, rising-real-rate regime → rate headwind.长久期标的进入偏紧、实际利率上行的环境→利率逆风。
Positioning持仓 Short interest changed +10.2%空头仓位变动 +10.2%
Technical技术面 CCK took relative-strength leadershipCCK 取得相对强弱领先

Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱

Insider activity内部人员活动: -$12.5M net (0 buyers, 3 sellers)-$12.5M 净值（0 买家，3 卖家）

Signal History信号历史

BOTTOMING → NEARING A HIGH筑底中 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS. A daily bottoming setup did fire (swing low in, momentum turned up), but it's LATE — price is already extended above the cycle low (formed ~24 day(s) ago @ 97.67) and overbought (daily RSI 73). A momentum cross is a LAGGING confirmation: after a vertical run it only triggers once the move is mature, so the bottoming entry has already passed. This is a chase, not a fresh buy. Last cycle was left-translated (topped early) — a bearish structural tell止盈。日线筑底形态确实已经触发（摆动低点出现、动量转向上行），但为时已晚——价格已显著高于周期低点（约 24 天前形成 @ 97.67）且已超买（日线 RSI 73）。动量交叉属于滞后确认：在垂直拉升之后，只有当走势已经成熟时才会触发，因此筑底入场早已错过。这是追高，而非新的买入。 上一周期为左移结构（见顶偏早）——属于看空的结构性信号
TOP WATCH NEARING A HIGH
Jul 17, 2026
CCK took relative-strength leadershipCCK 取得相对强弱领先
Relative strength vs SPY crossed above the 90th percentile of the last 90 days — leadership tends to persist. $117.21.相对标普500的强弱上穿近90日的第90百分位 — 领先往往延续。$117.21。
Jul 16, 2026
CCK made a new 52-week highCCK 创52周新高
Price reached a fresh 52-week high — a momentum / trend extreme the whole market watches. $117.02.价格创出52周新高 — 全市场关注的动量/趋势极值。$117.02。
Jul 16, 2026
CCK daily MACD crossed upCCK 日线MACD上穿
The daily MACD histogram turned positive — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $117.02.日线MACD柱状图转正 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$117.02。
Jul 16, 2026
CCK StochRSI turned up from oversoldCCK StochRSI自超卖区上行
StochRSI popped back above 20 — the earliest oscillator heads-up that downside momentum is easing. $117.02.StochRSI重回20上方 — 下行动量趋缓的最早预警。$117.02。
Jul 16, 2026
CCK RSI reached overboughtCCK RSI进入超买
RSI(14) crossed above 70 — stretched to the upside; context, not a timing trigger alone. $117.02.RSI(14)上穿70 — 上行过度；仅作背景，单独不构成择时。$117.02。
Jul 13, 2026
Golden cross on CCKCCK 金叉
The 50-day average crossed above the 200-day — a slow, widely-watched bullish trend signal. $109.74.50日均线上穿200日均线 — 一个滞后但广受关注的看多趋势信号。$109.74。
Jul 13, 2026
UPTREND → BOTTOMING上涨趋势 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jul 13, 2026
CCK daily MACD crossed downCCK 日线MACD下穿
The daily MACD histogram turned negative — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $109.74.日线MACD柱状图转负 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$109.74。
Jul 10, 2026
BOTTOMING → UPTREND筑底中 → 上涨趋势
HOLD持有
Jul 8, 2026
UPTREND → BOTTOMING上涨趋势 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jun 30, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → UPTREND接近高点 → 上涨趋势
HOLD持有
Jun 29, 2026
UPTREND → NEARING A HIGH上涨趋势 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈

Showing last 15 of显示最近15条，共 285 signals条信号

Factor Profile因子特征

Composite factor score综合因子得分: 0.21
Value价值
-0.1
Quality质量
-0.2
Investment资本投入
+0.3
Shareholder payout股东回报
+0.2
Low volatility低波动
+0.8
Low market beta低市场敏感度
+0.5
Earnings quality盈利质量
+0.1
Short interest空头兴趣
+0.7

Company Profile公司档案

Crown Holdings, Inc. is an American multinational packaging company headquartered in Tampa, Florida, that designs and manufactures rigid-metal packaging including aluminum beverage cans, metal food cans, aerosol cans, and specialty packaging.CrownHoldings,Inc.是一家美国跨国包装公司，总部位于佛罗里达州坦帕，设计并制造刚性金属包装，包括铝制饮料罐、金属食品罐、气雾罐和特种包装。
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